USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, June 29, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SAVIN Rafael - 3% 18% 39% 31% 8%
2 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
3 DANIEL Ashton - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
3 TULYAG Fyze A. - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
5 SHIH Benjamin - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
6 OLIVARES Marcello G. - - - 1% 9% 36% 55%
7 BOROWIAK Arwen - - 3% 16% 40% 34% 7%
8 YU Eric W. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
9 EMMER Chase T. - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
10 WOODS Jack H. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
11 MORAIS Paulo - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
12 CHEN James P. - - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
13 YANG Andy H. - 2% 10% 30% 38% 18% 2%
14 GASSNER Ethan I. - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
15 LIU Patrick - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
16 PARK Luke J. - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
17 HUANG Bin - - - - 3% 25% 72%
17 LI Brandon H. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
19 LORENZONI Davide Ryoga - - 5% 25% 43% 23% 4%
20 REID Clayton J. - - - 5% 25% 46% 24%
21 ZHENG Andrew R. - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
21 WANG Brian S. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
23 TAN Lawrence (Lance) E. 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
24 JOHNSON Aidan J. - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 20%
25 DORITY Philip S. - - 4% 21% 41% 27% 6%
26 SONG Lawrence (Larry) - - 4% 20% 42% 31% 4%
27 ZAROFF Leo B. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
28 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - - 5% 25% 48% 21%
29 LIU Niles J. - - 1% 7% 26% 41% 24%
30 PAIK Hyun K. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
31 CHEN Ziyuan - - 3% 16% 39% 36% 5%
32 PRILUTSKY David B. - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
33 MACHOVEC Andrew C. - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
34 YEE Maxwell J. - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
35 PAIK Joon K. - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
35 KORABLIN Anton - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
37 EVANS Cameron R. - - - 2% 18% 57% 23%
37 CHUNG Andrew N. - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
39 GRUBER Samuel T. - - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
40 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 13%
41 XIAO Ethan J. - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
42 LIAO Jun Heng (James) - - - - 4% 29% 66%
43 LEVY Jasper - - - 1% 7% 38% 55%
43 DEXARCIS Lucas - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
45 KATAYAMA Kevin - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
45 HAN YIMING - - - - 5% 30% 65%
47 SLEDESKI Andrew - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
48 LI Brian H. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
49 RANADIVE Rishi R. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
50 ZUSIN Zachary W. - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 15%
51 BRAVO Kenji U. - - - 1% 10% 40% 49%
51 MORGAN Quinlyn (Quin) D. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
53 UM Ethan A. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
54 XIAO Enoch A. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
55 LIU Justin - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 35%
56 SHAFAIE Kaveh - - - 3% 18% 46% 33%
57 MION Lorenzo - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
58 LEE Benjamin H. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 13%
59 AYUPOV Ilya - - 2% 10% 30% 41% 17%
60 JEON Nathan S. - 4% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
61 SIEGEL Elliot 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
62 DIVENTI Paul W. - 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
63 HOLLAND Niklas - 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
64 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
65 LOUIE Bryce - - - - 6% 32% 62%
66 ZHANG Daniel D. - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
67 SHAFAIE Ali - 1% 5% 20% 39% 31% 4%
67 ANDREWS Nathan J. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
69 BOURTIS James S. - - - - 2% 22% 75%
69 JOHNSON Cole B. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
71 MEMANI Apurva 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
72 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
73 MCGILLION-MOORE Jake - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
74 WU Jerry - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
75 BESSIRE Nolan S. - - 2% 10% 31% 40% 17%
76 SCARPA Ryan N. - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
77 GILBERT-GOLDSTEIN Avery E. - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 5%
78 REALS Alden D. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
79 HODGES Carter F. - - - - 5% 29% 65%
79 DONG Darren - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
81 KNIGHT Ethan H. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
82 RITCHIE Luke W. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11% 1%
83 CHENG Thomas C. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
84 LOPEZ Carlos D. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
85 TRASCHENKO POCHMARA Jacob 1% 18% 40% 29% 10% 1% -
86 WESTPHAL David R. 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1%
87 HU Oliver W. - 2% 12% 32% 37% 15% 1%
87 SOHN Christopher - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 13%
89 SACCOCCIO Nicholas P. - 3% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
90 HUTH Mitchell - 6% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
91 MCKENNA Joseph (Owen) O. - - 5% 22% 42% 27% 4%
91 ADLER Ian B. 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
93 TIERNEY David A. - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 12%
94 HUTH Jacob 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
95 GIRALDO Pablo E. 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
96 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
96 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 1% 7% 27% 40% 21% 5% -
96 KIM Brandon J. 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 2% -
99 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
100 OUELLETTE David M. - 4% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
101 VOGLER Justin K. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
102 GEE Brandon - 4% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
103 KASI Sanjay 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
103 URODOVSKIKH Evan - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
105 HOSSFELD Finn E. - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
106 MA Alexander - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 12%
107 BRATTON Jack S. - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19%
108 YU Vinni - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
109 LU Kerry L. - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
