Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Gengze (Daniel) - - - - 6% 35% 59%
2 LYU Brandon - - - - 4% 26% 69%
3 YANG Steve - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
3 LI Yunze - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
5 YU Jinyuan - - 1% 8% 27% 40% 23%
6 EVANS Desmond - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
7 GU Evan - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
8 KAJITA Grayson - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
9 RAJ Yojith - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
10 CREMEL Remi - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
11 SITU Baiqin - - 4% 18% 37% 33% 8%
12 NGUYEN Norris - - 1% 6% 30% 49% 14%
13 ZHANG Bryant - 3% 16% 35% 32% 11% 1%
14 LI Lief - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
15 LEE Juneau - - 2% 12% 34% 40% 13%
16 AGARWAL Jagrav - 3% 15% 32% 34% 15% 1%
17 TIKHONOV Aleksandr - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14%
18 LIN Dylan - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
19 CHENG Alvin - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 3%
20 LIU Aiden - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
21 VIEN Bradley - 1% 8% 29% 43% 18% 2%
22 LIN Zhengxuan 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
23 LEBURU Abhiram 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
24 SHAO Tysen - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
25 WANG Theodore - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
26 XIE Garrett - 5% 20% 37% 28% 8% 1%
27 LI Mason - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
28 XU Benjamin 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
29 MENG Andy 1% 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
30 TAN benjamin 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
31 ZENG Cayden 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
32 YAN Aaron - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
33 SHENOY Neil - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
34 SHENOY sean - 5% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
35 JACOBE Jakyn 3% 19% 40% 30% 8% 1% -
36 LUO Derren 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
37 STOCK Ian 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
38 LIN Cyrus 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
39 LIU Kevin - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
40 SAXENA Niven 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
41 HO Kasper - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
41 GEMBALA Theodore 16% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
43 SINGH Shiv 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
44 SCHOR William 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
45 JAIN Shubhit 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
46 SIN Chad 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
47 WU Kangdi 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
48 MANANSALA Caleb 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
49 BHANGOO Arman 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
50 ZUO Thomas 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
51 DONG YIKUN 5% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
52 WANG Ian 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
53 HOVAGHIMIAN Atticus 7% 32% 39% 19% 3% - -
54 KIM Owen 36% 42% 18% 3% - - -
55 CHANG George 2% 16% 38% 34% 10% 1% -
56 SHANG Jason 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
57 ZHENG Ivan 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% 1% -
58 YETCHERLA Aarya 12% 37% 34% 14% 3% - -
59 WONG Kingston 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% - -
60 LEE Reiden 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
61 GOLDSMID Owen 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
62 YANG Jaron 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.