USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div II Men's Foil

Thursday, July 4, 2019 at 2:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JAYASEKARA Hiran H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
2 SACCOCCIO Nicholas P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
3 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
3 LOMBARDI Leo 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 3%
5 SONG Dylan S. 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 12% 1%
6 MAO Connor 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
7 HERGERT Benito 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
8 WANG Michael 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 2%
9 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
10 BOLTON Lucas R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
11 HEWES Thomas G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
12 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
13 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
14 BERESTEANU Guy W. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
15 ANDERSON Colton J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
16 MANGE Andrew (Andrew Mange) E. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
17 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
18 LIU Eric P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
19 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
20 ZHANG Luke T. 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8%
21 LANGEN Carter M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
22 TSAI Philip W. 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1%
23 CHOI Ethan L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 24%
24 DANKAR Neel 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
25 MCCORD Clark 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
26 CURLEY Sebastian D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
27 KIM Aaron J. 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
28 DESHMUKH Ayush 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 2%
29 PEGRAM Rafferty G. 100% 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
30 TIAN Yuzhe (Charlie) 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
31 CATLIN Adam 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
32 PAULSON Connor M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
33 KONG Kenneth 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
34 MUSHA John M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
34 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 26%
36 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
37 CRALEY Thomas M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
37 MATHEWS Rocco J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
39 XIAO Anthony 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
40 FERNANDES Zain 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 18%
41 ZHOU TIMMY 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
42 OTAKE Jared K. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
43 XU Max 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
44 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 5%
45 NEWHARD Noah A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
46 HAN Andersen Y. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
47 UM Christian J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
48 HODESS Ethan 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 3%
49 GU Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
50 BREIER Matthew F. 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
51 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
52 HEALY Griffen 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
53 LAI Christopher W. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 22% 4%
54 BALL James T. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
55 MILLER Trent D. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
56 CORTIZAS John (Jack) 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
57 YI Stephen K. 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
58 NGUYEN Nish 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 1%
59 FRITZ Ayden R. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
60 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
61 MEYERS Lee P. 100% 97% 75% 33% 6%
62 LIAO Alex J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
63 WU Michael 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
64 LAO Scott E. 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
65 CONVERSE Warren D. 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 11% 1%
66 LIN Frank J. 100% 91% 55% 15% 1%
67 DARIANO Noah G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
68 MA Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
68 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
70 BROOKES Scott L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
70 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
72 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
73 DROUTMAN Ryan 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
74 REGE Advaith 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
75 FU Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
75 MONTALVO-ZOTTER Gabriel M. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
77 CREEL Aidan H. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
78 ANCONA Christopher 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
79 WITTENBERG Jackson H. 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
80 BOISLARD Adam J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
81 MARSHALL Ian 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 48% 11%
82 MILLER Braeden G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
83 WESTPHAL David R. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 6%
83 LEE Connor C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
85 SOOD Kishan S. 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
86 JOSEPH Willem 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
87 LI Nicholas X 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
88 SCHOENBERGER Xander S. 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
89 CHU Tristan L. 100% 90% 51% 16% 3% - -
90 HARRIS Samuel (Sam) 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
91 MURRAY Maximo 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
92 BRIEN Jeremy 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2%
93 KIM BANSEOK 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
94 HU Robin 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
95 SWEENEY Quinn 100% 96% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
96 SHIBU Pranav 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
96 STEPHENS Maximilian A. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
98 CHO Jeremy Y. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
99 HOWARD Michael 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
100 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 99% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
101 NAGER Noah 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
102 JANSEN Jesse 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
103 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 95% 68% 29% 7% 1%
104 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 6%
105 XIE Javah 100% 100% 95% 80% 51% 20% 4%
106 KO Tyler B. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
107 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 100% 98% 84% 54% 20% 3%
108 DENYSE Jameson 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 17% 2%
109 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
110 GISLER Benjamin B. 100% 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% -
111 WEN George C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
112 DALBERG Leif 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 17%
113 SANTULLI Tristan 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
114 WANG Andrew 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
114 ANDERSON David C. 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
116 WENDLER Alexander J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
117 IVARSSON Oliver 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
118 CHREKY Jacob D. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
119 WU Conrad J. 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
