Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAN Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
2 JU Shang 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
3 LO Stefan 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
3 YI Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
5 LIN Logan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
6 LI NATHAN 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
7 AKKARA Skyler 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
8 POLIAKOV Timur 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
9 BALUCAN Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
10 GACIOCH Calvin 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
11 LEE Cooper 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
12 REN Mark 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
13 CHANG Ephram 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
14 LEUNG Joon 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
15 CHI Zachary 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
16 LEE Connor 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
17 KATZEL Charles 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
18 PARK Sihoon 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
19 ARULKUMAR Rihaan 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2%
20 OUYANG Anderson 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
21 LU Jayden 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
22 YE Andrew 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
23 NGUYEN Norris 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
24 LEE Paxton 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
25 KIM Christian 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
26 ABEYSINGHE Sayul 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
27 CHO Lincoln 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
28 SALIM Ethan 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
29 JI Dylan 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% -
30 DARMSTADT-JORY Torben 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
31 DODDAPANENI Arjun 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
32 NEWSOME Vayl Missing ID
33 WU AJ Missing ID
34 NOVOSELOV Roman 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
35 TONG Matthew 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
36 EVANS Harvey 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
37 LI Ethan 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
38 LUCAS Aiden 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
39 XUE Skyler 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
40 JUNG Brandon 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 9% 1%
41 BUELL Spencer 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 5%
42 JIA Aiden 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
43 ANDERSON Bergen 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
44 LIN Conner 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
45 DOLEZAL Grayson 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
46 YOON Jasper 100% 49% 12% 1% - -
47 MALHOTRA Arin 100% 69% 26% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.