American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Friday, April 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
2 SU Sean 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
3 MOON Nolan 100% 99% 93% 65% 20%
3 YU Oliver 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
5 SHEN Lawrence 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
6 WU Yulen 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
7 WANG Leon 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
8 KANAN Noland 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
9 CAO Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
10 XIA Wenhao 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8%
11 LU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
12 ZHANG Andrew 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
13 TARDIFF Owen 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
14 KIM JOSHUA 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
15 HO Marcus 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
16 MOSAMEH Faraj 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
17 FANG Lionel 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
18 NG Harry 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
19 STARK Ethan 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 20% 3%
20 XIONG Jeffrey 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
21 GUTH Samuel 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
22 HWANG Samuel 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
23 LIU KUNDE 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
24 LU Eli 100% 86% 46% 11% 1%
25 DEL VALLE-LIN Julian 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1%
26 SUN Neil 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
27 JAZWINSKI Archer 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
29 PROVAN Rafael 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1%
30 LI Ethan 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
31 SHA Adam 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
32 ZHANG Jason 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
33 LIU Yuyang 100% 87% 50% 14% 1%
34 CUI Jason 100% 95% 67% 27% 6% -
35 KO Owen 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% -
36 CHOI Christian 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
37 KHALIKOV Michael 100% 61% 15% 2% - -
38 XIONG David 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% -
39 WANG Eason 100% 95% 60% 20% 3% -
40 KIM ISAAC 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
41 RENFRO Abe 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
42 ZHAO Ethan 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
43 MARTIN-WARREN Ruben Carlos 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 5%
44 LI Kaiyuan (Kevin) 100% 96% 71% 34% 10% 1% -
45 DVORNEK Everett 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
46 LYSHKOUSKI Daniil 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
47 LEE Matthias 100% 50% 11% 1% - -
48 CHOI Joshua 100% 76% 32% 6% -
49 HENDERSON Sebastian 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
50 ROSENBLUM Lucian 100% 100% 85% 34% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.