110 DAYTON Draper - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9%
111 FARQUHARSON Cole - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
111 POON Simon - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
113 LIU Eric P. 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
114 SEZER Kaya 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
115 GRIFFITH JACK 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 6% -
115 REGE Advaith - 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
117 CANNON Caiden C. - 1% 5% 21% 39% 30% 5%
118 YANG Adam - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
119 MAURER Ned (John) E. - 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
120 JACOBS Tyler M. 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
121 ADAMS Luke C. 5% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
122 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
123 EVGENEV Mark - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
124 LUTAR Lucas N. - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
125 BAE Anthony - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
126 LEVY Jacob M. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
127 ANDERSON David C. 20% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
128 RECHLER Logan 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
129 MULLIGAN James - - 2% 13% 43% 42%
130 SHIH William 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3% -
130 CHOI Ethan L. - 1% 6% 25% 42% 23% 4%
132 VANNI Filippo A. - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
133 TUMMINGS C.J. - - 4% 18% 37% 33% 7%
134 PELOSKY Ryan F. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
135 DESERANNO Jeidus - - 5% 20% 39% 30% 6%
136 KO Brian J. - 3% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
137 KELLY William J. - 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
138 TORO Alejandro 3% 24% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
139 DICKSON Farr R. - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 14%
140 MILLER Braeden G. 7% 26% 37% 24% 6% 1% -
141 ZHANG Vincent - 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
142 LAO Scott E. 1% 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
143 BLUTT Emerson B. - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
144 BHARATHI Bhrugu S. - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% 1%
145 BALL James T. 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
146 XIAO EDWARD 6% 29% 39% 20% 5% 1% -
147 LAW Robert C. - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 13%
148 HSIUNG Richie 15% 56% 25% 4% < 1% - -
149 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 11% 37% 35% 14% 2% -
150 HO Ryan J. 2% 16% 38% 34% 9% 1%
151 CHEN Allen 2% 14% 33% 33% 16% 3% -
152 JANG Jaewon - 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 4%
153 POON Alvin 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
154 FIELD Miles - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
155 WESTELIUS Isak R. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
156 HARTMARK Anders - 8% 27% 37% 22% 6% -
157 CHEN Andrew 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
158 PAEK Alex J. - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
159 CARTER Lucas M. 1% 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
159 LEUNG Wai Chi Ethan 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
161 LEE Caden - 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
162 WONG Anthony M. - 5% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
162 GRIFFIN John O. - - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19%
162 OH Samuel H. 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
162 DIVITO Dylan - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 9%
166 LIU Jonathan C. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
167 NAGIMOV Marsel - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
168 CHEN GUTIAN 2% 11% 25% 31% 22% 8% 1%
169 BURKE Spencer W. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
170 LOCKWOOD Owen - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
170 ZHENG Alan H. 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
170 BAE Junnie 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 3% -
173 DING Allan - - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
173 WANG Christopher M. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
173 NGUYEN Jett 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
176 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - - 4% 19% 38% 32% 7%
177 LI Jiaan - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
177 MAGIDSON Gabriel 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
179 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 2% 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
179 ZHAO Jason L. 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
181 KUMBLA Samarth 1% 7% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
182 CATLIN Adam - 19% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
182 FUKUDA Renzo K. 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
182 CHIN Julian S. 2% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
185 KIM Aaron J. 2% 20% 40% 29% 8% 1% -
186 PETER Griffin 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
186 HOOSHI Dylan M. - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
188 MAO Connor 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
189 ANDERSON Colton J. 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
190 ORTIZ Zachary M. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
191 ARIZA Isaac A. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
191 LEWIS Paul D. 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
193 WU Michael 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
194 FORTNER Lance R. 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
195 CHOUN Samuel Minwook - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8% -
196 PITCHER Skylar L. 9% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
197 WU Jerry 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
198 FUKUDA Alessio R. 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
199 CHIN Jason Y. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
200 DAVIS Christopher M. 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
201 PALAZZOLO William J. 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
202 PRINCE Nicholas J. - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
203 HERGERT Benito 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
204 LIN Richard W. 1% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1%
205 JIMENEZ Diran 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
206 PICKERING Owen D. 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 5% -
207 MURRAY Maximo 1% 22% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
208 BERMENDER Cameron - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
209 LUNA Emilio 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
209 CHU Derek 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
209 LIMA Kevin M. - 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
209 HU Robin 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% 1% -
