USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div II Men's Foil

Thursday, July 4, 2019 at 2:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JAYASEKARA Hiran H. - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
2 SACCOCCIO Nicholas P. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
3 KASI Sanjay - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
3 LOMBARDI Leo - 2% 12% 32% 36% 17% 3%
5 SONG Dylan S. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
6 MAO Connor - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4%
7 HERGERT Benito - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
8 WANG Michael 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
9 MCCLAIN Bryce C. - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
10 BOLTON Lucas R. - - - 2% 13% 43% 43%
11 HEWES Thomas G. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
12 BARTEL Jacob L. 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
13 ONIK Elijah T. - - - 5% 24% 45% 26%
14 BERESTEANU Guy W. - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
15 ANDERSON Colton J. - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
16 MANGE Andrew (Andrew Mange) E. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
17 KUMBLA Samarth - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
18 LIU Eric P. - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
19 ZHANG Henry C. - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
20 ZHANG Luke T. - 4% 20% 39% 30% 8%
21 LANGEN Carter M. - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
22 TSAI Philip W. 2% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1%
23 CHOI Ethan L. - - 1% 6% 25% 45% 24%
24 DANKAR Neel - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
25 MCCORD Clark - 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7%
26 CURLEY Sebastian D. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
27 KIM Aaron J. 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
28 DESHMUKH Ayush - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
29 PEGRAM Rafferty G. - 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
30 TIAN Yuzhe (Charlie) 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
31 CATLIN Adam 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
32 PAULSON Connor M. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
33 KONG Kenneth - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
34 MUSHA John M. - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
34 CHIN Jason Y. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
36 SONG Leonardo T. 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
37 CRALEY Thomas M. - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 11%
37 MATHEWS Rocco J. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
39 XIAO Anthony - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
40 FERNANDES Zain - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
41 ZHOU TIMMY - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
42 OTAKE Jared K. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
43 XU Max - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
44 GRISWOLD Abel B. - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 5%
45 NEWHARD Noah A. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
46 HAN Andersen Y. - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
47 UM Christian J. - 1% 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
48 HODESS Ethan - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
49 GU Jeffrey - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 17%
50 BREIER Matthew F. - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
51 YEROKHIN Michael N. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
52 HEALY Griffen - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
53 LAI Christopher W. - 4% 14% 28% 31% 18% 4%
54 BALL James T. - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
55 MILLER Trent D. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
56 CORTIZAS John (Jack) 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
57 YI Stephen K. - 5% 21% 38% 29% 8%
58 NGUYEN Nish - 3% 15% 33% 33% 13% 1%
59 FRITZ Ayden R. 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
60 ZHENG Alan H. 1% 10% 33% 40% 16%
61 MEYERS Lee P. 3% 22% 42% 27% 6%
62 LIAO Alex J. - - 4% 18% 38% 31% 8%
63 WU Michael 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
64 LAO Scott E. - 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
65 CONVERSE Warren D. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
66 LIN Frank J. 9% 36% 39% 14% 1%
67 DARIANO Noah G. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
68 MA Alexander - - - 5% 23% 44% 27%
68 BAE Kevin - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
70 BROOKES Scott L. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
70 HUTH Mitchell - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
72 PYO Michael M. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
73 DROUTMAN Ryan - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
74 REGE Advaith - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
75 FU Samuel Y. - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
75 MONTALVO-ZOTTER Gabriel M. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
77 CREEL Aidan H. 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
78 ANCONA Christopher - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
79 WITTENBERG Jackson H. 4% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1%
80 BOISLARD Adam J. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 6%
81 MARSHALL Ian - - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
82 MILLER Braeden G. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
83 WESTPHAL David R. - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
83 LEE Connor C. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
85 SOOD Kishan S. 1% 5% 17% 30% 30% 15% 3%
86 JOSEPH Willem - 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
87 LI Nicholas X - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
88 SCHOENBERGER Xander S. 1% 5% 17% 30% 30% 15% 3%
89 CHU Tristan L. 10% 39% 35% 13% 2% - -
90 HARRIS Samuel (Sam) - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
91 MURRAY Maximo - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
92 BRIEN Jeremy - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
93 KIM BANSEOK 28% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
94 HU Robin 1% 7% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
95 SWEENEY Quinn 4% 24% 37% 25% 9% 1% -
96 SHIBU Pranav - 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
96 STEPHENS Maximilian A. - 3% 15% 31% 33% 16% 3%
98 CHO Jeremy Y. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
99 HOWARD Michael - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
100 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
101 NAGER Noah 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
102 JANSEN Jesse 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
103 SICHITIU Alexander 5% 28% 39% 22% 6% 1%
104 MAGIDSON Gabriel - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
105 XIE Javah - 4% 15% 29% 31% 16% 4%
106 KO Tyler B. - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
107 FREEDMAN Samuel E. - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
108 DENYSE Jameson - 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
109 DESANDO Michael R. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
110 GISLER Benjamin B. - 5% 28% 40% 21% 4% -
111 WEN George C. - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
112 DALBERG Leif - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
113 SANTULLI Tristan 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
114 WANG Andrew - 3% 14% 29% 33% 18% 4%
114 ANDERSON David C. 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
116 WENDLER Alexander J. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
117 IVARSSON Oliver 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
118 CHREKY Jacob D. - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
119 WU Conrad J. 3% 16% 34% 31% 14% 2% -
119 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
121 ZELTSER Lawrence M. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
