USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I-A Men's Épée

Monday, July 1, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MILAM Hugh 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
2 VOLKMANN Daniel R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
3 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13%
3 MILLER Finn S. 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 15%
5 LANGE Henry C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
5 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
7 LAURON Sean M. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
8 DELANEY Alexander D. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
9 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
10 BENACK Steven M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
11 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
12 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
12 PETROLL Jared P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 7%
14 TEPEDELENLIOGLU Mehmet 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 26% 5%
15 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
16 WERRELL Jack 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
17 MADISON Ethan S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
18 ZMYSLOWSKI Maciek A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
19 SHENG Patrick Y. 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
20 NOWAK Jakub P. 100% 100% 97% 86% 61% 28% 6%
21 BODON Michele I. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
22 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
23 LICHTEN Keith H. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
24 INSLER Gabriel C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
25 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
26 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
27 KAMBESELES Peter G. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
28 RUSSANOV Boris J. 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
29 KRAVIT Connor B. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
30 GASPAROVICH IV George M. 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
31 MALYSZ Anthony J. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
32 KIM Derek D. 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 4% -
33 YU Colin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
34 GANA Thomas A. 100% 97% 82% 53% 23% 6% 1%
35 KOKENGE Clark 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
36 CARPENTER Liam 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
37 CHO Tyler H. 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
38 LI Jesse 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 44% 11%
39 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 97% 83% 54% 24% 6% 1%
40 SMITH William K. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
41 DANZIG Jacob S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
42 JOHNSON Lucas W. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
43 KARAUSKY Joshua C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 18%
44 MAISEL Simon F. 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
45 GHAZALEH Thomas Xavier 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
46 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
47 SHACKLEFORD Aidan J. 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
48 CHA Russell W. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
49 FREDERIKSEN Ean L. 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
50 SHAMIS Mark 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 20% 3%
51 BLYTH Jourdain L. 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% -
51 ZEKO David J. 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
51 LEIGH David A. 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
54 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 6% 1%
55 TAE William G. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
56 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
57 VERNACHIO Anthony 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
57 JEONG Connor 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
59 FULLER George K. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
60 KANG Michael H. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
61 LEVY Zachari I. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
62 KUMAR Anitya 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
64 ALAIMO Charles 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
65 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
66 ZILINSKIY Eduard 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 29%
67 BREWER Andrew K. 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
68 CULLEN Daniel F. 100% 96% 78% 45% 17% 3% -
69 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
70 SNYDER IV William B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 11%
71 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
72 SCHACK Samuel D. 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
73 MOTIR Lucas D. 100% 99% 87% 56% 23% 5% -
74 LEE Timothy S. 100% 99% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
75 KAMBESELES Jack M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
76 ALLEN Graham 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8%
77 COHEN Jared E. 100% 95% 72% 38% 11% 2% -
77 LEI Joshua 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
79 ROY Joseph T. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 22% 4%
79 KIM Ethan S. 100% 99% 91% 70% 38% 13% 2%
81 SMITH Justin C. 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
81 YOON Nathan 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
83 WESTEN Zachary (Zack) C. 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
84 MCGAW Julian E. 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 15%
85 SILVER Cameron 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6%
86 BARREIRO Darren 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
87 BEKKER Mitchel 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
88 DOELEMAN zeno 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
89 ATANAS Matthew M. 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2% -
90 HERGERT Earl 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
91 MOYSE Alexander S. 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
92 RA Jr. Daniel M. 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
93 PLUMER Jack E. 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
94 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 96% 83% 55% 23% 5%
95 RODACHY Jeffrey M. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% 1%
96 SAYLOR Harrison G. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
97 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
98 LENTHART Robert (Ian) I. 100% 98% 86% 59% 28% 8% 1%
98 SLAVINSKIY Alan 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
100 WALKER IV Weymouth D. 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
101 BOWERMAN Lucas A. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
102 ZHOU Alan 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 8%
103 KELSEY Ryan 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
104 LAFVING Brandon 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
105 LI Jeffrey 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
106 SCHULTZ Alex 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
107 DOAN Joseph M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 5%
108 HUEMER Jackson D. 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
108 STENCEL Andrew E. 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 21% 4%
110 COMER Daniel T. 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
111 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3%
112 OH Kevin Y. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
113 LENDER David 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1%
114 CAPELLUA Tommaso 100% 85% 51% 18% 4% -
115 MARCHANT Albert J. 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
116 SHARMA Sanil 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
117 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
118 LABROZZI Aidan 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
119 LIM Timothy D. 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
120 MARTIN Nathan C. 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
120 MASON Alexander T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 9%
120 BRENNAN Charles F. 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
123 MARTIN Liam N. 100% 97% 83% 55% 24% 6% 1%
124 MCKINLEY Liam K. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
125 FERGUSON Ross A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
126 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
126 ELAMURUGAN Kavin 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
128 ZUBECK Dominic 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
129 DAVIS Jeffrey H. 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
130 LIANG Aaron 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
131 MENEGOLI Lorenzo 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
131 LIU John 100% 94% 71% 38% 12% 2% -
133 VENKAT Rakesh 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
133 COMBS Colson 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
133 MORSE Tyler 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
136 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
137 SCHINDLER Sergey M. 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
138 WISOFF Jeffrey 100% 95% 77% 46% 18% 4% -
139 CRASWELL Andrew J. 100% 90% 56% 21% 4% - -
140 FREY Wayne N. 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
141 FREDERIKSEN Elijah L. 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 2%
142 STADNIKOV Tom 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
143 PARK Minchan 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% -
144 BAKER Kevin G. 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2%
145 ZHANG Matthew 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
146 ANDREEV Arthur 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
147 YOSHIDA Stephen R. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
148 LIU Alexander 100% 99% 91% 69% 38% 13% 2%
149 JOHNSON Ben 100% 95% 75% 43% 16% 3% -
150 ANDERSON Elias W. 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
151 WOZNIAK Sebastian 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
152 NIXON Christian A. 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
152 MOON Ryan Y. 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
154 LEE Matthew C. 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
155 CLARK Timothy J. 100% 93% 61% 22% 4% - -
155 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
155 PALACIOS Justin M. 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
155 WYATT Seth 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
159 JORDAN Jonathan ". 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
159 MONTGOMERY Tyler 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 4% -
159 MACKIN Samuel 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
162 RESHEIDAT Shadi 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
163 DORRELL Connor I. 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
163 DANIEL Camron 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
165 KIM Dohyun D. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
166 FENWICK Luke A. 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
167 DALY Conor 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
168 NG Alexander M. 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
169 RODELL Hunter C. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
170 PAOLINI Nathan R. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5%
171 WALTHER Bryan M. 100% 95% 72% 37% 12% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.