Event Results

Y-14 Men's Saber

Summer Nationals and July ChallengePool Heatmap

Saturday, July 4, 2026 at 2:00 PM Oregon Convention Center · Portland, OR, USA
312 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year
Victory Chances At Least Wins

Win Distribution

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the probability of finishing with that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEI Rian - - - 6% 33% 60%
2 YANG Phillip - - - - 4% 28% 67%
3 LI Howard - - - - - 10% 89%
3 LUCAS William - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
5 LIU Victor - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
6 TANI Tino - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
7 KHANNA Adamantis - - - 5% 31% 63%
8 ZHANG Shaoxuan - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
9 GREENSTEIN Viktor - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
10 KANG Jeremy - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
11 VO Blake - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
11 MELE Gianni - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
13 CHANG Ethan - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
14 ROH Jaden - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
15 LI Cooper - - - 4% 22% 44% 30%
16 GU Andrew - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
17 WANG Edward - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
18 MERMEGAS Alexander - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
19 WANG Theodore - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
20 BELAND Riley James "RJ" - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
20 LEE Nathan Uju - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
22 CHAVAN Aditya 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
23 CAO Donald - - - - 5% 30% 65%
24 LUC Cedric - - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
25 ROPER F. Elijah - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
26 KONDOGI Saivarun 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
27 MASAKI Alex 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
28 MATTOO Dhruv - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
29 SRIVATSAV Anay - 3% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2%
30 KARAVAS Nicholas - - - 1% 9% 37% 54%
31 FU BRANDEN - 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
32 TAYCHER Aaron - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
33 BAI Evan - - - - 5% 30% 65%
34 KOZLOV Lucas - - - 2% 13% 38% 46%
35 SLAVNOV Anton - - 1% 6% 27% 43% 23%
35 KANG Matthew - - - - 2% 22% 76%
35 GRIGORIEV Roman - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
38 BROOKS Theo - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 13%
39 HRISTOV Nickolas - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
40 TASIKAS Pete - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 15%
41 KIM Enoch - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 12%
42 BEAL Colton - - 3% 15% 36% 37% 8%
43 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
44 AN Chris - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 21%
45 SUH Leo - 1% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
46 URSU Marcel T. - - - - 5% 31% 63%
46 WANG Alex - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
48 LI Michael - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
49 GUO Kesson 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
50 DOOLEY Atticus - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
50 LIANG Morgan - - 1% 6% 26% 44% 23%
52 THOMAS Tre 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
53 LYU Tyler 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
54 LAU Kyrus - 1% 11% 36% 41% 11%
55 DAI Zihou - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
56 KANG Jayden 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 13% 2%
57 STOLCKE Julian - 3% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
58 KIM Suin - 4% 17% 32% 31% 13% 2%
59 CHAN Troy Devon - 1% 7% 20% 34% 29% 9%
60 WARD Carter 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
61 PERRIN Leo - - 3% 14% 33% 37% 14%
62 SOKOLOV Lucas 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
63 HE Nolan 2% 18% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
64 HAO Johnny - 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
65 HU Harry - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
66 CAI Limo - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
67 KAMURA Kosei 1% 14% 34% 34% 15% 3% < 1%
68 BUKZIN Alan - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
69 EDWARDS Farren - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 7%
70 ZHANG Aiden - - 5% 20% 40% 30% 5%
71 AGARWAAL Yohan - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
71 KOREN George - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
73 GUVEN Derin - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 1%
74 DMYTRUK Alexander 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% -
75 LEVY Daniel - - 2% 14% 33% 36% 14%
76 LIN Alex - - 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
77 LEE Winston - 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
78 LI Ryan - 1% 7% 23% 38% 27% 4%
79 MOROAICA Seiku - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
80 KIM Leo 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
81 ZALETAEV Jacob - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
82 YU BOWEN - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
83 QI Jeremy - 1% 6% 21% 39% 29% 4%
84 SRIVATS Vedh - - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
84 KOREN David - 1% 10% 34% 37% 16% 2%
86 SLOAN Ethan - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
87 CAO HAOTIAN - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
87 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub - 5% 22% 39% 26% 7% 1%
89 WU Vincent - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 3%
90 CHEN Aaron - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
90 LU Simon - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 2%
90 AWAD Omar 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
93 SOULES-ONO Makoa - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
94 D'AMELJ Edoardo - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
95 SRA Nawab 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
95 PERERA Sebastian AJ 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
97 HWANG Hagan - - 4% 17% 37% 34% 7%
97 SRIVATSAV Ishaan - - 2% 13% 35% 40% 10%
99 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
100 MIAO Heqi - - - 4% 20% 42% 34%
101 KUANG Cyrus 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4% -
101 ARRANT Mason - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
103 GOTTSCHALK Theodore 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
104 TITOV Zachary 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
105 YUEN Caleb - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
