USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div III Women's Épée

Thursday, July 4, 2019 at 4:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KETKAR Mallika - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
2 LIN Katie Y. - - - 4% 20% 44% 31%
3 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
3 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Maia - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
5 BELSLEY Devon K. - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
6 PARTE Isabella B. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 3%
7 HUH Anna 2% 11% 29% 34% 20% 4%
8 HAUK Zsofia F. 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 2% -
9 TOMASELLO Olivia E. - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 35%
10 NORCONK Claire R. - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
11 SCHULTZ Michelle M. - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 36%
12 TSANG JAFFE Avi - 3% 15% 32% 32% 14% 2%
13 PAN Michelle - - 3% 25% 45% 23% 3%
14 SON Katherine (Injee) - 3% 13% 27% 32% 20% 5%
15 TOLBA Salma - - 4% 15% 34% 35% 12%
16 SCHMUGAR Brooke - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
17 HENDRICK Heidi M. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
18 HODGES Grace A. - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
19 RASMUSSEN Ashelee - - 2% 16% 44% 31% 6%
20 MCCLAIN-YU Eri M. - - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
21 GROSSL Karina - 3% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1%
22 GAO Judy 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
23 KOKES Ava - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
24 CHOI Eunice - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
25 PARDO Sarah - - 5% 25% 46% 24%
26 PEDERSEN Kari 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
27 GLASSNER Sophia Rose S. - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5%
27 BENATER Lauren - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
29 BONDAR Nika 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 11% 2%
30 ZENG Katrina 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 3% -
31 DUAN Jenny S. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
32 LAVERY Chloe K. - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
33 BROWN Amanda - 3% 14% 30% 33% 16% 2%
34 SPURLIN Alicen 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
35 FOLEY Lauren 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2%
36 NELSON Gwendolyn H. 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
37 LOWENSTEIN Penelope J. - - - 3% 22% 47% 28%
38 LIU Jennifer L. - - - 3% 19% 47% 31%
39 HUANG audrey - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
40 DICKINSON Alexandra P. - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
40 DARANOUVONG Logan - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
42 ALVIDREZ Francesca A. - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
43 LOEHDE Sophie - 4% 20% 37% 29% 8%
44 JI Catherine 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4%
45 TEJADA Mikaela Aprille S. 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
46 PALANSKI Cate - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
47 MAO Amy - 1% 17% 42% 31% 8% 1%
48 BURN Lauren M. - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
49 WEBER Nora - - 1% 11% 35% 42% 11%
50 RANDAZZO Meredith D. - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
51 PETITE Jenny 11% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
52 MING Cynthia - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
53 GOLDBERG Sophie C. 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
54 ARAYE Nasro - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
55 LI Tiffany - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
56 SAVINI Lorenza 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 13% 2%
57 SCHAFF Marlene M. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 25% 7%
58 GITHENS Gracyn J. - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
59 GELBER Sara 20% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
60 GOEDICKE Elway 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
60 FELAND Alexandra 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
62 ZHANG Rachel - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
63 DEVEREAUX Kate E. - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
64 LEE Calla 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
65 SHAO Ariel - - 3% 20% 46% 31%
66 DE JAGER Celine - 4% 15% 29% 30% 17% 4%
67 CAPELLUA Mariasole 1% 7% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
68 SIDDIQUI Ammna K. - - 4% 19% 38% 32% 8%
69 ROWLAND May 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
70 HSU Annabel - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
71 LI AnnieSiliang - 5% 23% 38% 27% 6%
72 DANIEL Olivia 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
73 CHAWLA Ishika 1% 7% 21% 31% 26% 11% 2%
74 LURYE Lina - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
75 PRIOLEAU Isabel 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
76 EITZEN Carissa 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
77 CARVALHO Maia D. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
78 OH Kaitlin Y. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
79 SAMANDAS Jackelyn 3% 16% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
80 CHANG Ella 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
81 KIM Erika S. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
82 SHERTZ Kira E. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
83 DRONAMRAJU Navya 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
84 DING Sandra 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
85 SCHULTZ Gillian 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
86 KENT Elizabeth J. 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
87 LEE Anna - 5% 28% 43% 21% 3%
