USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div II Men's Saber

Friday, July 5, 2019 at 11:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WOOD Elden S. - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
2 KIM Benjamin H. - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
3 FEENEY Sean - 2% 11% 26% 34% 22% 5%
3 LINSKY Matthew - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
5 D'ORAZIO Joseph - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
6 ESCUETA Tony V. - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
7 DESAI Drewv D. 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
8 RAJA Arnav 1% 7% 27% 39% 23% 5%
9 KOKKIN Jack S. - 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
10 WINKLER Lucas G. - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
11 TANG Alex Y. - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
12 MICHELL Bailey - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
13 DU Gavin J. - 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
14 MONTGOMERY Jadon T. - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
15 TRAVERS Samir T. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
16 MAHONEY Colin M. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
17 HANEY Vincent 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2%
18 LOBO-BERG Gabriel (G) K. - - 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
18 KANG Brandon M. - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 22%
20 LIU David J. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
21 ZU Kevin - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
22 TANG Brendan J. - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
23 BASALYGA Jeffrey - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
24 TAKEMARU Leo - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
25 DAMMER Mark W. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
26 LO Joshua H. - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
27 CHO Brandon - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
28 LIU kelly - 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
29 LUEBBE Macklan C - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
30 LIN William - 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
31 LEFEVRE Colin B. 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
31 GINIS Nathan - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
33 PAPA Christopher - 6% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2%
34 CHAMBERS Amir E. - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
35 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. - 1% 5% 21% 41% 33%
36 LAU Jeremy Y. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
37 LIU Jonathan M. - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
38 COVINGTON Max G. 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% 1%
39 MOORE Evan M. 1% 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
40 YEN Preston 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
41 HUDDY Brandon J. - 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
42 HAZLE-CARY Jacob P. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
42 GREENE Alexander J. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
44 GREEN IV James (Bud) - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 5%
45 WU Nicholas R. - 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2%
46 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 12%
46 GANTA Vijay - 2% 14% 35% 33% 13% 2%
48 BUKOWSKI Bronson - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
49 HAMMARBERG Stowe 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
50 GILLIGAN Wolff - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 6%
51 NEUHEARDT Peter 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
52 MURTHY mukund - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
53 HARRIS Alex K. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
53 CHAN Daniel 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
53 QUAN Nicholas - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
56 TSODIKOV Matthew G. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
57 WRIGHT Athan 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
58 ZHOU Kevin - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
59 VAULES Charles W. - - 5% 21% 39% 28% 7%
60 HENNICKE Michael G. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
61 KARNES Jameson D. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
62 MURZYN III CJ 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
63 JIANG Kevin 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
64 GREENBAUM Ian L. 14% 43% 32% 10% 1% -
65 BARTOLO Domenic V. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
66 NG Jonathan H. - - 4% 15% 32% 35% 15%
67 DOARES Andrew - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
68 PEDERSEN Leif - 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 5%
69 BECKER Dylan J. - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
70 HUANG Eric - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
71 HUAYTA James W. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
72 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
73 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
74 RESHEIDAT Malik - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
75 PARK Collin D. - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
76 MESHKOV Peter A. 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
77 KAHN Justin M. 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
78 GREENE Cameron J. 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
78 YOUNG Brendon - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
80 BRAR Sanjeet 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
81 LAHOTSKA Yahor - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
82 GILES Jeremy M. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
83 LASORSA Matthew - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
84 OFFUTT Tyler T. - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
84 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
84 ASHBY Ethan J. 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
87 WESLER Logan A. - 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
88 WONG Matthew 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
89 KAYDALIN Artyom 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
90 TANG Albert - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
91 FALLICK Ozzie - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
91 BLINKOV Andrey - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
93 ZHOU Brian 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
94 BAILEY Asher - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
95 WALKER Robert Connor - 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
95 KOTOV Leonid 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
97 GAFFNEY John M. 9% 34% 36% 17% 4% - -
97 VILLARREAL Mateo 5% 41% 39% 13% 2% - -
99 XU Luke 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
100 MORRISROE Keegan A. 1% 5% 18% 30% 29% 14% 3%
100 YOU Jaden 7% 34% 37% 17% 4% - -
102 SATHE Tej R. 3% 17% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
103 WYCHE Scott H. - 5% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
104 PORTMANN Stein J. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
105 EPSTEIN Henry N. 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 4% -
106 CHANG Colin S. - 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
107 BOHRA Rohan 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
108 HOUTZ Jackson 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
109 KARPINSKI Michael A. 4% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
110 COLLINS Andrew M. 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
110 PEAGLER Cameron - 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 4%
112 CACERES Hernan 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
113 PARKER Timothy S. 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
114 RAULS Jackson V. 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
114 POPE Nico 1% 6% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2%
114 RIERDAN Michael R. 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
114 HURST Alexander 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
118 LUKIBANOV Nicholas O. 9% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
118 LUO ZIRUI 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
120 MCELLIGOTT Caden R. 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
121 RONGET Gaspard 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 5% -
122 ZHOU Miles 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
123 SCHARDINE Ryan - 4% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
124 AYAN Bron 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
125 ATEFI Daniel 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
126 SEIDEL Jonathan J. 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2%
127 REBELLO Derek 45% 41% 12% 2% - -
128 LEMPERT Levy A. 1% 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
129 BULL Anderson 1% 17% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
130 BOYLE Dylan - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
130 BARBEE Jackson 2% 14% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
132 BAILEY Nate 12% 38% 34% 14% 3% - -
133 XU Michael 5% 36% 38% 17% 4% - -
134 BOURGHOL Matthew 5% 21% 33% 26% 11% 3% -
134 STEPHEN Dennis L. 97% 3% - - - - -
136 RANSOME Jahi 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
136 TONG ZACHARY - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
138 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 1% 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1%
139 HOEY-WASOW Henry 5% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
140 LOPEZ Lucas M. 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
141 PALMA Benedict-Gillian 38% 42% 16% 3% - - -
142 ELDER John 42% 41% 15% 2% - - -
143 COLLINS William 4% 46% 36% 12% 2% - -
144 PETRAMALE Samuel J. < 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
145 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
146 NEVILLE Eli 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
147 CORNICHUCK Cale L. 64% 31% 5% - - - -
148 RYAN Joshua P. 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
148 HWANG Ryan C. 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
148 TUPPER Edward A. 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
148 MYLEK Peter 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
148 NEWTON Payden 29% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
148 MOULTON Ian 74% 23% 2% - - - -
154 TIERNO Thomas J. 55% 36% 9% 1% - - -
154 DUNN John (Jack) F. 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
154 NIELANDER Elliot S. 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
158 FORBES Wyatt 73% 24% 3% - - - -
158 DEFORD Kevin W. 88% 11% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.