Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MANSFIELD Hunter - - 3% 19% 48% 30%
2 ZHANG Marcus Xuanwei - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
3 CHEN Tianjun - - - 1% 9% 34% 55%
3 BHANDARE Veer - - 5% 23% 45% 28%
5 TOWNSHEND Connor - - - 2% 13% 44% 41%
6 SZCZAPA Lukas - - 1% 13% 42% 44%
7 HENNESSY Levon - - 3% 17% 47% 34%
8 KABA Elias - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
9 ROBINSON Blake 1% 10% 33% 38% 16% 2%
10 LEE Elijah 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
11 ASHLEY Logan 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
12 WANG Marcus - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
13 CHEN Cameron - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
14 WANG-SONG Evan - - - 4% 23% 48% 24%
15 BRESLAV Asher 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 5%
16 TSIEN Richard - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
17 LIN Lucas 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
18 CHEN Evan - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
19 RUDIGER George 3% 21% 45% 26% 6% -
20 JIN Noah 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
21 BURDICK Elijah - 2% 17% 42% 32% 7%
22 CHEN Hayden 2% 13% 34% 34% 15% 2%
23 ZHU Brady 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
23 LAKSHMAN Vishnu 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
25 JIANG Aidan 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
26 YONG Connor 7% 27% 39% 22% 4% -
27 CHEN Daniel - 2% 12% 33% 38% 14% 1%
28 KLOTS Theo 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 6% 1%
29 MASKIN Mikhail - 1% 7% 28% 44% 21%
30 LIU Easun 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
31 ROFINO Samuel 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
32 WITHERELL Logan 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
33 ZINCHUK Yuri 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% -
34 RICHARDSON Matthew 2% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1% -
35 LEE Asher 2% 15% 35% 34% 12% 2% -
36 CARPENTER Touma S. - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
37 ZHENG Jason - 1% 5% 19% 41% 34%
38 FOGEL Jake 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2%
39 DAI Jason 1% 10% 33% 37% 16% 2%
40 GILLARD Adan 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1%
41 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
41 GAO Ryan - 1% 11% 37% 40% 12%
43 MANUEL Eli 2% 11% 29% 34% 20% 4%
44 LEE Ryan 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
45 CHEN Jayden A 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% -
46 GUJJA Rishabh 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 1%
47 WILLIAMS Gavin 8% 28% 35% 22% 6% 1%
48 ZOU Grant 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
49 SHAPIRO Samuel 6% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
50 TANG Luke 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
51 SCHLUBACH Jasper 8% 30% 38% 20% 5% -
52 QI Bryan 4% 22% 38% 28% 8% 1%
53 KIM Brendan 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% -
54 YADAV Aarav 20% 46% 27% 6% 1% -
55 CAVALLARO Sebastian 24% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
56 JEONG Joseph 11% 33% 37% 16% 3% -
57 MILOWSKY Majai 24% 43% 25% 7% 1% -
58 JIN Derek 33% 47% 18% 2% - -
59 CARPENTER Taisei 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
60 FRIZZELL Kai 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
60 BUTLER Xavier 9% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1%
60 LANE Sawyer 9% 31% 38% 19% 3% -
63 LIU George 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
64 SHKOP Alexander 19% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
65 CHEN Caleb 30% 48% 19% 3% - -
66 APFELBAUM Noam 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 1% -
67 CHANG Connor 20% 42% 28% 9% 1% -
67 NAGELHOUT Cole 40% 44% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.