88 SCHLIEP Anna J. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
89 BECCHINA Olivia - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 12%
90 COVITZ Ashley A. 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
91 DILLARD Katlyn M. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
92 XU Jessica 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
93 PERALTA-VIRTUE Kamilla M. - 3% 13% 27% 32% 20% 5%
94 MOK Chloe R. 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
95 SAAL Anna - 3% 12% 27% 32% 20% 5%
95 BUCKLES Alexis A. 2% 11% 25% 31% 22% 8% 1%
95 RHEA Heather 31% 52% 15% 2% - - -
98 BANKS Lauren M. 8% 25% 33% 23% 9% 2% -
98 WILLIAMS Sophia 37% 41% 17% 4% - - -
100 SHAH Chloe 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
100 JACOBSON Amelia 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
100 THORNTON Paula R. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
103 MOHEBI Sue 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
104 WACKER Margaret - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
105 LYNN Heather D. - 1% 12% 34% 37% 14% 1%
106 RIST Rebecca (Beck) J. - 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
107 HENDRIAN Rachel M. 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
107 NOBLE Adara 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
109 LI Alisha 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
110 ZHAO Yingying 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6%
111 WONG Jalene L. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 5%
112 GREGORY Alex 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
113 JACKSON Wilma S. 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
114 DOWNARD Audrianna - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
115 BARBER Annalise 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
116 DURRELL Katherine (Kathy) J. 1% 7% 24% 37% 24% 6% 1%
116 STENZEL Emma A. 14% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
118 ENDERLE Alexis N. 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
119 PENSULA Sophia E. 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
120 OAKE Erica 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
121 DONDISCH Sophia 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 9% 1%
122 STOECKEL Sofia I. 2% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
123 CHEN Jephanie Y. 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
124 KWON Tiara 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
125 BACH Caroline 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
125 WILLIAMS Sarah - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
127 BYRON Karen J. 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
128 CHEN Hanna D. 4% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
129 MENDEZ Melissa J. 11% 31% 33% 18% 6% 1% -
130 LI Vivian 1% 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
131 MESCHIA Maggie 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
132 KRAVITZ Sarah 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
133 ANDERSON Nora E. - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
134 GROCE Linda J. 36% 45% 16% 2% - - -
135 GOLDEN Danielle - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
136 PAINE Cheryl A. 11% 39% 35% 14% 3% - -
137 SIENDA Angela J. 4% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
137 CAI Diane 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
139 NATSIOS Emily F. 3% 17% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
140 LONGSTREET Olivia 22% 56% 20% 2% - - -
141 COURTNEY Elya Rebekah 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
142 DONOS Nicole 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
143 ZHANG Nicole 4% 29% 40% 22% 5% -
144 PRICE Makalyn W. 38% 41% 17% 3% - -
146 APPLEBEE Andralyn 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
147 MCGEE Sophia - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4%
148 NOLLNER Jennifer R. 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
149 WILLIAMS Stephanie 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
150 HAND Grace 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
151 KERAMANE Halah Z. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
151 ZHANG Rachel Q. 31% 44% 20% 4% 1% - -
153 ZHU-HILL Alice A. - 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
154 MISIUTA Rachael 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
154 MAHAL Riya 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
156 ZHANG Ivyla 47% 40% 11% 1% - - -
157 PACHECO Naomi 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
158 DILLE Carolina G. 11% 41% 35% 11% 1% - -
159 FRIEDLANDER Sarah 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
160 WILLINGHAM Jacqueline 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
161 ZINK Kayla 3% 23% 47% 24% 3% - -
162 SAGE Kayla G. 1% 8% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
162 WOODY Sophia 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
164 FALEY Alexis 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
165 BATES Madison 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
166 MILLARD Lily C. 5% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
167 MORIN Jenna 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
167 BALAN Kassandra 5% 30% 53% 12% 1% -
169 TO Hang Minh 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
170 CHEN Quanyou Lisa 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
171 WANG Grace 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
172 TOWNS Jordan 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% -
173 MURDOCH ROY Grace 13% 40% 33% 12% 2% - -
174 MAHAL Anya 27% 49% 21% 3% - - -
175 HILL Molly M. 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 2% -
176 LUNDEBJERG Katie 69% 27% 4% - - - -
177 PANDEY Aashna 48% 42% 10% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.