106 ZHANG Weihang - 4% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
107 BIVIJI Adam - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
108 MOGUNOV Alan - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
108 WANG Ryan 1% 8% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
110 LIAO Sirui - 4% 22% 43% 27% 5%
111 SAGE Nikolai - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
112 HENRY Cadel - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
113 WONG Ron - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 8%
113 SONG Ryan 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
115 KAUL Ishaan - 2% 10% 27% 37% 21% 3%
116 BROOKS Drake 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
117 SONG Aidan - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
118 LIU Clarence 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
119 SO Morgan - 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 3%
120 WESTMORELAND-BROWN Cole 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
120 LIU Paul 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
122 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
123 WONG Reagan - - 4% 19% 39% 30% 7%
124 ISAYENKO Daniel - 2% 11% 35% 42% 10%
125 WANG Harrison 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
126 HUANG Anthony 5% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
127 SMITH Etienne 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
128 HU Jayden - - < 1% 4% 18% 41% 37%
129 XIE Justin - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
130 GATTO Enzo P. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
131 LIN Brendan - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
132 DAVIDSON Graham 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
133 GONZALEZ Paul 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
134 YANG Justin - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
135 GORDON Easy 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
136 LIU Jayden - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
137 HORN Diodorus 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
138 TAGUINOD Aidan Matthew - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
139 NAFTALI Ori - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
140 MESSINGER Joshua 1% 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
141 NARAYAN Rishi 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% -
142 LIN Ethan - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
143 ORIE Sohan - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 3%
144 FUGATE Logan 6% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
145 LIEBISCH Milo 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
146 JOHNSON Leland - 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 4%
147 POLSANI Gaurav 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1%
148 CHEN Shawn 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 4%
149 LEE Ryan 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% -
150 LOPEZ Mateo - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
151 WANG David 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
152 LI Lucas - 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 3%
153 LLOYD Max 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
154 ZHANG KAIQI - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 10%
154 SHAPIRO Leo - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
156 LEE Jayden Junhyuk 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
156 VISH Manyu 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
158 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
158 ZHANG Caleb 6% 23% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
158 SMITH Desmon 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
161 GARCIA-ALBEA Diego 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
162 AVERY Marcus - - 7% 30% 40% 20% 3%
162 WANG Mason 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
164 MITCHELL-LU Hiro 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
165 HAN Kyle 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
166 PARK Layne 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
166 FISCHER Noel 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6% -
166 SAHA Aadi 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
169 SIMEONIDIS Aris 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
169 SUN Eon - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
171 ROMBERG Sam - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
172 YPHANTIDES Alexander 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
172 CHOI LIAM 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
174 BRISENO Ethan - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
175 ZHANG Simon - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
176 ARCHIBALD Zachary 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 9% 1%
177 LUO Winston 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
178 LEE Alexander 3% 20% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
179 DESAI Arthav - 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% -
180 BOSITA Brennan - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
180 CHEN Brian 2% 12% 30% 34% 19% 4% -
182 WANG James 1% 9% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
183 FAVO Christopher - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
184 LUO Gavin 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
185 GOLDSTEIN Malcolm 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
186 ROBINSON Ezra 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
187 VAN MASSENHOVE Rhys 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
188 HARFORD Benjamin 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
189 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
190 YU Ian - 3% 15% 32% 34% 15% 1%
191 ALUF Brendon - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
192 JOHNSON Jack 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
193 HOLMES Xavier 6% 27% 40% 23% 4% -
194 PARK Jayden 3% 24% 44% 24% 5% -
194 KONG Ethan 9% 40% 38% 12% 1% -
196 CUSSON William 35% 43% 19% 3% - -
197 PARIKH Saavn 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
198 HUANG Keon 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
199 BURENKOV Matthew 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
200 LVOVSKIY Roman 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
201 YEAZEL Colin 1% 12% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
202 GAW Christian 11% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -
203 PIPKE Garrett 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
204 LUC Linkin - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
204 BALAGOT Erik 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2% -
206 TANJGA Luka 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
207 FAUSTO Aidan 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
