Event Results

Y-12 Men's Saber

Summer Nationals and July ChallengePool Heatmap

Sunday, July 5, 2026 at 2:00 PM Oregon Convention Center · Portland, OR, USA
225 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
2 KOREN George 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
3 KUANG Cyrus 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 8%
3 CAO HAOTIAN 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
5 ZALETAEV Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
6 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
7 PARK Sean 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 10%
8 SU Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
9 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
10 THOMAS Tre 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 28%
11 ZHANG Caleb 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
12 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
13 MOROAICA Seiku 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
14 DUFF Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
15 HAHN EVER 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
16 MOTOV Max 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
17 FU BRANDEN 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
17 LI Lucas 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
19 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 14%
19 MOGUNOV Alan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
21 GILBERT Ari 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
22 PI Edwin 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
23 LLOYD Max 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
24 CHUNG Evan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
24 LOPEZ Mateo 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
26 LEE Jayden Junhyuk 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
27 KAUL Ishaan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 45% 5%
28 LU Simon 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 22%
29 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
30 LUO Gavin 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
31 WANG Henrik 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
32 WANG David 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
33 WANG Harrison 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
33 KIM Junseong 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
35 TIAGI Ronald 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
36 ATA Kevin 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
37 YU Ian 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 45%
38 FERRING Theo 100% 100% 93% 68% 33% 8% 1%
39 YE Aaron 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
40 CHEN Ryan 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
41 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
41 DEGUZMAN Miguel Javier 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 1%
43 CHEN Aaron 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
44 WANG James 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
45 LEE Kyle 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 9%
46 HSIEH Sebastian 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
47 ZHANG Hanzel 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
48 ALUF William 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
49 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
50 DESAI Arthav 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
51 HSIEH Maxwell 100% 97% 77% 36% 8% 1%
52 FAVO Christopher 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 7%
53 LI Derek 100% 96% 80% 48% 19% 4% -
54 PARK Layne 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
55 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 51% 11%
56 ZHANG Weihang 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
57 SALMAN Ibrahim 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
58 SHARPE Harrison Missing ID
59 LEE Shane Gunn 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
60 DENG Richard 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
61 JI Derek 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
62 SUN Leonard 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 4%
63 LVOVSKIY Roman 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
64 YU Dylan 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
65 TAGUINOD Aidan Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
66 HU Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
67 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
68 MIKHAILOV Andrei Mikhailov-Bakker 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
69 LEI Isaac 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
70 FAKHRI Adrian 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
71 GALANG Aiden 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
72 SUH Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 5%
73 DING Orlando 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
74 JECHA Zack 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
75 PARK Jayden 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
76 LEIGH Anthony 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
77 ERPELDING Ryan 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 2%
78 WU Allen 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
79 MARTIRE Francis 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
80 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
80 RAMOS Pious 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
82 BABY Henry 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
83 TABANCAY Cole 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
84 RISMAN Edward 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
85 ZHANG Leaf 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
86 TAK Kion 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
87 CHEN Harrison 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
88 PETTY Eliot 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
89 CHOI LIAM 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
89 BURCH III Andrew J. 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 11% 1%
91 CHEN Maorui 100% 87% 49% 16% 3% - -
92 STEVENS Emeric 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7% 1%
93 MAKLIN David 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
94 PETROSYAN Aleksander 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
95 LAN Jasper 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
96 BASU MALLICK Sannibh 100% 98% 77% 39% 10% 1%
97 NEPPALLI Dhruv 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
98 RAZAI Evan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
99 URTUBI Sebastian 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 11% 1%
100 SABINO Bennett 100% 99% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
101 OH Caleb 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
102 TAK Sion 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
103 GOLDSTEIN Malcolm 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
104 LUO Winston 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% -
105 XIA Henson 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 2%
106 ZHENG Matt 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
107 KO-GALLOWAY Keaton 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
107 SO Cheston 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
109 GHIM Ethan 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
110 HEILMANN Caleb 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
110 GUO Joe 100% 93% 64% 27% 7% 1% -
112 EKAMBARAM Rithik 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2%
