USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, June 29, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Charlson - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
2 ROHRLACK Charles (Charlie) F. - - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
3 SHEPANEK Noah M. - - 3% 14% 30% 35% 17%
3 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
5 ZHOU Matthew R. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
6 SINGER Carson 2% 11% 26% 32% 22% 8% 1%
7 YAO Jonathan 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
8 PARK Justin W. - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
9 WILLIAMS Nolan E. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
10 BOOTH Zaheer - - 3% 14% 36% 36% 12%
11 MARSEE James 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
12 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
13 MICHELL Bailey - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
14 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
15 YEN Darren - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
16 OSTER Keegan J. - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
17 OSOLINIEC Victor E. - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
18 AURAY Phileas 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
19 KOKOSINSKI Eryk - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
20 HU William - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
21 CHOU Stephen C. - 2% 11% 29% 37% 20% 2%
22 IWAMOTO Eric Y. 1% 9% 23% 31% 24% 10% 2%
23 ESCUETA Tony V. - 4% 14% 28% 32% 18% 4%
24 ZHANG Michael M. 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
25 HONG Marshall Q. - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
26 DEMAREST Iain - 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 7%
27 LAU Jeremy Y. 4% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
28 KAUFMAN Bradley A. 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
29 GRUBE Sterling T. - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
30 ZU Kevin - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
31 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 11%
32 SMITH Mitchell M. 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
33 BUENAVENTURA Christian - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
34 KANG Brandon M. 1% 5% 17% 30% 29% 15% 3%
35 CHEN Howard - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 10%
36 MULVANEY Alec S. - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
37 CAPPELLUTI Ryan M. 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3%
38 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
39 LO Joshua H. - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
40 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
40 NG Jonathan H. 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
42 GEFELL Andrew P. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
43 GRATHWOL-SEAR Sebastian 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
44 VACCARI Braden 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
45 AUSTIN Adam 13% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
46 GILES Jeremy M. 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
47 LAI Adam J. 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3%
48 SMITH David C. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
49 BASALYGA Jeffrey 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
50 DANNULL Lukas J. 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
51 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 2% 11% 28% 34% 21% 5%
51 TONG Qilin 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
53 SHANAHAN Adam E. 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% -
54 RAINVILLE-POND Schuyler J. 3% 16% 30% 30% 16% 5% 1%
55 RAI Avin 1% 5% 19% 34% 28% 11% 2%
56 BARNETT Adam 1% 5% 16% 29% 30% 16% 3%
57 HAN Nicholas 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
58 DANNULL Linus N. 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
59 TAKEMARU Leo 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
59 REESE Aaron S. 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
59 DAMMER Mark W. - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
62 DILLREE Spencer S. 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
63 CHEN Brian - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
64 DESAI Drewv D. 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
65 WANG Qifa 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
66 FLORES Peter D. 5% 21% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
67 NI AMEN Zahir K. 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
68 MILLER Levi H. 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
68 LASORSA Matthew 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
70 DODRILL Grant - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
71 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. - 1% 8% 21% 33% 27% 9%
72 KIM Benjamin H. 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 2% -
73 RIVERA Inigo Franco 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
74 RAMAN Easwer 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
75 KARNES Jameson D. 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
76 LIN William 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
77 ARNIPALLI Shanvanth 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
78 STRONG Jr James S. 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
79 DHINGRA Gian K. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
80 STREB JR. Joseph T. 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
80 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 4% 18% 32% 28% 14% 3% -
80 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 8%
83 HOLMES Aiden G. 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
84 YEN Preston 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
84 KAHN Justin M. 7% 23% 33% 24% 10% 2% -
86 FEENEY Sean 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 2% -
86 HUDDY Brandon J. 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
88 WESLER Logan A. 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% - -
89 DOARES Andrew - 3% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
90 CHO Brandon 3% 15% 29% 30% 17% 5% 1%
91 RIGGINS Littleton K. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
92 YATES Colum C. 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
93 COTTER Liam 1% 6% 20% 31% 27% 12% 2%
94 HENNICKE Michael G. 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
95 WOLIN Zachary A. 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
96 KAYDALIN Artyom 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
97 TANG Brendan J. 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
98 CHIEN Phillip L. 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
99 CHAMBERS Amir E. 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
100 VASILYEV Nikita K. 3% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
101 HARRIS Alex K. 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
102 DU Gavin J. 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
103 EPSTEIN Henry N. 44% 39% 14% 3% - - -
104 HUAYTA James W. 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
105 WUN William 5% 23% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
106 D'ORAZIO Joseph 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
107 CHANG Eliot A. 3% 15% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
108 MONTGOMERY Jadon T. 2% 16% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
109 ZHOU Miles 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
110 OFFUTT Tyler T. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
111 YAN Jack P. 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
112 LAI Eric A. 5% 21% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
113 BARTOLO Domenic V. 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
114 PARKER Timothy S. 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.