January NAC

Junior Women's Foil

Saturday, January 5, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Charlotte, NC - Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCRUGGS Lauren S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
2 GUO Jessica Zi Jia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 72%
3 FERRARI Christina M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 14%
3 PUSTILNIK Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
5 BINDER Sylvie A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
6 CAO Ying 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
7 LEE Morgan A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
8 MARTOS Sara A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
9 THOMPSON Julia T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
10 WEINTRAUB Rei H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 23% 4%
11 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
12 DESCHNER Stefani K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
13 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 4%
14 YAROSHENKO Karina 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
15 ANDREYENKA Yana 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
16 LEE Yejine 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
17 DEVORE Delphine P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
18 ZHOU Emme 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 19%
18 CHUSID Renata (Renata Chusid) M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 10%
20 WEINTRAUB Maia M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
21 HAO Alicia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
22 MAK Tinney 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
23 MARINELLI Ever 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
24 HAO Grace 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 14%
25 BIASCO Anna 100% 98% 84% 45% 10% 1%
26 JING Alexandra 100% 100% 97% 75% 36% 7%
27 LI Grace Q. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
28 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
29 LUONG Paige K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 16%
30 NISHIMURA Madeleine A. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
31 MANDOUR Sophia M. 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1%
32 STAMOS Maria 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
33 TAN Elisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 15%
34 PRILUTSKY Sarah A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
35 PETROVA Kristina 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
36 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
37 LAM Justina 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
38 ANDREYENKA Hanna 100% 100% 99% 87% 56% 19% 2%
39 LIAO Jerrica 100% 97% 67% 27% 6% 1% -
39 AHN Gabriella 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
41 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
42 LO Ashley 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
43 GONG Christina S. 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
44 ALFONSO Czarina M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
45 CHEN Alyssa J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
46 WANG Karina (Karina Xue Wang) X. 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
47 LEE Annora Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 23%
48 TAN Helen 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
49 YANKOVSKIY Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 13%
50 CAULFIELD Jane H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
51 SHALANSKY Julia B. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
52 FANG Sabrina 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5%
53 MOON Elina C. 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
54 FLANAGAN Catherine H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
55 KOO Haley B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 23%
56 LIAO Madeline M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
57 HARFELD Skylar 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
58 CHOI Lenna K. 100% 98% 82% 43% 11% 1%
59 ADLER Polly Z. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
60 LIU Cynthia 100% 100% 87% 52% 16% 2% -
60 HOOSHI Erica S. 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
62 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 6%
63 ZAROFF Roxanne 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
64 ZHENG Vivian 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 3%
65 HUNT Tarleton Q. 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
66 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 20% 1%
67 KIM Lauren Hyomin 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
68 KOKES Gabrielle 100% 98% 83% 44% 11% 1%
69 SIMONTOV Sofia M. 100% 94% 65% 21% 2% - -
69 TANG Louise 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
69 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
72 ZHANG Rachel 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 15%
73 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 5%
74 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 16% 1%
75 LIN Annie X. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
76 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
77 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
78 YUGOV Elizabeth (Liz Yugov) 100% 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% -
79 ABTIN Aryana V. 100% 97% 80% 45% 12% -
80 NOVOSELTSEVA Anna V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
81 CHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 4%
82 MCGILLION-MOORE Katie 100% 99% 88% 53% 14% -
83 KASI Anisha 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 9%
