USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, June 29, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Charlson 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
2 ROHRLACK Charles (Charlie) F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
3 SHEPANEK Noah M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 17%
3 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
5 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
6 SINGER Carson 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 9% 1%
7 YAO Jonathan 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
8 PARK Justin W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
9 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
10 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12%
11 MARSEE James 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
12 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
13 MICHELL Bailey 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
14 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam 100% 100% 96% 83% 55% 23% 4%
15 YEN Darren 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
16 OSTER Keegan J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
17 OSOLINIEC Victor E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
18 AURAY Phileas 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
19 KOKOSINSKI Eryk 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
20 HU William 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
21 CHOU Stephen C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 22% 2%
22 IWAMOTO Eric Y. 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 2%
23 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 96% 82% 54% 22% 4%
24 ZHANG Michael M. 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 8% 1%
25 HONG Marshall Q. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 20% 3%
26 DEMAREST Iain 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 33% 7%
27 LAU Jeremy Y. 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
28 KAUFMAN Bradley A. 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
29 GRUBE Sterling T. 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
30 ZU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
31 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
32 SMITH Mitchell M. 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
33 BUENAVENTURA Christian 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
34 KANG Brandon M. 100% 99% 94% 77% 48% 18% 3%
35 CHEN Howard 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
36 MULVANEY Alec S. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 6%
37 CAPPELLUTI Ryan M. 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
38 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
39 LO Joshua H. 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
40 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
40 NG Jonathan H. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
42 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 2%
43 GRATHWOL-SEAR Sebastian 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% 1%
44 VACCARI Braden 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
45 AUSTIN Adam 100% 87% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
46 GILES Jeremy M. 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
47 LAI Adam J. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3%
48 SMITH David C. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
49 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
50 DANNULL Lukas J. 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
51 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5%
51 TONG Qilin 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 6%
53 SHANAHAN Adam E. 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% -
54 RAINVILLE-POND Schuyler J. 100% 97% 81% 51% 22% 5% 1%
55 RAI Avin 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
56 BARNETT Adam 100% 99% 95% 78% 49% 19% 3%
57 HAN Nicholas 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
58 DANNULL Linus N. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
59 TAKEMARU Leo 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7%
59 REESE Aaron S. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
59 DAMMER Mark W. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 20%
62 DILLREE Spencer S. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
63 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 10%
64 DESAI Drewv D. 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
65 WANG Qifa 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
66 FLORES Peter D. 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
67 NI AMEN Zahir K. 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
68 MILLER Levi H. 100% 97% 80% 47% 18% 3% -
68 LASORSA Matthew 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
70 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
71 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. 100% 100% 98% 91% 69% 36% 9%
72 KIM Benjamin H. 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 2% -
73 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
74 RAMAN Easwer 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
75 KARNES Jameson D. 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
76 LIN William 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
77 ARNIPALLI Shanvanth 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
78 STRONG Jr James S. 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
79 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
80 STREB JR. Joseph T. 100% 95% 76% 44% 17% 4% -
80 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 96% 77% 46% 17% 4% -
80 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 8%
83 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
84 YEN Preston 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
84 KAHN Justin M. 100% 93% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
86 FEENEY Sean 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
86 HUDDY Brandon J. 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
88 WESLER Logan A. 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% - -
89 DOARES Andrew 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
90 CHO Brandon 100% 97% 82% 52% 23% 6% 1%
91 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
92 YATES Colum C. 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
93 COTTER Liam 100% 99% 93% 73% 42% 15% 2%
94 HENNICKE Michael G. 100% 84% 49% 17% 4% - -
95 WOLIN Zachary A. 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
96 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
97 TANG Brendan J. 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
98 CHIEN Phillip L. 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
99 CHAMBERS Amir E. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
100 VASILYEV Nikita K. 100% 97% 84% 57% 26% 7% 1%
101 HARRIS Alex K. 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
102 DU Gavin J. 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
103 EPSTEIN Henry N. 100% 56% 17% 3% - - -
104 HUAYTA James W. 100% 91% 60% 25% 5% 1% -
105 WUN William 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
106 D'ORAZIO Joseph 100% 99% 87% 59% 26% 7% 1%
107 CHANG Eliot A. 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
108 MONTGOMERY Jadon T. 100% 98% 82% 49% 19% 4% -
109 ZHOU Miles 100% 73% 31% 8% 1% - -
110 OFFUTT Tyler T. 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
111 YAN Jack P. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
112 LAI Eric A. 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 3% -
113 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
114 PARKER Timothy S. 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.