Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-8 Women's Foil

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SUN Leia 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16%
2 ISAAC Felicity 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
3 GUAN Angie 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
3 CHEN Yingying 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 9%
5 LIN Valentina 100% 89% 55% 19% 4% -
6 GALANG Audrina 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
7 BINDAL Ashita 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
8 LAI Cambria 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
9 TAM Alisa 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
10 KNOX aysa 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
11 CHOI Audrey M 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
12 PARK Cora 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
13 LU Jocelyn 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
14 KIM Blaire 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
15 WU Amanda Chingliang 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
16 HONDA Miyuki 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
17 ZHANG Ellen 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% -
18 QU Alice 100% 67% 27% 6% 1% - -
19 AN Smiley 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 2%
20 WANG Cleo 100% 100% 96% 71% 29% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.