84 CHON Samantha 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
85 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 17% 1%
86 LEVI Lea 100% 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
87 AHN Isabella 100% 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% -
87 LEE Alina 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
89 BARNETTE Zoe 100% 100% 100% 98% 77% 24% 2%
90 DU Katie J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 7%
91 NOVOSELTSEVA Elizabeth (Liza) M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
92 STEWART Isabella A. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
92 YAMAGUCHI Kate M. 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4% -
94 BANBURY Justine 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 7%
95 PHAM Camille V. 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 7% -
96 GILIOLI Alexia 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
97 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
98 CROMPTON Celia N. 100% 100% 92% 62% 19% 2% -
99 BHANOT Gayatri 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14% 1%
100 MATZ Samantha J. 100% 97% 58% 15% 2% - -
101 CHEN Kelly 100% 99% 84% 45% 10% 1% -
102 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 17% 2%
103 NOGUCHI Julia C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 9%
104 MCDONALD Alexandra 100% 99% 83% 47% 14% 2% -
105 SHEN Jasmine N. 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 4% -
106 MAROTTA Veronica L. 100% 98% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
107 ROSBERGER Jessica 100% 97% 72% 29% 5% - -
108 PARK Rowan M. 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 6%
109 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 98% 81% 42% 9% -
110 DU Melissa H. 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% -
111 CHENG Lydia A. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
112 ABAYEVA Sasha 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
113 PATEL Anika 100% 98% 64% 23% 4% - -
114 CHEN Nicole Y. 100% 100% 91% 61% 23% 4% -
115 HALL Velma 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% - -
116 KIM Kayla A. 100% 86% 45% 12% 2% - -
117 OUTHRED Maya E. 100% 96% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
118 VONA Elena M. 100% 98% 68% 26% 5% - -
119 WALKER Mayah J. 100% 95% 63% 24% 5% - -
120 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 96% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
121 DEVEREAUX Kate E. 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
122 TONG Ophelia 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
123 VIQUEIRA Marissa S. 100% 56% 16% 2% -
124 QIAN Crystal 100% 99% 92% 60% 20% 2%
125 WONG ERIKA G. 100% 54% 15% 2% - -
125 GOMES Rafaella T. 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
127 KIM Lauren 100% 77% 27% 4% - -
128 TUCKER ALARCON Ariadna C. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 10% 1%
129 YEH Samantha 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16% 1%
130 LEE Madison 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
131 SCHATZ Kristina J. 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
132 RASO Sofia G. 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
133 PO Edith 100% 88% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
134 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 100% 97% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
135 NECHANICKY Mackensie J. 100% 99% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
136 VEERKAMP Molly 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
137 SARTORI Taylor M. 100% 76% 34% 7% 1% - -
138 CHO Eunice 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% - -
139 PARKER Emilie Rose (Rosie) 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
140 KEESING Liana 100% 52% 13% 2% - -
141 MOLLOY Aubrey G. 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
142 LAMPSON-STIXRUD Dolly C. 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
143 CHON Sydney 100% 97% 69% 26% 4% - -
144 SUPERVILLE Zoe A. 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
145 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 99% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
146 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
147 IBEN Claire L. 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 5% -
148 HU Ally 100% 68% 20% 1% - - -
149 GUO Kaitlyn S. 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
149 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
151 ALTEN Ayaka 100% 82% 41% 12% 2% - -
152 FOLLOWILL Sarah S. 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
153 RAILTON Chelsea O. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
154 LAU Chloe M. 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
155 OESTERREICHER Chloe K. 100% 17% 1% - - - -
156 RENTON Samantha 100% 72% 27% 4% - -
157 LAU Sydnee M. 100% 94% 56% 16% 2%
158 WANG ROBIN 100% 60% 14% 1% - - -
159 KUBIT Kayleigh A. 100% 92% 49% 13% 2% -
159 SUSINI Anna K. 100% 69% 22% 3% - -
159 MERGES Gretl C. 100% 90% 43% 9% 1% -
162 NAVALTA Cassandra (Cassie) R. 100% 34% 5% - - - -
163 CHEN Cynthia 100% 69% 21% 3% - - -
164 SILVER Anna 100% 7% - - - - -
165 HEISER Anna M. 100% 13% 1% - - - -
165 RUSOFF Jordan B. 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
167 JIANG Hannah S. 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
168 COKER Bettina M. 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
169 HICKS Bronwen 100% 14% 1% - - - -
170 KOLBAS Mary 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
172 QIAN Zhiyan 100% 22% 1% - - - -
173 JI Jasmine 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
174 THOMPSON Jade A. 100% 58% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.