January NAC

Junior Women's Foil

Saturday, January 5, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Charlotte, NC - Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCRUGGS Lauren S. - - - 1% 14% 85%
2 GUO Jessica Zi Jia - - - - 2% 26% 72%
3 FERRARI Christina M. - 1% 10% 33% 42% 14%
3 PUSTILNIK Nicole - - - - 1% 16% 82%
5 BINDER Sylvie A. - - - - 3% 24% 73%
6 CAO Ying - - 4% 16% 34% 35% 12%
7 LEE Morgan A. - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
8 MARTOS Sara A. - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
9 THOMPSON Julia T. - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 17%
10 WEINTRAUB Rei H. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
11 HORSLEY Asherah - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
12 DESCHNER Stefani K. - - - 2% 16% 45% 36%
13 CHO Sabrina N. - 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 4%
14 YAROSHENKO Karina - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
15 ANDREYENKA Yana - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
16 LEE Yejine - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
17 DEVORE Delphine P. - - - 1% 10% 40% 48%
18 ZHOU Emme - - 1% 8% 28% 44% 19%
18 CHUSID Renata (Renata Chusid) M. - - 2% 13% 36% 39% 10%
20 WEINTRAUB Maia M. - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
21 HAO Alicia - - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
22 MAK Tinney - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
23 MARINELLI Ever - - - 2% 16% 42% 39%
24 HAO Grace - 1% 10% 33% 41% 14%
25 BIASCO Anna 2% 15% 39% 35% 10% 1%
26 JING Alexandra - 3% 21% 40% 29% 7%
27 LI Grace Q. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 7%
28 RHODES Zander - - - - 5% 35% 60%
29 LUONG Paige K. - - 1% 10% 32% 41% 16%
30 NISHIMURA Madeleine A. - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
31 MANDOUR Sophia M. - 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1%
32 STAMOS Maria 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
33 TAN Elisha - - - 5% 28% 51% 15%
34 PRILUTSKY Sarah A. - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
35 PETROVA Kristina - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
36 HE Elizabeth W. 3% 18% 39% 32% 8%
37 LAM Justina - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
38 ANDREYENKA Hanna - 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 2%
39 LIAO Jerrica 3% 30% 40% 21% 5% 1% -
39 AHN Gabriella - 1% 5% 21% 36% 28% 8%
41 KNIGHT Skylar - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
42 LO Ashley - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
43 GONG Christina S. - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
44 ALFONSO Czarina M. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
45 CHEN Alyssa J. - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
46 WANG Karina (Karina Xue Wang) X. - 6% 26% 44% 24%
47 LEE Annora Y. - - - 5% 25% 46% 23%
48 TAN Helen - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
49 YANKOVSKIY Anastasia - - - 3% 25% 58% 13%
50 CAULFIELD Jane H. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
51 SHALANSKY Julia B. - 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3%
52 FANG Sabrina - - 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
53 MOON Elina C. 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
54 FLANAGAN Catherine H. - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11%
55 KOO Haley B. - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
56 LIAO Madeline M. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
57 HARFELD Skylar - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
58 CHOI Lenna K. 2% 16% 39% 32% 10% 1%
59 ADLER Polly Z. - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
60 LIU Cynthia - 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
60 HOOSHI Erica S. - 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
62 LESLIE Ryanne T. - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
63 ZAROFF Roxanne - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
64 ZHENG Vivian 1% 8% 28% 40% 20% 3%
65 HUNT Tarleton Q. 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
66 LEE Allison (Allie) - 2% 12% 29% 36% 19% 1%
67 KIM Lauren Hyomin 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
68 KOKES Gabrielle 2% 15% 39% 33% 10% 1%
69 SIMONTOV Sofia M. 6% 29% 44% 19% 2% - -
69 TANG Louise - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
69 SERBAN Samantha M. - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
72 ZHANG Rachel - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
73 KOO Rachel A. - - 3% 18% 41% 33% 5%
74 APELIAN Katherine - - 6% 29% 49% 15% 1%
75 LIN Annie X. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
76 BREKER Anika - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 16%
77 KIM Rachael - 7% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
78 YUGOV Elizabeth (Liz Yugov) - 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
79 ABTIN Aryana V. 3% 17% 36% 33% 11% -
80 NOVOSELTSEVA Anna V. - - 1% 13% 42% 44%
81 CHENG Evelyn - 6% 25% 40% 24% 4%
82 MCGILLION-MOORE Katie 1% 11% 35% 39% 14% -
83 KASI Anisha - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 9%
84 CHON Samantha 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
