Spring @ Bay Area Fencing Club

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, April 19, 2026 at 3:30 PM

BAY AREA FENCING CLUB - Pleasanton, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SITU Baiqin 100% 100% 100% 96% 64%
2 TIKHONOV Aleksandr 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
3 ZHANG Katie Q. 100% 100% 99% 89% 48% 10%
3 SPICER-YOUAKIM Benjamin 100% 99% 80% 38% 7%
5 CHEN Celina 100% 94% 62% 12% 1%
6 LIN Zhengxuan 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
7 JAIN Shubhit 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
8 LUI Jamie 100% 100% 95% 69% 15%
9 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 95% 65% 13%
10 YETCHERLA Aarya 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 5%
10 GANGINENI Aarush 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
12 ZENG Cayden 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
13 WONG Kingston 100% 88% 37% 7% -
14 GU Alexandra 100% 98% 79% 39% 8%
15 JACOBE Jakyn 100% 72% 29% 5% -
16 SAXENA Niven 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
17 CHOU Noel 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 14%
18 ZHAI Muyan 100% 100% 93% 63% 18%
19 YANG Jaron 100% 92% 61% 22% 3%
20 XIE Garrett 100% 99% 79% 27% 2%
21 LIN Cyrus 100% 95% 41% 6% -
22 WANG Grace Missing ID
23 SHANG Jason 100% 33% 4% - -
24 ROSIN Milena 100% 80% 36% 7% 1% -
25 RAI Ariv 100% 94% 55% 15% 1%
26 HSU Jayren 100% 53% 12% 1% -
27 MISSON Arya 100% 16% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.