Tucson Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM

University of Arizona - Tucson, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98%
2 SARMIENTO Luke 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2%
3 FOWLER James A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 LAURSEN Logan 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 33% 7%
5 VENET Téva 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
6 GRAFF Adler 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
7 BOYERS Morgan 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
8 SANDIRI Shanmukh Rishith 100% 100% 100% 99% 66% 19% 1%
9 HILLSTROM Nathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
10 FOISSET Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
11 WALLIS Wyatt 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 7% 1%
12 MANDEL Christian 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
13 COLLINS Vernon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
14 ORELUP Austin 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 7%
15 WOLCOTT Charlie A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 12%
16 ZAROTSKY Ronald 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
17 BINDER Ayven 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16% -
18 KAPASHIKOV Constantine 100% 100% 99% 92% 56% 9% -
19 RAJPRABHU Pranesh 100% 99% 75% 30% 4% -
20 FESTIN Michael G. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 4%
21 PABLO Jesse 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
22 KING Charles M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
23 COIMBATORE Dillon 100% 53% 13% 2% - -
24 ASKEW Annabel 100% 100% 100% 99% 79% 29% 2%
25 PORRAS Michael 100% 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% -
26 PABLO Sebastian 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
27 SCHWENK Cody D. 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 13% 1%
28 HERRON Jonathan 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
29 NEUMANN Freya 100% 89% 56% 21% 3% -
30 STAFURIK John (Jack) W. 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%
31 TAARIQ Tanisha 100% 99% 83% 16% 1% - -
32 CHENIER Amelia 100% 90% 50% 9% 1% - -
33 CHENOWETH Zachary 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
34 CUEVAS Tom 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9% -
35 ROLDAN Madison 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
36 KELLEHER Cash 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% - -
37 ANDERSON Donald 100% 88% 53% 20% 4% - -
38 MORGAN Elijah 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6% -
39 FORBES Samantha 100% 93% 45% 8% 1% - -
40 MARTINEZ Landon 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
41 HOWIE Ryan 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
42 ROLDAN Ethan 100% 98% 78% 38% 7% -
43 SARMIENTO John 100% 68% 20% 2% - - -
43 FEDERICO William 100% 98% 82% 45% 11% 1% -
45 CHAVEZ Andres 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
46 SMITH Samuel J. 100% 91% 54% 17% 3% -
47 FELDMAN Louis 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% - -
48 KEYSER PACHECO ofelia 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
49 CAVAZOS Sophia 100% 44% 7% - - - -
50 GRADO Marley 100% 97% 71% 28% 5% -
51 ALLEN Sydney 100% 65% 13% 1% - -
52 FRUMKIN Lucia 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
53 DEMIRAL Arman 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.