119 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
121 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
122 HSIUNG Richie 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2%
123 HOWARD Alexander 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
124 SOLIMAN Paul S. 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
125 HUANG Joshua A. 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 2% -
125 KAZA Nitish 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
127 GREENBAUM Andrew 100% 94% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
128 SNYDER IV William B. 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
129 MURPHY Ryan M. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
129 BENDER Rhys T. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 2%
131 MACRAE Harrison A. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
132 SELL Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
133 GOLDADE Luke A. 100% 100% 97% 75% 34% 7% 1%
133 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
135 AVRON Case B. 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
136 CHUNG Noah J. 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1%
137 GOING Nicholas (Nick) S. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
138 CAPUTO Paul M. 100% 100% 93% 71% 34% 7%
139 BICKFORD Michael S. 100% 96% 72% 34% 8% 1%
140 AMICO Julian F. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% -
141 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
142 BOBROW Logan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
143 LENTHART Robert (Ian) I. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
144 YIM Alex 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 2% -
145 TSAI Max W. 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
145 SELIVANOV Adam 100% 100% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
147 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
148 SASSE Kuleen D. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
149 ENGEL Henry R. 100% 98% 86% 60% 29% 8% 1%
149 HILMER Michael 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
151 WANG Duke R. 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
152 STORKSON Aprizal F. 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
153 CLAYMAN John A. 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
153 MCKINNEY Isaiah 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
155 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
156 GUO Zachary 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
157 CHITU Julian S. 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 2%
158 BRYANT Max 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
158 MONTGOMERY Trey A. 100% 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
160 JAUME Andrei 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
160 SZELA Tom J. 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
162 ALDRICH Peter 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
163 WANG Gerald Y. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
164 REZNICK Nicholas J. 100% 99% 91% 60% 22% 3%
165 TRAUGOT Braden (Brady) C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
166 SMITH Erick 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
167 CAI Jason Zhicheng 100% 99% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
168 KLEIN Sebastian W. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
168 LE Vyn A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
170 WANG JONATHAN 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
171 BERK Theodore 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
172 MO Jason 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
172 MAHON Jacob 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
174 QUINONES Diego A. 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
175 ANTONIO Marcky C. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
176 MILLER Duncan R. 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
177 WASDEN Andrew B. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
178 DECKER Evan M. 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
179 WEBB Jacob T. 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
179 GALBAN Matthias L. 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
179 STRAYER Andrew 100% 99% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
182 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
182 CAPELLUA Tommaso 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
184 UPTON Craig 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
185 ANGLIN Benjamin S. 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
186 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
187 REESMAN Matthew T. 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
188 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
189 MAZUR Jacob 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
190 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% - -
191 CLAY Jacob M. 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
192 NECECKAS Lucas 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
193 SHIKHMAN Robert 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 7% 1%
194 HARDMAN III Harry C. 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
195 DIDYCZ Nicholas 100% 88% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
196 RESHEIDAT Shadi 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6%
197 O'CONNOR Kristian 100% 61% 20% 3% - -
198 CANO Diego A. 100% 96% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
198 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
200 YU Colin 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% - -
201 FISHER Austin D. 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
202 HAMMEL Blaine W. 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
203 RYAN Joshua P. 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
204 COLWELL Alexander J. 100% 73% 28% 5% - - -
205 WADE Grayson 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% - -
206 ONG Ethan 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
207 SHA Yi Peng 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
208 NOWAK Joseph A. 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
209 AMRANI David 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
210 WORLEY Aren R. 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
211 DITTEL Aaron K. 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% - -
212 JIN Honggu 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
213 TAN Jacob J. 100% 98% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
213 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 95% 68% 30% 8% 1% -
213 WALKER-JONES Ethan 100% 87% 48% 15% 2% - -
216 WOHLERS Casey 100% 73% 28% 5% - - -
217 BOLERJACK Berton J. 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
218 FONG Colin J. 100% 93% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
220 KIM Chaemin 100% 38% 5% - - - -
221 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
222 CHEN Felix 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
223 ZACHARY Zane 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -
224 YU Jonathan J. 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
225 MURATA Akitoshi D. 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
226 MCKEVITT Conner M. 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
226 MONTAGUE Dante 100% 30% 4% - - - -
228 DENMAN Matthew L. 100% 51% 11% 1% -
229 LIM Charles Q. 100% 93% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
230 SHYNKARUK Quinn 100% 74% 29% 6% 1% -
231 CAI Oliver K. 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
231 KUO Evan 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
233 JOHNSON Daniel P 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
234 HEALY Tyler 100% 64% 23% 4% - -
234 BRUCE Roman 100% 70% 22% 3% - -
236 GODDARD Hal D. 100% 51% 12% 2% - - -
237 JEFFERY Jakob 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
238 WOLCOTT Charlie A. 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
238 COLE Cayden 100% 86% 50% 18% 3% - -
238 VIVEROS Evan 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -
241 WOMACH Tristan 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
241 BOLD Timothy 100% 14% 1% - - - -
243 GALLER Dave 100% 80% 42% 14% 3% - -
244 SAIKOLAPPAN Narensankar 100% 92% 56% 18% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.