USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I Men's Foil

Tuesday, July 2, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Daniel D. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
2 TROFIMOV Dmitri - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1%
3 MATHIEU Adam - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 22%
3 KUMBLA Sidarth - - - 1% 6% 31% 63%
5 LI Michael C. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
6 CHEN James P. - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
7 SAVIN Rafael - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
8 KANESHIGE Brian K. - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 15%
9 DANIEL Ashton - 1% 5% 18% 33% 32% 12%
10 GASSNER Ethan I. - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
11 DEXARCIS Lucas - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
12 VOGLER Justin K. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% < 1%
13 HOSSFELD Finn E. - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
14 PARKINS Benjamin B. - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 14%
15 ANDRADE Nicholas H. - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
16 BRAVO Kenji U. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
17 MACHOVEC Andrew C. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 14%
18 LIU Justin - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
19 PAIK Joon K. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
20 RHEINGANS-YOO Duncan R. - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
21 LI Brandon H. - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
22 ZUSIN Zachary W. - 3% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
23 ZHENG Andrew R. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
24 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
25 BOURTIS James S. - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
26 LIU Niles J. - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
27 LIU Patrick 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
28 LIAO Jun Heng (James) - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
29 DAYTON Draper 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
30 HOLMES Stuart S. - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
31 TAN Lawrence (Lance) E. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
32 LUTAR Lucas N. - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 24%
33 MOELIS Samuel (Sam) D. - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
34 HODGES Carter F. - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 23%
35 KNODT Julian P. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
36 ORTS Lucas E. - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
37 SENIC Anatolie 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
38 MITBERG Gregory W. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
39 NDIAYE Edriss G. - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
40 SHAFAIE Kaveh - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
41 HAN YIMING - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 14%
42 WELCH Kyle J. - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 1%
43 SCARPA Ryan N. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
44 XIAO Ethan J. - 4% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
45 CHUNG Andrew N. - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 11%
46 DICKSON Farr R. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
47 KAISER Hans Z. 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
48 JOHNSON Aidan J. - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
49 EMMER Chase T. - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
50 HUANG Bin - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 34%
51 LEE Benjamin H. - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
52 MCKENNA Joseph (Owen) O. - 5% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
53 RANADIVE Rishi R. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
54 GRUBER Samuel T. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
55 OSTATNIGROSH Andrey 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
56 PAIK Hyun K. 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
57 POON Simon - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
58 TIERNEY David A. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
59 SLEDESKI Andrew 10% 32% 36% 17% 4% - -
60 TULYAG Fyze A. 1% 9% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
61 DONG Darren 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
62 TUMMINGS C.J. 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1%
63 LI Brian H. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
64 PRILUTSKY David B. - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 1%
65 LOUIE Bryce - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
66 MARINO Joseph A. - - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
67 OLIVARES Marcello G. - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
68 KNIGHT Ethan H. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% 1%
68 CHOI Eric Y. 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% < 1% -
70 HOLMES Andrew E. - 1% 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
71 KO Brian J. 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
72 SONG Lawrence (Larry) - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
73 LI Simon A. 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
74 CHEN Ziyuan - 3% 15% 32% 34% 14% 2%
75 AYUPOV Ilya - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
76 ZAKHARIKOV Anton - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
77 BERMENDER Cameron 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
78 YANG Adam 1% 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
79 ZHANG Vincent 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
80 WU Jerry - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
81 ZENG Lucas H. 1% 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
82 MURRAY Thomas J. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
83 SAMORA Jose G. 3% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
84 OURSLER Jack 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
85 GRIFFIN John O. 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
86 ARIZA Isaac A. 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
87 WOODS Jack H. - 6% 22% 38% 27% 7%
88 LU Kerry L. 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
89 MULLIGAN James 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
89 PELOSKY Ryan F. 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
91 BESSIRE Nolan S. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
92 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
93 YEE Maxwell J. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
94 PALAZZOLO William J. 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
95 PARK Luke J. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
96 UM Ethan A. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
97 LEE Caden 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
98 OUELLETTE David M. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
99 CHIN Jason Y. 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
100 KATAYAMA Kevin - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
101 PRINCE Nicholas J. 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
102 LI Jiaan 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
103 LORENZONI Davide Ryoga - - 3% 13% 33% 38% 14%
103 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
105 BARLETTA Joseph 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
106 YU Eric W. - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
107 BAE Anthony 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
108 URODOVSKIKH Evan 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
109 RITCHIE Luke W. 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
110 REID Clayton J. 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
111 CAO Leon M. 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
112 YANG Andy H. 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
113 WANG Brian S. - - 3% 15% 35% 37% 10%
113 WONG Wesley C. 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
115 KONG Kenneth 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
116 TAQI Ahmad F. 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
117 SHIH Benjamin - - 3% 19% 41% 30% 7%
118 LIU Jonathan C. 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% 1% -
119 RUFFNER Blake W. 29% 44% 22% 5% - - -
119 HU Oliver W. 1% 14% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
121 DORITY Philip S. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
121 CHENG Thomas C. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
123 GIRALDO Pablo E. 25% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
124 REALS Alden D. 13% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
124 MEMANI Apurva 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
124 KIM Nicholas W. 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
127 TORO Alejandro 27% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
128 YU Vinni 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
129 JOHNSON Cole B. 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
130 POON Alvin 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
131 MCGILLION-MOORE Jake 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
132 BLUTT Emerson B. 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
133 NAGIMOV Marsel 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
134 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
135 ROSSELLO Gustavo J. 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
136 BOROWIAK Arwen - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
137 FERNANDES Zain 13% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
138 ZHANG Songhao Steven 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
139 SHAFAIE Ali 4% 21% 37% 29% 9% 1%
140 MAURER Ned (John) E. 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
141 LEVY Jacob M. 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
142 FIELD Miles 8% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
142 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
144 EVANS Cameron R. - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
145 BRATTON Jack S. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
146 LAW Robert C. 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
147 LEVY Jasper - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
148 KOZAK Mateusz - < 1% 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
149 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 3% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
150 PETER Griffin 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
151 GRASS Andrew E. 1% 7% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
152 HEALY Griffen 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
153 SHIH William 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
153 JAUME Andrei 75% 23% 2% - - - -
153 WU Michael 28% 41% 24% 6% 1% - -
156 DIVENTI Paul W. 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
156 LA ROSA Federico 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
158 FLANAGAN James 26% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
158 GEE Brandon 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
160 MION Lorenzo 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
161 FORTNER Lance R. 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
162 UPTON Michael 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
162 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
164 LOVERAS Orlando S. 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
164 DING Allan 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
166 KIM Isaiah G. 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
167 LEWIS Paul D. 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% -
168 BEAR Myles A. 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
169 JACOBS Tyler M. 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
170 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
170 SIEGEL Elliot 23% 44% 26% 7% 1% - -
172 WU Alexander 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
173 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.