122 HSIUNG Richie 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 2%
123 HOWARD Alexander 6% 26% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
124 SOLIMAN Paul S. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
125 HUANG Joshua A. 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
125 KAZA Nitish - 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
127 GREENBAUM Andrew 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
128 SNYDER IV William B. - 5% 21% 39% 28% 7%
129 MURPHY Ryan M. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
129 BENDER Rhys T. - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
131 MACRAE Harrison A. - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
132 SELL Ethan J. - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
133 GOLDADE Luke A. - 3% 22% 41% 27% 7% 1%
133 TIAN Aaron C. 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
135 AVRON Case B. 2% 14% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
136 CHUNG Noah J. 5% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1%
137 GOING Nicholas (Nick) S. - 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
138 CAPUTO Paul M. - 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
139 BICKFORD Michael S. 4% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1%
140 AMICO Julian F. 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
141 KITAGAWA Eric S. - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2%
142 BOBROW Logan - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
143 LENTHART Robert (Ian) I. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
144 YIM Alex 2% 15% 36% 34% 11% 2% -
145 TSAI Max W. 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
145 SELIVANOV Adam - 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
147 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. - 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
148 SASSE Kuleen D. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
149 ENGEL Henry R. 2% 12% 26% 31% 21% 7% 1%
149 HILMER Michael 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
151 WANG Duke R. 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
152 STORKSON Aprizal F. - 3% 20% 46% 30%
153 CLAYMAN John A. 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
153 MCKINNEY Isaiah - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
155 SCHENCK Koen M. - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 12%
156 GUO Zachary 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
157 CHITU Julian S. - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
158 BRYANT Max 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
158 MONTGOMERY Trey A. - 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
160 JAUME Andrei 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
160 SZELA Tom J. 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
162 ALDRICH Peter 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% 1% -
163 WANG Gerald Y. 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
164 REZNICK Nicholas J. 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
165 TRAUGOT Braden (Brady) C. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
166 SMITH Erick 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% 1%
167 CAI Jason Zhicheng 1% 13% 32% 33% 17% 4% -
168 KLEIN Sebastian W. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
168 LE Vyn A. - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
170 WANG JONATHAN 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
171 BERK Theodore 1% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
172 MO Jason 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
172 MAHON Jacob 3% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
174 QUINONES Diego A. 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
175 ANTONIO Marcky C. 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
176 MILLER Duncan R. 3% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
177 WASDEN Andrew B. 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
178 DECKER Evan M. 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
179 WEBB Jacob T. 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
179 GALBAN Matthias L. 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
179 STRAYER Andrew 1% 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% -
182 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
182 CAPELLUA Tommaso 14% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
184 UPTON Craig 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
185 ANGLIN Benjamin S. 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
186 ROUNTREE Rob - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
187 REESMAN Matthew T. 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
188 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
189 MAZUR Jacob 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
190 BELLUOMO David C. 28% 40% 23% 7% 1% - -
191 CLAY Jacob M. 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
192 NECECKAS Lucas - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
193 SHIKHMAN Robert 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6% 1%
194 HARDMAN III Harry C. 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% - -
195 DIDYCZ Nicholas 12% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
196 RESHEIDAT Shadi 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
197 O'CONNOR Kristian 39% 41% 16% 3% - -
198 CANO Diego A. 4% 23% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
198 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
200 YU Colin 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
201 FISHER Austin D. 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
202 HAMMEL Blaine W. 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
203 RYAN Joshua P. 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
204 COLWELL Alexander J. 27% 45% 22% 5% - - -
205 WADE Grayson 9% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
206 ONG Ethan 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
207 SHA Yi Peng 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
208 NOWAK Joseph A. 28% 41% 24% 6% 1% - -
209 AMRANI David 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
210 WORLEY Aren R. 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
211 DITTEL Aaron K. 19% 40% 30% 9% 1% - -
212 JIN Honggu 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
213 TAN Jacob J. 2% 15% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
213 SEAL Maximus R. 5% 27% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
213 WALKER-JONES Ethan 13% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
216 WOHLERS Casey 27% 45% 23% 5% - - -
217 BOLERJACK Berton J. 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
218 FONG Colin J. 7% 31% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
220 KIM Chaemin 62% 33% 5% - - - -
221 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert 5% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
222 CHEN Felix 20% 44% 28% 7% 1% - -
223 ZACHARY Zane 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
224 YU Jonathan J. 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
225 MURATA Akitoshi D. 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
226 MCKEVITT Conner M. 7% 30% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
226 MONTAGUE Dante 70% 26% 4% - - - -
228 DENMAN Matthew L. 49% 39% 10% 1% -
229 LIM Charles Q. 7% 28% 38% 21% 6% 1% -
230 SHYNKARUK Quinn 26% 45% 23% 5% - -
231 CAI Oliver K. 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
231 KUO Evan 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
233 JOHNSON Daniel P 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
234 HEALY Tyler 36% 41% 18% 4% - -
234 BRUCE Roman 30% 49% 19% 3% - -
236 GODDARD Hal D. 49% 38% 11% 1% - - -
237 JEFFERY Jakob 52% 37% 10% 1% - -
238 WOLCOTT Charlie A. 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
238 COLE Cayden 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
238 VIVEROS Evan 44% 39% 14% 2% - - -
241 WOMACH Tristan 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
241 BOLD Timothy 86% 13% 1% - - - -
243 GALLER Dave 20% 37% 28% 11% 2% - -
244 SAIKOLAPPAN Narensankar 8% 36% 38% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.