USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div II Men's Saber

Friday, July 5, 2019 at 11:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
2 KIM Benjamin H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
3 FEENEY Sean 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
3 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
5 D'ORAZIO Joseph 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
6 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 18%
7 DESAI Drewv D. 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
8 RAJA Arnav 100% 99% 93% 66% 27% 5%
9 KOKKIN Jack S. 100% 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
10 WINKLER Lucas G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
11 TANG Alex Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
12 MICHELL Bailey 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
13 DU Gavin J. 100% 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% -
14 MONTGOMERY Jadon T. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
15 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
16 MAHONEY Colin M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
17 HANEY Vincent 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
18 LOBO-BERG Gabriel (G) K. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
18 KANG Brandon M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
20 LIU David J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
21 ZU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
22 TANG Brendan J. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
23 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
24 TAKEMARU Leo 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
25 DAMMER Mark W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
26 LO Joshua H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
27 CHO Brandon 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
28 LIU kelly 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
29 LUEBBE Macklan C 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13%
30 LIN William 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
31 LEFEVRE Colin B. 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
31 GINIS Nathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
33 PAPA Christopher 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2%
34 CHAMBERS Amir E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
35 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
36 LAU Jeremy Y. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
37 LIU Jonathan M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
38 COVINGTON Max G. 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
39 MOORE Evan M. 100% 99% 83% 49% 16% 3% -
40 YEN Preston 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
41 HUDDY Brandon J. 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
42 HAZLE-CARY Jacob P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
42 GREENE Alexander J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 9%
44 GREEN IV James (Bud) 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5%
45 WU Nicholas R. 100% 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2%
46 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 43% 12%
46 GANTA Vijay 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2%
48 BUKOWSKI Bronson 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 12%
49 HAMMARBERG Stowe 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
50 GILLIGAN Wolff 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
51 NEUHEARDT Peter 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
52 MURTHY mukund 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
53 HARRIS Alex K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
53 CHAN Daniel 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
53 QUAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 9%
56 TSODIKOV Matthew G. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
57 WRIGHT Athan 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
58 ZHOU Kevin 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
59 VAULES Charles W. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
60 HENNICKE Michael G. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
61 KARNES Jameson D. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
62 MURZYN III CJ 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
63 JIANG Kevin 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
64 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 86% 44% 11% 1% -
65 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
66 NG Jonathan H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 15%
67 DOARES Andrew 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
68 PEDERSEN Leif 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
69 BECKER Dylan J. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
70 HUANG Eric 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
71 HUAYTA James W. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
72 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
73 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
74 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
75 PARK Collin D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
76 MESHKOV Peter A. 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
77 KAHN Justin M. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
78 GREENE Cameron J. 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 4% -
78 YOUNG Brendon 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
80 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
81 LAHOTSKA Yahor 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 12%
82 GILES Jeremy M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
83 LASORSA Matthew 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
84 OFFUTT Tyler T. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 20% 3%
84 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
84 ASHBY Ethan J. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
87 WESLER Logan A. 100% 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
88 WONG Matthew 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
89 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
90 TANG Albert 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
91 FALLICK Ozzie 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
91 BLINKOV Andrey 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 15%
93 ZHOU Brian 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
94 BAILEY Asher 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
95 WALKER Robert Connor 100% 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1%
95 KOTOV Leonid 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
97 GAFFNEY John M. 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -
97 VILLARREAL Mateo 100% 95% 54% 15% 2% - -
99 XU Luke 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
100 MORRISROE Keegan A. 100% 99% 94% 76% 46% 17% 3%
100 YOU Jaden 100% 93% 59% 22% 4% - -
102 SATHE Tej R. 100% 97% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
103 WYCHE Scott H. 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
104 PORTMANN Stein J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
105 EPSTEIN Henry N. 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 4% -
106 CHANG Colin S. 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2%
107 BOHRA Rohan 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
108 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
109 KARPINSKI Michael A. 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
110 COLLINS Andrew M. 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
110 PEAGLER Cameron 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
112 CACERES Hernan 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
113 PARKER Timothy S. 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
114 RAULS Jackson V. 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
114 POPE Nico 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 2%
114 RIERDAN Michael R. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
114 HURST Alexander 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
118 LUKIBANOV Nicholas O. 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
118 LUO ZIRUI 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
120 MCELLIGOTT Caden R. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
121 RONGET Gaspard 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
122 ZHOU Miles 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
123 SCHARDINE Ryan 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
124 AYAN Bron 100% 89% 58% 25% 7% 1% -
125 ATEFI Daniel 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
126 SEIDEL Jonathan J. 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
127 REBELLO Derek 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
128 LEMPERT Levy A. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
129 BULL Anderson 100% 99% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
130 BOYLE Dylan 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
130 BARBEE Jackson 100% 98% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
132 BAILEY Nate 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% - -
133 XU Michael 100% 95% 59% 21% 4% - -
134 BOURGHOL Matthew 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
134 STEPHEN Dennis L. 100% 3% - - - - -
136 RANSOME Jahi 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
136 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 3%
138 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 99% 89% 60% 27% 7% 1%
139 HOEY-WASOW Henry 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
140 LOPEZ Lucas M. 100% 62% 22% 4% - - -
141 PALMA Benedict-Gillian 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
142 ELDER John 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
143 COLLINS William 100% 96% 50% 14% 2% - -
144 PETRAMALE Samuel J. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
145 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 100% 96% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
146 NEVILLE Eli 100% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
147 CORNICHUCK Cale L. 100% 36% 5% - - - -
148 RYAN Joshua P. 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
148 HWANG Ryan C. 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
148 TUPPER Edward A. 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
148 MYLEK Peter 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
148 NEWTON Payden 100% 71% 31% 8% 1% - -
148 MOULTON Ian 100% 26% 2% - - - -
154 TIERNO Thomas J. 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
154 DUNN John (Jack) F. 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
154 NIELANDER Elliot S. 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
158 FORBES Wyatt 100% 27% 3% - - - -
158 DEFORD Kevin W. 100% 12% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.