85 LEE Brianna J. - 1% 10% 32% 39% 16% 1%
86 LEVI Lea - 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
87 AHN Isabella - 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
87 LEE Alina - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
89 BARNETTE Zoe - - 2% 21% 54% 21% 2%
90 DU Katie J. - - 3% 18% 41% 30% 7%
91 NOVOSELTSEVA Elizabeth (Liza) M. - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 13%
92 STEWART Isabella A. 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
92 YAMAGUCHI Kate M. 1% 8% 28% 38% 20% 4% -
94 BANBURY Justine - - 3% 19% 41% 30% 7%
95 PHAM Camille V. - 5% 20% 37% 30% 7% -
96 GILIOLI Alexia 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
97 FREEDMAN Miranda W. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
98 CROMPTON Celia N. - 7% 30% 43% 17% 2% -
99 BHANOT Gayatri - 2% 14% 34% 35% 13% 1%
100 MATZ Samantha J. 3% 39% 43% 13% 2% - -
101 CHEN Kelly 1% 15% 39% 36% 9% 1% -
102 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. - 1% 12% 35% 35% 15% 2%
103 NOGUCHI Julia C. - - 4% 18% 36% 33% 9%
104 MCDONALD Alexandra 1% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2% -
105 SHEN Jasmine N. 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
106 MAROTTA Veronica L. 2% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
107 ROSBERGER Jessica 3% 25% 43% 24% 5% - -
108 PARK Rowan M. - 5% 24% 40% 26% 6%
109 SHEN Sophia H. 2% 17% 39% 33% 9% -
110 DU Melissa H. 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
111 CHENG Lydia A. 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
112 ABAYEVA Sasha - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
113 PATEL Anika 2% 33% 41% 19% 4% - -
114 CHEN Nicole Y. - 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
115 HALL Velma 6% 27% 40% 23% 4% - -
116 KIM Kayla A. 14% 42% 32% 11% 2% - -
117 OUTHRED Maya E. 4% 28% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
118 VONA Elena M. 2% 30% 41% 21% 5% - -
119 WALKER Mayah J. 5% 32% 40% 19% 4% - -
120 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 4% 24% 43% 23% 5% - -
121 DEVEREAUX Kate E. 23% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
122 TONG Ophelia 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
123 VIQUEIRA Marissa S. 44% 41% 14% 2% -
124 QIAN Crystal 1% 8% 31% 40% 18% 2%
125 WONG ERIKA G. 46% 39% 13% 2% - -
125 GOMES Rafaella T. 34% 44% 19% 3% - -
127 KIM Lauren 23% 49% 23% 4% - -
128 TUCKER ALARCON Ariadna C. - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
129 YEH Samantha - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15% 1%
130 LEE Madison 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
131 SCHATZ Kristina J. 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
132 RASO Sofia G. 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 3% -
133 PO Edith 12% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
134 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 3% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
135 NECHANICKY Mackensie J. 1% 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
136 VEERKAMP Molly 4% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
137 SARTORI Taylor M. 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
138 CHO Eunice 5% 29% 40% 21% 4% - -
139 PARKER Emilie Rose (Rosie) 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
140 KEESING Liana 48% 39% 12% 2% - -
141 MOLLOY Aubrey G. 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% -
142 LAMPSON-STIXRUD Dolly C. 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
143 CHON Sydney 3% 28% 43% 22% 3% - -
144 SUPERVILLE Zoe A. 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
145 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 1% 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
146 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 4% 24% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
147 IBEN Claire L. - 5% 25% 41% 24% 5% -
148 HU Ally 32% 48% 19% 1% - - -
149 GUO Kaitlyn S. 4% 22% 38% 26% 9% 1% -
149 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
151 ALTEN Ayaka 18% 41% 30% 10% 2% - -
152 FOLLOWILL Sarah S. 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
153 RAILTON Chelsea O. 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
154 LAU Chloe M. 12% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
155 OESTERREICHER Chloe K. 83% 16% 1% - - - -
156 RENTON Samantha 28% 45% 23% 4% - -
157 LAU Sydnee M. 6% 38% 40% 15% 2%
158 WANG ROBIN 40% 46% 13% 1% - - -
159 KUBIT Kayleigh A. 8% 42% 36% 12% 2% -
159 SUSINI Anna K. 31% 47% 19% 3% - -
159 MERGES Gretl C. 10% 47% 34% 9% 1% -
162 NAVALTA Cassandra (Cassie) R. 66% 29% 4% - - - -
163 CHEN Cynthia 31% 48% 19% 3% - - -
164 SILVER Anna 93% 7% - - - - -
165 HEISER Anna M. 87% 13% 1% - - - -
165 RUSOFF Jordan B. 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
167 JIANG Hannah S. 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
168 COKER Bettina M. 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
169 HICKS Bronwen 86% 14% 1% - - - -
170 KOLBAS Mary 41% 43% 15% 2% - - -
172 QIAN Zhiyan 78% 21% 1% - - - -
173 JI Jasmine 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
174 THOMPSON Jade A. 42% 46% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.