USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I-A Men's Foil

Monday, July 1, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DICKSON Farr R. - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
2 DOBBINS Evan W. 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
3 RITCHIE Luke W. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 2%
3 PELOSKY Ryan F. - - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9%
5 YU Vinni - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
6 FIELD Miles - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 11%
7 YANG Adam - 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4%
8 BERMENDER Cameron - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
9 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 9% 1%
10 GROSS Liran - - - 4% 20% 45% 31%
11 KO Brian J. - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
12 MCKENNA Joseph (Owen) O. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
13 MULLIGAN James - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
14 GARLINGTON David 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
15 PALAZZOLO William J. - 4% 17% 31% 31% 14% 2%
16 LIU Kevin B. 1% 19% 39% 30% 10% 1%
17 SCARPA Ryan N. - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 24%
18 VITI Mark G. - 3% 13% 27% 32% 20% 5%
19 HOLMES Andrew E. - - - 2% 13% 41% 45%
20 HELTON Noah - 3% 13% 29% 34% 19% 3%
21 LUTAR Lucas N. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
22 DING Jonathan 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
23 LOCKWOOD Owen - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 4%
24 WONG Wesley C. - 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3%
25 NGUYEN Jett - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
26 CHU Derek 2% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
27 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
28 MORGAN Quinlyn (Quin) D. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
29 SCHLESINGER Nathan - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
30 CHOI Eric Y. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
31 SOHN Christopher - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 20%
32 BARLETTA Joseph 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
33 COOKE Dillon K. 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
34 LIMA Kevin M. - 8% 28% 37% 22% 5%
35 TUMMINGS C.J. - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
36 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 2% 11% 26% 32% 22% 8% 1%
37 ADLER David R. 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
38 HEALY Griffen 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
39 LEWIS Paul D. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
40 PETER Griffin 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
41 MEMANI Apurva 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
42 JEON Nathan S. - 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 3%
43 ZUSIN Zachary W. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
44 ADLER Ian B. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1%
45 ANDREWS Nathan J. - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
46 SLEDESKI Andrew 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
47 SPEVAK Alexander - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
48 MA Alexander - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
49 IVANOV Yaroslav I. 8% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1%
50 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
51 MAURER Ned (John) E. - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
52 LEE Brandon B. 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% - -
53 HUTH Jacob 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 9% 1%
54 GORDON-SAND Spencer 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% -
55 PAEK Alex J. - 1% 6% 22% 39% 27% 6%
56 FERNANDES Zain 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
57 MOORE Jeremy S. 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
58 BLUTT Emerson B. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
59 SHERMAN Marco J. 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
60 ZHENG Alan H. 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
61 KASI Sanjay 3% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
62 URODOVSKIKH Evan 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
63 CHEN Andrew 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7% 1%
64 CHESTNA Samuel E. 9% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
65 WANG Christopher M. - 2% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
65 RECHLER Logan - 5% 22% 39% 26% 6% -
67 JOHNSON Aidan J. - - - 4% 21% 47% 27%
68 POLANSKY Solomon 2% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
69 GEE Brandon 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
70 GU Jeffrey 5% 21% 34% 28% 11% 2%
71 WENDLER Alexander J. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
72 BRATTON Jack S. - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
73 JANG Jaewon - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 7%
74 CANNON Caiden C. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
75 TRAUGOT Braden (Brady) C. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
76 PICKERING Owen D. 2% 14% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
77 HERGERT Benito 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
78 HONDA Kazu Z. - - 1% 7% 23% 40% 29%
79 OH Samuel H. 2% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
80 DIVITO Dylan - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
80 KIM Isaiah G. 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% -
82 ZHOU TIMMY 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
83 CHOUN Samuel Minwook - 8% 28% 37% 22% 5%
84 ROMANOV Michael - 2% 13% 31% 37% 17%
85 LI Simon A. 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
86 PRINCE Nicholas J. 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
87 GRASS Andrew E. - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
88 HODESS Ethan 11% 35% 36% 14% 3% - -
89 KONG Kenneth 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
90 XIAO Anthony 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
91 FARQUHARSON Cole - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
92 LOVERAS Orlando S. 5% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
93 MILLER Braeden G. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
93 KUMBLA Samarth 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
95 GUTIERREZ Nikolai A. 5% 22% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
96 TESCHE Askhat D. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
97 FORTNER Lance R. 1% 7% 20% 31% 27% 12% 2%
98 SIEGEL Elliot 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
99 LIU Eric P. 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
100 GRISWOLD Abel B. 3% 17% 32% 31% 14% 3%
101 ZHAO Jason L. 8% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1%
102 WONG Anthony M. 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
103 RUFFNER Blake W. 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
103 BATRAK Alexander 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
105 MILLER Trent D. 18% 37% 30% 13% 3% - -
106 CHEN Allen 2% 12% 27% 31% 20% 7% 1%
107 NGUYEN Nish 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
108 PANTEL Adam S. - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
109 CHIN Jason Y. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
110 BURKE Spencer W. - 3% 13% 27% 32% 20% 5%
111 BUCUVALAS John Luke - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
111 IYENGAR Amal N. 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
113 BRANDT-OGMAN Adlai 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
114 JIMENEZ Diran - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
115 HERGAN Daniel 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
116 ANDERSON David C. 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
116 WEN George C. 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
118 WU Albert 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
119 LEE Nathaniel J. 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
120 NEWHARD Noah A. 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
121 WESTELIUS Isak R. 3% 17% 32% 31% 14% 3%
122 JACOBS Tyler M. 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% -
123 DIVENTI Paul W. 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
124 LEE Connor C. 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1%
125 VANNI Filippo A. 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
126 DESHMUKH Ayush 8% 31% 38% 18% 4% - -
127 XIAO EDWARD 11% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
128 ADAMS Luke C. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
129 SWEENEY Jack A. 13% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
130 BROOKES Scott L. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
131 HAN Andersen Y. 22% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
132 HARTMARK Anders - 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3%
133 COOK John J. 56% 34% 9% 1% - - -
134 JAUME Andrei 43% 40% 15% 3% - - -
134 HSIUNG Richie 30% 44% 21% 4% - - -
136 LOMBARDI Leo 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
137 JIN Honggu 35% 43% 19% 3% - - -
138 PATEL Aryoman M. 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
139 WESTPHAL David R. 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
140 SEZER Kaya 5% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
141 CHUNG Noah J. 84% 15% 1% - - -
142 CHAN Anthony 10% 35% 37% 15% 3% - -
143 STANLEY Mason B. 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
144 SHIBU Pranav 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
145 LONG Quinton R. 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
146 WANG Michael 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
147 TSAI Philip W. 12% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.