Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 30%
2 ZHANG Marcus Xuanwei 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
3 CHEN Tianjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
3 BHANDARE Veer 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
5 TOWNSHEND Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 40%
6 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
7 HENNESSY Levon 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 34%
8 KABA Elias 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
9 ROBINSON Blake 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% 2%
10 LEE Elijah 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
11 ASHLEY Logan 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
12 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
13 CHEN Cameron 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
14 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 24%
15 BRESLAV Asher 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 5%
16 TSIEN Richard 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
17 LIN Lucas 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 5%
18 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
19 RUDIGER George 100% 97% 77% 32% 6% -
20 JIN Noah 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
21 BURDICK Elijah 100% 100% 98% 81% 39% 7%
22 CHEN Hayden 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
23 ZHU Brady 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
23 LAKSHMAN Vishnu 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
25 JIANG Aidan 100% 91% 63% 28% 6% 1%
26 YONG Connor 100% 94% 68% 29% 5% -
27 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14% 1%
28 KLOTS Theo 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
29 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
30 LIU Easun 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
31 ROFINO Samuel 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
32 WITHERELL Logan 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% -
33 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% -
34 RICHARDSON Matthew 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2% -
35 LEE Asher 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2% -
36 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
37 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
38 FOGEL Jake 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
39 DAI Jason 100% 99% 88% 53% 16% 2%
40 GILLARD Adan 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
41 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
41 GAO Ryan 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 12%
43 MANUEL Eli 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
44 LEE Ryan 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
45 CHEN Jayden A 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
46 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 1%
47 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
48 ZOU Grant 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
49 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
50 TANG Luke 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
51 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 92% 61% 24% 4% -
52 QI Bryan 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
53 KIM Brendan 100% 65% 24% 5% - -
54 YADAV Aarav 100% 80% 34% 7% 1% -
55 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
56 JEONG Joseph 100% 88% 52% 17% 2% -
57 MILOWSKY Majai 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% -
58 JIN Derek 100% 67% 20% 2% - -
59 CARPENTER Taisei 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
60 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% -
60 BUTLER Xavier 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
60 LANE Sawyer 100% 91% 60% 22% 3% -
63 LIU George 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
64 SHKOP Alexander 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
65 CHEN Caleb 100% 70% 22% 3% - -
66 APFELBAUM Noam 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
67 CHANG Connor 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
67 NAGELHOUT Cole 100% 61% 17% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.