Middlebury Open-31st Edition

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, April 12, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Middlebury Union Middle School - South Burlington, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MIAN Ismail - - - 4% 29% 66%
2 BUSH Thomas - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
3 MORI Seneca - 3% 17% 38% 33% 10%
3 CAO Gavin 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1%
5 DOELEMAN Zeno - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
6 MAY Ciaran - 7% 31% 45% 16% 1%
7 KOMPARE Matthew 1% 16% 36% 33% 13% 2%
8 NGO-D'ANDRE Nicolas - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
9 CHOI Paul S. - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
9 NUTOVYCH David - 4% 22% 39% 28% 7%
11 WHITEHURST JJ - - 2% 13% 35% 40% 9%
12 MCMILLAN Jackson V. - 18% 41% 31% 9% 1%
13 WALTING Paul J. - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
14 MARCOUX Alexander - 6% 24% 37% 26% 7%
15 ZHANG Eric I. 1% 13% 34% 34% 14% 2%
16 LIN George 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3%
17 QUINLAN Sean - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
18 LELAND James (Jim) E. 2% 18% 39% 32% 9% -
19 RUGGLES William R. 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
20 LAROCHELLE Bastien - 4% 21% 40% 29% 6%
21 MEAGHER Roderick 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
22 MACIK Axel 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
23 FERLAND Brent 4% 33% 40% 18% 4% -
24 MISSERT Justin - 7% 27% 41% 22% 3%
25 PEARSALL William 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% -
26 SCHUPPE Ray W. 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2%
26 MCCAULEY Aidan - 6% 24% 42% 27% 2%
28 LUSSIER Jesse B. - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
29 BIXBY Peter W. 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
30 BOYINGTON Bree 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
31 KROHN Matthew 12% 46% 33% 8% 1% -
32 D'SOUZA Carlisle (Charlie) J. 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 7%
33 SIRBU Aurelia 28% 50% 19% 3% - -
34 GLAZER Adam 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
35 KASTANAS Stamatia Tina 34% 41% 19% 5% 1% - -
36 COLLIER Samara 33% 45% 19% 3% - -
37 FOSTER Christopher 1% 14% 40% 35% 9% -
38 POWERFREEMAN Mark 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% -
39 PIZZUTO Sally 31% 43% 21% 4% - -
40 WHEELER Michele L. 47% 41% 11% 1% - -
41 BAKERROUSE Toby 6% 31% 39% 20% 4% - -
42 POPE MCCRIGHT Emma 73% 25% 2% - - -
43 MARCOUX Amy 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.