USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I-A Men's Foil

Monday, July 1, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21%
2 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
3 RITCHIE Luke W. 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 2%
3 PELOSKY Ryan F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
5 YU Vinni 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
6 FIELD Miles 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
7 YANG Adam 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 4%
8 BERMENDER Cameron 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 10%
9 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
10 GROSS Liran 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
11 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
12 MCKENNA Joseph (Owen) O. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
13 MULLIGAN James 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 25%
14 GARLINGTON David 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
15 PALAZZOLO William J. 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 2%
16 LIU Kevin B. 100% 99% 80% 41% 11% 1%
17 SCARPA Ryan N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
18 VITI Mark G. 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 24% 5%
19 HOLMES Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
20 HELTON Noah 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 22% 3%
21 LUTAR Lucas N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
22 DING Jonathan 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
23 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
24 WONG Wesley C. 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 3%
25 NGUYEN Jett 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3%
26 CHU Derek 100% 98% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
27 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
28 MORGAN Quinlyn (Quin) D. 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
29 SCHLESINGER Nathan 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
30 CHOI Eric Y. 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1%
31 SOHN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
32 BARLETTA Joseph 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% -
33 COOKE Dillon K. 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 15% 2%
34 LIMA Kevin M. 100% 100% 92% 64% 27% 5%
35 TUMMINGS C.J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
36 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 9% 1%
37 ADLER David R. 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
38 HEALY Griffen 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 10% 1%
39 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
40 PETER Griffin 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
41 MEMANI Apurva 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5%
42 JEON Nathan S. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 3%
43 ZUSIN Zachary W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
44 ADLER Ian B. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
45 ANDREWS Nathan J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
46 SLEDESKI Andrew 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
47 SPEVAK Alexander 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
48 MA Alexander 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
49 IVANOV Yaroslav I. 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
50 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
51 MAURER Ned (John) E. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
52 LEE Brandon B. 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% - -
53 HUTH Jacob 100% 99% 89% 66% 34% 10% 1%
54 GORDON-SAND Spencer 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
55 PAEK Alex J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
56 FERNANDES Zain 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
57 MOORE Jeremy S. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
58 BLUTT Emerson B. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12%
59 SHERMAN Marco J. 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1%
60 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
61 KASI Sanjay 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 4% -
62 URODOVSKIKH Evan 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% 1%
63 CHEN Andrew 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
64 CHESTNA Samuel E. 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% - -
65 WANG Christopher M. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
65 RECHLER Logan 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
67 JOHNSON Aidan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 27%
68 POLANSKY Solomon 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
69 GEE Brandon 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
70 GU Jeffrey 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
71 WENDLER Alexander J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
72 BRATTON Jack S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
73 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 7%
74 CANNON Caiden C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 33% 7%
75 TRAUGOT Braden (Brady) C. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
76 PICKERING Owen D. 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
77 HERGERT Benito 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
78 HONDA Kazu Z. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 29%
79 OH Samuel H. 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 6% 1%
80 DIVITO Dylan 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
80 KIM Isaiah G. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
82 ZHOU TIMMY 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
83 CHOUN Samuel Minwook 100% 100% 92% 64% 27% 5%
84 ROMANOV Michael 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
85 LI Simon A. 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
86 PRINCE Nicholas J. 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
87 GRASS Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
88 HODESS Ethan 100% 89% 54% 17% 3% - -
89 KONG Kenneth 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
90 XIAO Anthony 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
91 FARQUHARSON Cole 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
92 LOVERAS Orlando S. 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
93 MILLER Braeden G. 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
93 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
95 GUTIERREZ Nikolai A. 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
96 TESCHE Askhat D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
97 FORTNER Lance R. 100% 99% 92% 72% 41% 14% 2%
98 SIEGEL Elliot 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
99 LIU Eric P. 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
100 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3%
101 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
102 WONG Anthony M. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
103 RUFFNER Blake W. 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
103 BATRAK Alexander 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
105 MILLER Trent D. 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
106 CHEN Allen 100% 98% 86% 59% 28% 8% 1%
107 NGUYEN Nish 100% 95% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
108 PANTEL Adam S. 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
109 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
110 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 25% 5%
111 BUCUVALAS John Luke 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
111 IYENGAR Amal N. 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
113 BRANDT-OGMAN Adlai 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
114 JIMENEZ Diran 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
115 HERGAN Daniel 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 4% -
116 ANDERSON David C. 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
116 WEN George C. 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
118 WU Albert 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
119 LEE Nathaniel J. 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
120 NEWHARD Noah A. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
121 WESTELIUS Isak R. 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3%
122 JACOBS Tyler M. 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% -
123 DIVENTI Paul W. 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
124 LEE Connor C. 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1%
125 VANNI Filippo A. 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
126 DESHMUKH Ayush 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
127 XIAO EDWARD 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
128 ADAMS Luke C. 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
129 SWEENEY Jack A. 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
130 BROOKES Scott L. 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
131 HAN Andersen Y. 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
132 HARTMARK Anders 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 3%
133 COOK John J. 100% 44% 10% 1% - - -
134 JAUME Andrei 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
134 HSIUNG Richie 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
136 LOMBARDI Leo 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
137 JIN Honggu 100% 65% 22% 3% - - -
138 PATEL Aryoman M. 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
139 WESTPHAL David R. 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
140 SEZER Kaya 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
141 CHUNG Noah J. 100% 16% 1% - - -
142 CHAN Anthony 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - -
143 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% -
144 SHIBU Pranav 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
145 LONG Quinton R. 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
146 WANG Michael 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
147 TSAI Philip W. 100% 88% 58% 25% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.