USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div III Women's Épée

Thursday, July 4, 2019 at 4:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KETKAR Mallika 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
2 LIN Katie Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
3 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
3 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Maia 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14%
5 BELSLEY Devon K. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
6 PARTE Isabella B. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 22% 3%
7 HUH Anna 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
8 HAUK Zsofia F. 100% 99% 85% 50% 15% 2% -
9 TOMASELLO Olivia E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 35%
10 NORCONK Claire R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
11 SCHULTZ Michelle M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 36%
12 TSANG JAFFE Avi 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
13 PAN Michelle 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 26% 3%
14 SON Katherine (Injee) 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 25% 5%
15 TOLBA Salma 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
16 SCHMUGAR Brooke 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
17 HENDRICK Heidi M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
18 HODGES Grace A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
19 RASMUSSEN Ashelee 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38% 6%
20 MCCLAIN-YU Eri M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
21 GROSSL Karina 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 11% 1%
22 GAO Judy 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 14% 2%
23 KOKES Ava 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
24 CHOI Eunice 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
25 PARDO Sarah 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 24%
26 PEDERSEN Kari 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2%
27 GLASSNER Sophia Rose S. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 5%
27 BENATER Lauren 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 18%
29 BONDAR Nika 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
30 ZENG Katrina 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
31 DUAN Jenny S. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
32 LAVERY Chloe K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
33 BROWN Amanda 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 2%
34 SPURLIN Alicen 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 11% 1%
35 FOLEY Lauren 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 2%
36 NELSON Gwendolyn H. 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
37 LOWENSTEIN Penelope J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 28%
38 LIU Jennifer L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
39 HUANG audrey 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
40 DICKINSON Alexandra P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
40 DARANOUVONG Logan 100% 100% 99% 92% 73% 39% 10%
42 ALVIDREZ Francesca A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
43 LOEHDE Sophie 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 8%
44 JI Catherine 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
45 TEJADA Mikaela Aprille S. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
46 PALANSKI Cate 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
47 MAO Amy 100% 100% 99% 82% 41% 9% 1%
48 BURN Lauren M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
49 WEBER Nora 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 11%
50 RANDAZZO Meredith D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
51 PETITE Jenny 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
52 MING Cynthia 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
53 GOLDBERG Sophie C. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
54 ARAYE Nasro 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 18% 2%
55 LI Tiffany 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
56 SAVINI Lorenza 100% 99% 94% 74% 43% 15% 2%
57 SCHAFF Marlene M. 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 32% 7%
58 GITHENS Gracyn J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
59 GELBER Sara 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% - -
60 GOEDICKE Elway 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 9% 1%
60 FELAND Alexandra 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
62 ZHANG Rachel 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
63 DEVEREAUX Kate E. 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
64 LEE Calla 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
65 SHAO Ariel 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
66 DE JAGER Celine 100% 100% 95% 80% 51% 21% 4%
67 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
68 SIDDIQUI Ammna K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
69 ROWLAND May 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
70 HSU Annabel 100% 100% 100% 97% 87% 58% 20%
71 LI AnnieSiliang 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
72 DANIEL Olivia 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
73 CHAWLA Ishika 100% 99% 92% 71% 40% 13% 2%
74 LURYE Lina 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 5%
75 PRIOLEAU Isabel 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
76 EITZEN Carissa 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
77 CARVALHO Maia D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
78 OH Kaitlin Y. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
79 SAMANDAS Jackelyn 100% 97% 81% 50% 21% 5% -
80 CHANG Ella 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
81 KIM Erika S. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
82 SHERTZ Kira E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
83 DRONAMRAJU Navya 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
84 DING Sandra 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
85 SCHULTZ Gillian 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
