MFA Senior Mixed Friday Night Epee

Senior Mixed Épée

Friday, April 24, 2026 at 7:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DE BERNARDO Hugo 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
2 LI Grayson 100% 100% 98% 82% 40% 5%
3 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 79% 26%
3 XU Yanwen 100% 100% 96% 72% 23%
5 ONGSITCO Mark L. 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
6 LOUIE Joseph 100% 100% 97% 63% 11%
7 IVANOV Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 93% 57%
8 ELLOWAY William 100% 100% 99% 87% 45% 9%
9 GANESH Maxen 100% 100% 96% 75% 31% 3%
10 MITCHELL II Shamar B. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
11 DENIER Frank 100% 100% 91% 46% 8%
12 KUO Michael 100% 93% 60% 19% 2%
13 OWENS Dinhan 100% 63% 16% 2% -
14 MCGUIRE Maximilien 100% 87% 44% 8% 1% -
14 SIVASANKAR Aman 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% -
16 DUONG John 100% 88% 50% 13% 1% -
17 CHU Zane 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
18 FRANK Nathaniel 100% 51% 8% - -
19 KELLY Declan 100% 92% 55% 15% 2% -
20 LACEY Catherine 100% 80% 32% 6% - -
21 STEPHENS Jacob 100% 65% 9% - -
22 MOZAFFARIAN Audrey 100% 87% 50% 14% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.