Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
2 CAO Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
3 GENG Vincent 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 23%
3 CHEN Keegan 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 29%
5 MOON Nolan 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
6 TARDIFF Owen 100% 99% 89% 55% 12%
7 STARK Ethan 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 6%
8 LI Ethan 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
9 WU Yulen 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
10 ZHANG Andrew 100% 99% 89% 54% 16% 1%
11 LU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 14%
12 XIA Wenhao 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
13 DEL VALLE-LIN Julian 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 3%
14 HO Marcus 100% 92% 61% 19% 2%
15 WANG Timothy 100% 99% 87% 56% 18% 2%
16 CHAO Jay 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
17 MA Leo Missing ID
18 LANDON Forest 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
19 SOBO Samuel 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
20 CAI Charlie 100% 74% 29% 5% -
21 RICE Henry 100% 81% 32% 5% - -
22 ZHU Winston 100% 78% 32% 6% - -
23 CUI Jason 100% 79% 34% 6% -
24 CHEN Brayden 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
25 DVORNEK Everett 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
26 LI William 100% 97% 77% 36% 8% 1%
27 WENG Luke Missing ID
28 KALAPALA Ranaveer 100% 100% 94% 64% 23% 3%
29 CHEN Jonathan 100% 81% 41% 10% 1% -
30 CHIANG Dean 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
31 ZHANG Henry 100% 56% 14% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.