86 KENT Elizabeth J. 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2%
87 LEE Anna 100% 100% 95% 67% 24% 3%
88 SCHLIEP Anna J. 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
89 BECCHINA Olivia 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
90 COVITZ Ashley A. 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
91 DILLARD Katlyn M. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
92 XU Jessica 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
93 PERALTA-VIRTUE Kamilla M. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 5%
94 MOK Chloe R. 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
95 SAAL Anna 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 25% 5%
95 BUCKLES Alexis A. 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
95 RHEA Heather 100% 69% 17% 2% - - -
98 BANKS Lauren M. 100% 92% 68% 34% 11% 2% -
98 WILLIAMS Sophia 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
100 SHAH Chloe 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
100 JACOBSON Amelia 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
100 THORNTON Paula R. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
103 MOHEBI Sue 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
104 WACKER Margaret 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 24% 4%
105 LYNN Heather D. 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 1%
106 RIST Rebecca (Beck) J. 100% 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
107 HENDRIAN Rachel M. 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
107 NOBLE Adara 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
109 LI Alisha 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
110 ZHAO Yingying 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
111 WONG Jalene L. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
112 GREGORY Alex 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
113 JACKSON Wilma S. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
114 DOWNARD Audrianna 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 3%
115 BARBER Annalise 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
116 DURRELL Katherine (Kathy) J. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
116 STENZEL Emma A. 100% 86% 53% 20% 4% - -
118 ENDERLE Alexis N. 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
119 PENSULA Sophia E. 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 18% 3%
120 OAKE Erica 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
121 DONDISCH Sophia 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
122 STOECKEL Sofia I. 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2% -
123 CHEN Jephanie Y. 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
124 KWON Tiara 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
125 BACH Caroline 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
125 WILLIAMS Sarah 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
127 BYRON Karen J. 100% 81% 44% 14% 2% -
128 CHEN Hanna D. 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1%
129 MENDEZ Melissa J. 100% 89% 58% 25% 7% 1% -
130 LI Vivian 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 2% -
131 MESCHIA Maggie 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
132 KRAVITZ Sarah 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% -
133 ANDERSON Nora E. 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 22% 3%
134 GROCE Linda J. 100% 64% 19% 3% - - -
135 GOLDEN Danielle 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
136 PAINE Cheryl A. 100% 89% 51% 16% 3% - -
137 SIENDA Angela J. 100% 96% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
137 CAI Diane 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
139 NATSIOS Emily F. 100% 97% 80% 48% 19% 4% -
140 LONGSTREET Olivia 100% 78% 23% 2% - - -
141 COURTNEY Elya Rebekah 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
142 DONOS Nicole 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
143 ZHANG Nicole 100% 96% 67% 27% 5% -
144 PRICE Makalyn W. 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
146 APPLEBEE Andralyn 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
147 MCGEE Sophia 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4%
148 NOLLNER Jennifer R. 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
149 WILLIAMS Stephanie 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
150 HAND Grace 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
151 KERAMANE Halah Z. 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 4% -
151 ZHANG Rachel Q. 100% 69% 25% 5% 1% - -
153 ZHU-HILL Alice A. 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
154 MISIUTA Rachael 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
154 MAHAL Riya 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
156 ZHANG Ivyla 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
157 PACHECO Naomi 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
158 DILLE Carolina G. 100% 89% 48% 13% 1% - -
159 FRIEDLANDER Sarah 100% 94% 70% 37% 12% 2% -
160 WILLINGHAM Jacqueline 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
161 ZINK Kayla 100% 97% 74% 27% 3% - -
162 SAGE Kayla G. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
162 WOODY Sophia 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
164 FALEY Alexis 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
165 BATES Madison 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
166 MILLARD Lily C. 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1%
167 MORIN Jenna 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
167 BALAN Kassandra 100% 95% 65% 12% 1% -
169 TO Hang Minh 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
170 CHEN Quanyou Lisa 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
171 WANG Grace 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
172 TOWNS Jordan 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% -
173 MURDOCH ROY Grace 100% 87% 47% 14% 2% - -
174 MAHAL Anya 100% 73% 25% 3% - - -
175 HILL Molly M. 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
176 LUNDEBJERG Katie 100% 31% 4% - - - -
177 PANDEY Aashna 100% 52% 10% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.