Event Results

Div II Men's Épée

Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYCPool Heatmap

Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 8:00 AM Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House · Suffern, NY, USA
57 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Eason 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
2 MATHES Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
3 HONG Ethen 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 31% 7%
3 ERIKSEN Casey 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
5 NABAVI Matthew R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
5 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
7 NOOL Aaron 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
8 CHEN Daniel 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
9 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% < 1%
10 HAO zifan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
11 ASHLEY Logan 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 8%
12 SCHMIDT Paxton 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
13 NOVAK Luke 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
14 MANU Aadhav 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1%
15 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
16 MONDESIR Aidan Dickson 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
17 RUDIGER George 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
18 GILLARD Adan 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
19 LAI Jayden 100% 94% 69% 31% 6% -
20 LEE Ryan 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 2%
21 DUNCAN John 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
22 ROBINSON Blake 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
23 REELS Eric J. 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 3%
23 LIN John 100% 100% 96% 73% 29% 4%
25 ALABI Azryl 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 13%
26 ZANELLI Ben 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 16%
27 EVANS George 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
28 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
29 MARRAN John 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
30 LEE Harrison 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
31 MANUEL Eli 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 2%
32 MCGRATH Hogan 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% -
33 ESWARAPU Anmol 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
34 LIN Yufei 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 2%
35 LAW Oliver 100% 94% 58% 17% 2% -
36 LAKSHMAN Vishnu 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
37 LEE Elijah 100% 99% 89% 58% 18% 1%
38 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
39 WAGNER Bennett 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1%
40 YOON Jonathan 100% 96% 68% 23% 3% -
41 ZHANG Jimmy 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
42 LORCHEIM Maxwell 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
43 WAGNER Miles Missing ID
44 PIERRO Roger 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 36% 5%
45 LAZORISAK Andrew 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% -
46 ARMSTRONG Payton 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
47 MERHEJ Sean 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
48 GEKHTMAN Ilia 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
49 SEAVER Walker H. 100% 89% 53% 17% 2% -
50 MCCANDLISH Owen 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 2%
51 JIANG Aidan 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 13% 2%
52 LIM Shane 100% 62% 20% 4% - - -
53 ZHOU Benjamin 100% 65% 25% 6% 1% - -
54 MORRIS Micah 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
55 ACHILOV Murod 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% -
56 CHANG Connor 100% 71% 26% 4% - -
57 HWANG Christopher 100% 34% 4% - - -