Event Results

Y-14 Men's Saber

Summer Nationals and July ChallengePool Heatmap

Saturday, July 4, 2026 at 2:00 PM Oregon Convention Center · Portland, OR, USA
312 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEI Rian 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
2 YANG Phillip 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 LI Howard 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
3 LUCAS William 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
5 LIU Victor 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
6 TANI Tino 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
7 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
8 ZHANG Shaoxuan 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
9 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
10 KANG Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
11 VO Blake 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
11 MELE Gianni 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
13 CHANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
14 ROH Jaden 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
15 LI Cooper 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
16 GU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
17 WANG Edward 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
18 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
19 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
20 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
20 LEE Nathan Uju 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
22 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
23 CAO Donald 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
24 LUC Cedric 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
25 ROPER F. Elijah 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
26 KONDOGI Saivarun 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
27 MASAKI Alex 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
28 MATTOO Dhruv 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
29 SRIVATSAV Anay 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
30 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
31 FU BRANDEN 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
32 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
33 BAI Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
34 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
35 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
35 KANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76%
35 GRIGORIEV Roman 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
38 BROOKS Theo 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 13%
39 HRISTOV Nickolas 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
40 TASIKAS Pete 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
41 KIM Enoch 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
42 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 8%
43 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
44 AN Chris 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
45 SUH Leo 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
46 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
46 WANG Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
48 LI Michael 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
49 GUO Kesson 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
50 DOOLEY Atticus 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
50 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
52 THOMAS Tre 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
53 LYU Tyler 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
54 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 11%
55 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
56 KANG Jayden 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
57 STOLCKE Julian 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
58 KIM Suin 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
59 CHAN Troy Devon 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 9%
60 WARD Carter 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
61 PERRIN Leo 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 14%
62 SOKOLOV Lucas 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
63 HE Nolan 100% 98% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
64 HAO Johnny 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
65 HU Harry 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
66 CAI Limo 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
67 KAMURA Kosei 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 3% < 1%
68 BUKZIN Alan 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
69 EDWARDS Farren 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
70 ZHANG Aiden 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 35% 5%
71 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
71 KOREN George 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
73 GUVEN Derin 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 1%
74 DMYTRUK Alexander 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% -
75 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
76 LIN Alex 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 7%
77 LEE Winston 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 19% 3%
78 LI Ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
79 MOROAICA Seiku 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
80 KIM Leo 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
81 ZALETAEV Jacob 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
82 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
83 QI Jeremy 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 4%
84 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
84 KOREN David 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
86 SLOAN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
87 CAO HAOTIAN 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
87 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
89 WU Vincent 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 3%
90 CHEN Aaron 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
90 LU Simon 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 2%
90 AWAD Omar 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
93 SOULES-ONO Makoa 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
94 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
95 SRA Nawab 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
95 PERERA Sebastian AJ 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
97 HWANG Hagan 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 41% 7%
97 SRIVATSAV Ishaan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 10%
99 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
100 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
101 KUANG Cyrus 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4% -
101 ARRANT Mason 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
103 GOTTSCHALK Theodore 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
104 TITOV Zachary 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 8% 1%
105 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
106 ZHANG Weihang 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
107 BIVIJI Adam 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
108 MOGUNOV Alan 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
108 WANG Ryan 100% 99% 91% 60% 23% 5% -
110 LIAO Sirui 100% 100% 96% 74% 31% 5%
111 SAGE Nikolai 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
112 HENRY Cadel 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 19%
113 WONG Ron 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 8%
113 SONG Ryan 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
115 KAUL Ishaan 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 3%
116 BROOKS Drake 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
117 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
118 LIU Clarence 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
119 SO Morgan 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 3%
120 WESTMORELAND-BROWN Cole 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
120 LIU Paul 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
122 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
123 WONG Reagan 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
124 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 10%
125 WANG Harrison 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
126 HUANG Anthony 100% 95% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
127 SMITH Etienne 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
128 HU Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 78% 37%
129 XIE Justin 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
130 GATTO Enzo P. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
131 LIN Brendan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
132 DAVIDSON Graham 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
133 GONZALEZ Paul 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
134 YANG Justin 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
135 GORDON Easy 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
136 LIU Jayden 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
137 HORN Diodorus 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1% -
138 TAGUINOD Aidan Matthew 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
139 NAFTALI Ori 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 19% 3%
140 MESSINGER Joshua 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
141 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% -
142 LIN Ethan 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
143 ORIE Sohan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
144 FUGATE Logan 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
145 LIEBISCH Milo 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
146 JOHNSON Leland 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 4%
147 POLSANI Gaurav 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
148 CHEN Shawn 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 4%
149 LEE Ryan 100% 97% 76% 37% 8% -
150 LOPEZ Mateo 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
151 WANG David 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
152 LI Lucas 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
153 LLOYD Max 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
154 ZHANG KAIQI 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 42% 10%
