Skirmish at Tryon Palace

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Tryon Palace - Wilmington, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 36%
2 HOWARD Gregory 100% 100% 100% 89% 55% 16%
3 KMIEC Stephen M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 32%
3 RUSSELL James 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 14%
5 CLICK Tristan 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
6 DILDA Griffin 100% 99% 92% 60% 16%
7 JONES Jackson 100% 100% 97% 77% 34% 4%
8 MASON Shane A. 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 10%
9 GADOW Patrick 100% 100% 94% 66% 24% 3%
10 HATCHER David 100% 99% 83% 39% 6%
11 THOMAS Jr. Robert D. 100% 100% 99% 74% 29% 3%
12 VERGARA Jace Riley 100% 98% 77% 36% 8% 1%
13 O'DEA Ryan 100% 100% 92% 60% 19% 1%
14 CHILDS Edward B. 100% 95% 23% 2% - -
15 SANTIAGO Charles 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 2%
16 CRAWFORD Charles (Marston) M. 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
17 WIMMER Steven 100% 18% 1% - - -
18 WILSON Carl 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
19 HARRIS Lynn B. 100% 85% 35% 6% -
20 REBER Eleanora (Nora) A. 100% 54% 14% 2% -
21 HOWARD Jack 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%
22 MILLER Debi 100% 36% 5% - - -
23 JULIEN Erica 100% 81% 35% 5% - -
24 SANFORD Kenyatta L. 100% 100% 92% 51% 9% -
25 WIMMER Daniel 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 2%
26 BASNIGHT Eden 100% 30% 4% - - -
27 FARRER Brennecke E 100% 75% 28% 5% - -
28 WIMSATT Andrew 100% 91% 21% 2% - -
29 MILLER Ryan M. 100% 100% 99% 86% 37% 4%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.