208 ABADA lucca 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
209 SALMAN Ibrahim 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5% -
209 XIE Andrew 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
211 HAHN EVER - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
212 SHANKAR Rahm 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% 1%
213 KOHLER Vaughn 7% 30% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
213 ERPELDING Ryan 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
215 RABEL Sebastian 1% 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
215 BRADY Jack 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
215 ORLINO Sam 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
218 BRADIC Andreja 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
218 BURCH III Andrew J. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
220 YANG Jake 1% 10% 31% 37% 17% 3% -
221 BROOKS Isaac 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
221 IVERSON Niels 16% 40% 31% 10% 2% - -
223 BABY Henry 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
224 GAO Francis 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
225 DUFF Michael 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
225 SAHA Aryan 30% 44% 21% 5% - - -
227 JAKOSALEM Dean 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
228 ARUN Viyaan 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
229 CHEUNG Evan 4% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
229 ATA Kevin 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
231 URQUILLA Devin 11% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
232 WOLLOW Bennett 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
233 BARRIONUEVO Nicolas 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
234 EKAMBARAM Rithik 1% 9% 41% 36% 12% 2% -
235 CHEN Harrison 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
236 STAMPER Wyatt 3% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
237 KIM Junseong - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 4%
238 GONG Johnny 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
239 ANTONIO Elan 5% 25% 39% 25% 6% -
240 TENG Lucas 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
241 MOORE Blaise 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
242 SU Eric - 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
243 LEE Kyle 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
244 KANIA Alexander - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 12%
245 TERENTIEV Michael 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
246 MARTIRE Francis 4% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
247 RAMBHIA Smit 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
248 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
248 HUNG Jaden 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
250 VIDREVICH David 1% 14% 34% 34% 15% 2% -
250 GUERRA Corey 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
250 MCCABE Donovan 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
253 WILCOX Kellen 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
254 RAMAKRISHNA Arjun 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
254 PI Edwin 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
254 RIMMELE Sven Yan 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
257 ZHANG Connery 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
257 LAMADRID Zachary 15% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
259 DEGUZMAN Holden 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
260 GRIFFIN Sid 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
260 MALEK Zak 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
260 DEGUZMAN Miguel Javier 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
263 SUN Leonard 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
264 LI Kent 11% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
265 O'KEEFE Brody 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
265 RISMAN Edward 6% 26% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
265 RAPHAEL Pierson 21% 43% 27% 8% 1% - -
268 RABEL Alexander 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
269 LEISTNER Armin 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
270 RHODES Bryce 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
270 STARLING Herbert 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
272 LAN Jasper - 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
273 ZHOU Ruibo 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
273 CHEN Ryan 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
275 PERNICK Rhen 17% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
275 PARROCO Andrew 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
275 KUNIMOTO Adam 36% 46% 16% 2% - - -
278 ARESERY Danny 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
279 JECHA Zack 12% 38% 34% 13% 2% - -
280 STYS Owen 7% 25% 34% 24% 8% 1% -
280 LEI Isaac 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
280 SHI Mark 43% 47% 9% 1% - - -
283 LI Sky 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
284 CHEN Tim 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
285 SHARPE Harrison Missing ID
285 TANG Alex 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
287 GUO Joe 25% 47% 23% 5% - - -
288 FOUX Jonathan 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
289 HIROTA Mitchell 60% 34% 6% - - -
290 HIROTA Jackson 39% 43% 16% 3% - - -
291 HSIEH Maxwell 27% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
291 GILBERT Ari 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
293 PARK Sean 1% 6% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
293 BALBALE Zayd 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
293 KURIPKO Roman 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
296 MARROQUIN Colt 21% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
297 BLACK Conall 38% 51% 10% 1% - - -
298 LEIGH Brayden 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
298 GAW Zachary 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
300 LEE Shane Gunn 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
301 NAIR Sujit < 1% 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
301 YU Dylan 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
301 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Atticus A 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
304 MAKLIN David 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
305 ZHEN Felix 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -
305 ROHRBACH Flynn 65% 29% 5% - - - -
305 LARSON Matthew 89% 10% - - - - -
305 ZHANG Hanzel 5% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
305 RAHMAN Noah 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
305 SKORHEIM Noel 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
305 STANTON William 63% 31% 5% - - - -
305 LORENTZEN Felix 69% 27% 4% - - - -