Middlebury Open-31st Edition

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, April 12, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Middlebury Union Middle School - South Burlington, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MIAN Ismail 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
2 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
3 MORI Seneca 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10%
3 CAO Gavin 100% 97% 76% 38% 9% 1%
5 DOELEMAN Zeno 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
6 MAY Ciaran 100% 100% 93% 62% 17% 1%
7 KOMPARE Matthew 100% 99% 84% 48% 15% 2%
8 NGO-D'ANDRE Nicolas 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
9 CHOI Paul S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
9 NUTOVYCH David 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
11 WHITEHURST JJ 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 9%
12 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 100% 82% 41% 10% 1%
13 WALTING Paul J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
14 MARCOUX Alexander 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 7%
15 ZHANG Eric I. 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 2%
16 LIN George 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
17 QUINLAN Sean 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
18 LELAND James (Jim) E. 100% 98% 80% 41% 9% -
19 RUGGLES William R. 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
20 LAROCHELLE Bastien 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
21 MEAGHER Roderick 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
22 MACIK Axel 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
23 FERLAND Brent 100% 96% 63% 22% 4% -
24 MISSERT Justin 100% 100% 93% 66% 25% 3%
25 PEARSALL William 100% 91% 56% 19% 3% -
26 SCHUPPE Ray W. 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
26 MCCAULEY Aidan 100% 100% 94% 70% 28% 2%
28 LUSSIER Jesse B. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
29 BIXBY Peter W. 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
30 BOYINGTON Bree 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
31 KROHN Matthew 100% 88% 41% 9% 1% -
32 D'SOUZA Carlisle (Charlie) J. 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
33 SIRBU Aurelia 100% 72% 22% 3% - -
34 GLAZER Adam 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1%
35 KASTANAS Stamatia Tina 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
36 COLLIER Samara 100% 67% 22% 3% - -
37 FOSTER Christopher 100% 99% 85% 44% 9% -
38 POWERFREEMAN Mark 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% -
39 PIZZUTO Sally 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
40 WHEELER Michele L. 100% 53% 12% 1% - -
41 BAKERROUSE Toby 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% - -
42 POPE MCCRIGHT Emma 100% 27% 3% - - -
43 MARCOUX Amy 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.