Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAN Nathan - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 22%
2 JU Shang - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
3 LO Stefan 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
3 YI Alexander - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
5 LIN Logan - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
6 LI NATHAN 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
7 AKKARA Skyler 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
8 POLIAKOV Timur 26% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
9 BALUCAN Gabriel - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
10 GACIOCH Calvin 3% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
11 LEE Cooper - 4% 18% 34% 31% 11% 1%
12 REN Mark - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
13 CHANG Ephram - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
14 LEUNG Joon - 3% 14% 33% 35% 15%
15 CHI Zachary - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
16 LEE Connor 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
17 KATZEL Charles 1% 7% 24% 36% 26% 7%
18 PARK Sihoon - 1% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
19 ARULKUMAR Rihaan 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
20 OUYANG Anderson 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
21 LU Jayden 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
22 YE Andrew 1% 6% 24% 38% 26% 5%
23 NGUYEN Norris 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
24 LEE Paxton 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
25 KIM Christian 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
26 ABEYSINGHE Sayul 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
27 CHO Lincoln 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
28 SALIM Ethan 3% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2%
29 JI Dylan 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% -
30 DARMSTADT-JORY Torben 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
31 DODDAPANENI Arjun 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
32 NEWSOME Vayl Missing ID
33 WU AJ Missing ID
34 NOVOSELOV Roman - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
35 TONG Matthew 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
36 EVANS Harvey 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
37 LI Ethan 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
38 LUCAS Aiden 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
39 XUE Skyler 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
40 JUNG Brandon 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
41 BUELL Spencer - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 5%
42 JIA Aiden 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
43 ANDERSON Bergen 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
44 LIN Conner 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
45 DOLEZAL Grayson 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
46 YOON Jasper 51% 37% 10% 1% - -
47 MALHOTRA Arin 31% 43% 21% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.