154 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
156 LEE Jayden Junhyuk 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
156 VISH Manyu 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
158 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
158 ZHANG Caleb 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
158 SMITH Desmon 100% 99% 90% 65% 33% 9% 1%
161 GARCIA-ALBEA Diego 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
162 AVERY Marcus 100% 100% 100% 92% 63% 23% 3%
162 WANG Mason 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
164 MITCHELL-LU Hiro 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
165 HAN Kyle 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 5% -
166 PARK Layne 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
166 FISCHER Noel 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6% -
166 SAHA Aadi 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
169 SIMEONIDIS Aris 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
169 SUN Eon 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
171 ROMBERG Sam 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
172 YPHANTIDES Alexander 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
172 CHOI LIAM 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
174 BRISENO Ethan 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16% 1%
175 ZHANG Simon 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
176 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
177 LUO Winston 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
178 LEE Alexander 100% 97% 77% 37% 9% 1% -
179 DESAI Arthav 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 8% -
180 BOSITA Brennan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
180 CHEN Brian 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
182 WANG James 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
183 FAVO Christopher 100% 100% 94% 75% 39% 10% 1%
184 LUO Gavin 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
185 GOLDSTEIN Malcolm 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% - -
186 ROBINSON Ezra 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
187 VAN MASSENHOVE Rhys 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
188 HARFORD Benjamin 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
189 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
190 YU Ian 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15% 1%
191 ALUF Brendon 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
192 JOHNSON Jack 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
193 HOLMES Xavier 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
194 PARK Jayden 100% 97% 73% 29% 5% -
194 KONG Ethan 100% 91% 51% 14% 1% -
196 CUSSON William 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
197 PARIKH Saavn 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
198 HUANG Keon 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
199 BURENKOV Matthew 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
200 LVOVSKIY Roman 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
201 YEAZEL Colin 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
202 GAW Christian 100% 89% 50% 15% 2% - -
203 PIPKE Garrett 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
204 LUC Linkin 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
204 BALAGOT Erik 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2% -
206 TANJGA Luka 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
207 FAUSTO Aidan 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
208 ABADA lucca 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
209 SALMAN Ibrahim 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5% -
209 XIE Andrew 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
211 HAHN EVER 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
212 SHANKAR Rahm 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
213 KOHLER Vaughn 100% 93% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
213 ERPELDING Ryan 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
215 RABEL Sebastian 100% 99% 80% 42% 13% 2% -
215 BRADY Jack 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
215 ORLINO Sam 100% 94% 71% 38% 12% 2% -
218 BRADIC Andreja 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
218 BURCH III Andrew J. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
220 YANG Jake 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 4% -
221 BROOKS Isaac 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2% -
221 IVERSON Niels 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% - -
223 BABY Henry 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
224 GAO Francis 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
225 DUFF Michael 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
225 SAHA Aryan 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
227 JAKOSALEM Dean 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
228 ARUN Viyaan 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
229 CHEUNG Evan 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
229 ATA Kevin 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
231 URQUILLA Devin 100% 89% 53% 19% 4% - -
232 WOLLOW Bennett 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
233 BARRIONUEVO Nicolas 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
234 EKAMBARAM Rithik 100% 99% 90% 49% 13% 2% -
235 CHEN Harrison 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
236 STAMPER Wyatt 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
237 KIM Junseong 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 4%
238 GONG Johnny 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
239 ANTONIO Elan 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% -
240 TENG Lucas 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% -
241 MOORE Blaise 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
242 SU Eric 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
243 LEE Kyle 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
244 KANIA Alexander 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
245 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 4% -
246 MARTIRE Francis 100% 96% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
247 RAMBHIA Smit 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
248 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
248 HUNG Jaden 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
250 VIDREVICH David 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 2% -
250 GUERRA Corey 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
250 MCCABE Donovan 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
253 WILCOX Kellen 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
254 RAMAKRISHNA Arjun 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% - -
254 PI Edwin 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
254 RIMMELE Sven Yan 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
257 ZHANG Connery 100% 87% 51% 16% 3% - -
257 LAMADRID Zachary 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
259 DEGUZMAN Holden 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
260 GRIFFIN Sid 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
260 MALEK Zak 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
260 DEGUZMAN Miguel Javier 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
263 SUN Leonard 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
264 LI Kent 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
265 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
265 RISMAN Edward 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
265 RAPHAEL Pierson 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
268 RABEL Alexander 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
269 LEISTNER Armin 100% 90% 61% 28% 8% 1% -
270 RHODES Bryce 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
270 STARLING Herbert 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
272 LAN Jasper 100% 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
273 ZHOU Ruibo 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
273 CHEN Ryan 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 6% 1%
275 PERNICK Rhen 100% 83% 48% 17% 3% - -
275 PARROCO Andrew 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
275 KUNIMOTO Adam 100% 64% 18% 2% - - -
278 ARESERY Danny 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
279 JECHA Zack 100% 88% 49% 15% 2% - -
280 STYS Owen 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
280 LEI Isaac 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
280 SHI Mark 100% 57% 9% 1% - - -
283 LI Sky 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
284 CHEN Tim 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
285 SHARPE Harrison Missing ID
285 TANG Alex 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
287 GUO Joe 100% 75% 28% 5% - - -
288 FOUX Jonathan 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
289 HIROTA Mitchell 100% 40% 6% - - -
290 HIROTA Jackson 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
291 HSIEH Maxwell 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
291 GILBERT Ari 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
293 PARK Sean 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
293 BALBALE Zayd 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
293 KURIPKO Roman 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
296 MARROQUIN Colt 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% - -
297 BLACK Conall 100% 62% 11% 1% - - -
298 LEIGH Brayden 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
298 GAW Zachary 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
300 LEE Shane Gunn 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
301 NAIR Sujit 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 30% 6%
301 YU Dylan 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
301 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Atticus A 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
304 MAKLIN David 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
305 ZHEN Felix 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
305 ROHRBACH Flynn 100% 35% 6% - - - -
305 LARSON Matthew 100% 11% - - - - -
305 ZHANG Hanzel 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
305 RAHMAN Noah 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
305 SKORHEIM Noel 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
305 STANTON William 100% 37% 6% - - - -
305 LORENTZEN Felix 100% 31% 4% - - - -