213 HERGAN Daniel 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
214 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
215 KIM Tei D. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
216 LIN Dashiell 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
217 CRALEY Thomas M. 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
217 HEWES Thomas G. 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
219 CHOI Eric Y. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
219 ROMANOV Michael - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
219 WHARTON Zachary 10% 32% 36% 17% 3% - -
219 LEE Daniel C. - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
223 CHENG Matthew S. 38% 41% 18% 4% - - -
224 HONG Daniel 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
224 PATEL Aryoman M. 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
224 SCHULTES Evans 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
227 RUFFNER Blake W. 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
227 LA ROSA Federico 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
227 WU Albert - 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
230 UPTON Michael 8% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
231 SPEVAK Alexander - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
232 JEON Caleb A. - 8% 27% 37% 22% 6% -
233 PETERS Nathan M. 1% 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% -
233 BARLETTA Joseph - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
233 MAROUF Loaay 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
236 LEE Nathaniel J. - 4% 20% 37% 29% 8% -
237 KIM Nicholas W. - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 2%
238 BATRAK Alexander 1% 11% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
239 AVRON Case B. 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
240 MANGE Nathan 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
241 CHAN Anthony 10% 37% 36% 15% 3% - -
241 YI Stephen K. 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
243 ZENG Lucas H. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
244 ONIK Elijah T. 6% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
245 RYAN Connor Q. 6% 34% 38% 17% 4% - -
246 YU Anders 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
247 ZHANG Songhao Steven 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
247 GU Jeffrey 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
249 GOGUEN-COMPAGNONI Nicholas 2% 27% 42% 23% 5% - -
250 LI Raphael C. 15% 39% 33% 11% 2% -
250 KIM Isaiah G. 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
252 CURLEY Sebastian D. 4% 26% 41% 24% 5% -
253 DESHMUKH Ayush 44% 41% 13% 2% - -
254 OURSLER Jack - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
255 JANSEN Jesse 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
256 FERNANDES Zain 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
257 LIAO Alex J. 5% 28% 41% 22% 4% -
258 SHAJI Karthik 50% 38% 10% 1% - -
259 KONG Kenneth 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
260 LEE Connor C. 5% 29% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
261 BREIER Matthew F. 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
262 THAYER Jake T. - 5% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
263 BEAR Myles A. 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% - -
263 HELTON Noah - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
265 FLANAGAN James - 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
266 VITI Mark G. 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
267 RINEHART Conner M. 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
268 HODESS Ethan 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
269 PETREE Justin 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
270 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. 28% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
270 MURRY Quinn 12% 42% 34% 11% 2% - -
272 NEWHARD Noah A. 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
273 KIM BANSEOK 66% 29% 4% - - - -
274 ZHOU TIMMY - 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
275 SHERMAN Marco J. 1% 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
275 HAN Andersen Y. 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
277 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 37% 42% 18% 3% - - -
278 LEE Chris 4% 21% 36% 29% 9% 1% -
279 LAURICELLA Douglas 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
280 LOMBARDI Leo 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
281 LOVERAS Orlando S. 2% 16% 37% 33% 10% 1% -
282 LIU Kevin B. 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
283 SHIBU Pranav 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
283 MARSHALL Ian 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
283 KEE Andrew L. 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
286 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 7% 32% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
287 TRAUGOT Braden (Brady) C. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
287 MILLER Trent D. 24% 45% 25% 5% - - -
289 WU Conrad J. 24% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
290 LI Simon A. 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
291 GRISWOLD Abel B. 8% 28% 37% 22% 5% - -
291 DING Jonathan 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
291 NEWELL Ian A. 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
294 PHAM-CHANG Duke A. 63% 31% 6% - - - -
295 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 3% 23% 37% 26% 9% 2% -
296 KIM Derek A. 55% 35% 8% 1% - - -
297 YIM Alex 62% 32% 5% - - - -
298 ARNOLD Oscar A. 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
299 NGUYEN Nish 3% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
300 CHUNG Noah J. 40% 40% 16% 3% - - -
301 BELLUOMO David C. 72% 25% 3% - - - -
301 CLAY Jacob M. 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
303 ROSSEN Michael 65% 29% 5% - - - -
304 THAI William 2% 21% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
304 SANTULLI Tristan 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
304 DONG Tianze 43% 40% 15% 3% - - -
307 WONG Wesley C. 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
308 JUSCINSKI Michal 80% 19% 2% - - - -
308 MURUHIN Yaroslav 29% 45% 21% 4% - - -
308 LOU Darren 37% 46% 15% 2% - - -
308 UPTON Craig 89% 10% - - - - -
312 BOUIE Jacob 25% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
312 IVARSSON Oliver 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
314 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
314 SZELA Tom J. 82% 16% 1% - - - -
314 WOMACH Tristan 73% 24% 3% - - - -
317 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
317 HOWARD Alexander 30% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
317 MCCOSH Evin M. 47% 42% 10% 1% - - -
320 TOMINO rafael 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
321 JIN Honggu 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
323 WOODALL Ian L. 95% 5% - - - - -
323 HOU Kenneth 47% 40% 12% 2% - - -
323 GUO Zachary 68% 28% 4% - - - -
326 MAHNKEN Thomas P. 88% 12% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.