113 MIDDELBEEK Maarten 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
114 HEILMANN Christian 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
115 TO Aiden 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
116 WONG Alexander 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
117 KNOBEL Benjamin 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
117 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19% 2%
119 WOLLOW Bennett 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
120 LI Nathan 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8% 1%
121 FAZELINIA Erfaan 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
122 QI Zach 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
123 KELLY Collin 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
124 SHEK-WEI Wesley 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1% -
125 CHANG Allen 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
126 MUKHERJEE Krish 100% 69% 24% 4% - -
127 ZHEN Felix 100% 72% 28% 6% - -
128 SCOTT Clark 100% 88% 56% 22% 4% - -
129 CONCANNON Jackson 100% 99% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
130 STYS Owen 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 3%
131 KULJIEV Boyan 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
132 LOVELL Jackson 100% 71% 30% 8% 1% - -
133 WANG Darren 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 2%
134 ARUN Viyaan 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
135 CHEN Donovan 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
136 ZHIVICH Gabriel 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
137 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
138 DIORIO James 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
139 RIMMELE Sven Yan 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
140 PARROCO Jacob 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 13% 2%
141 BORROK Andrew 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
142 WANG Brendan 100% 79% 33% 7% 1% -
143 ZHOU Ryan 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
144 BOOKER Gavin 100% 61% 16% 2% - -
145 LI Sky 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
146 CHIDAMBARAM Nivedh 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
147 MCCABE Donovan 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
148 YUEN Travis 100% 86% 52% 18% 3% - -
149 XIE Ryan 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
150 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 2% -
151 LI Edward 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
152 KHUU HALL Gibson 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
153 KRISHNARASA Aiyann 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 9% 1%
153 LAM Dylan 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
155 RAMAKRISHNA Arjun 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
156 RINALDI Benigno 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
156 OLSON Prescott 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
158 SHARMA KRISH 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 2% -
159 HAMM Bennett 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
160 WANG William 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
161 MANGINI Lorenzo 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
162 LIU Jayden 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% -
163 KATZ Isaac 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
164 VINCENT Yian 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
164 CHEN Remsen 100% 99% 85% 53% 19% 4% -
166 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
167 HARDY Mason 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
168 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Atticus A 100% 98% 82% 49% 16% 3% -
169 BLACK Bauer 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
170 LORENTZEN Felix 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% - -
171 XIE Andy 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
172 ZHAO Evan 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
173 WANG Russell 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
174 GONG Johnny 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
175 GUO Aiden 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
176 KIM ZOLLER Jude 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
177 NORTON Hudson 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
177 KWON Joon 100% 98% 84% 55% 22% 5% -
177 SEVERT David 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
180 RAJMOHAN Syon 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
181 MULCAHEY Kieran 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
181 LARSON Matthew 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
183 QIAO Jason 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
184 RAHMAN Noah 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
185 SOBOLEWSKI Isaac 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
186 TOPALOV Michael 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
187 BROOKS Grant 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
188 WONG Jacob 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2% -
188 LEWIS Isaac 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
190 WANG Ambrose 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
190 WANG Samuel 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 6% -
192 HADFIELD Gavin 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
192 FECHER Oliver 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9%
194 BABY Jacob 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
194 ARRANT Jordan 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% - -
196 LI Linus 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
197 MAGNAYE Jaezyn 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
198 AUSLANDER Rocco 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% - -
198 BOYD Zachary 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 6% 1%
200 TANG Nicholas 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
201 PICACHE Merrick 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% -
202 NGUYEN Asher 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
203 NAYAK Kush 100% 92% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
204 LUTZ Benjamin 100% 56% 17% 3% - - -
205 TIAN Alex 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
206 ROBLES Rafael 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
207 HUANG Joseph 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
208 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2% -
208 BECKER Grayson 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
210 FERNAINE Thomas 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
211 RESTELLI Arri 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
211 CHEN Brandon 100% 76% 30% 5% - -
211 BLACK Conall 100% 40% 8% 1% - -
214 CHOI Clayton 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
215 LEE Weston 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
215 BOROFF Gideon 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
215 LEE Augustine 100% 99% 92% 68% 35% 10% 1%
218 LIANG Henry 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
219 QIU Lucas 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
219 GUINN Robert 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
219 DAUM Billy 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
222 LEE Caleb 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
222 WHITE Benjamin 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
224 BATTEN Miles 100% 32% 5% - - - -
225 LIN Rongcheng Noah 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -