MFA Senior Mixed Friday Night Epee

Senior Mixed Épée

Friday, April 24, 2026 at 7:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DE BERNARDO Hugo - - - 5% 29% 66%
2 LI Grayson - 2% 16% 42% 35% 5%
3 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. - - 1% 20% 53% 26%
3 XU Yanwen - 4% 24% 49% 23%
5 ONGSITCO Mark L. - 3% 21% 45% 30%
6 LOUIE Joseph - 3% 34% 52% 11%
7 IVANOV Nicholas - - 7% 36% 57%
8 ELLOWAY William - 1% 12% 42% 37% 9%
9 GANESH Maxen - 4% 21% 44% 28% 3%
10 MITCHELL II Shamar B. - 1% 8% 28% 42% 22%
11 DENIER Frank - 8% 46% 38% 8%
12 KUO Michael 7% 34% 41% 17% 2%
13 OWENS Dinhan 37% 46% 15% 2% -
14 MCGUIRE Maximilien 13% 43% 37% 7% 1% -
14 SIVASANKAR Aman 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% -
16 DUONG John 12% 38% 37% 12% 1% -
17 CHU Zane 35% 45% 18% 3% - -
18 FRANK Nathaniel 49% 44% 7% - -
19 KELLY Declan 8% 37% 40% 13% 2% -
20 LACEY Catherine 20% 48% 26% 5% - -
21 STEPHENS Jacob 35% 56% 9% - -
22 MOZAFFARIAN Audrey 13% 37% 36% 13% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.