December NAC

Senior Men's Épée

Saturday, December 15, 2018 at 1:30 PM

Cincinnati, OH - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OUIMET Francois 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
2 WANG Bowen 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
3 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
3 BEAULIEU Loic 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 22%
5 FREDERIKSEN Elijah L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
6 SANTOS Cameron A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
7 NORTH Gary S. 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
8 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
9 STONE Brian M. 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
9 WEISSMAN Kai E. 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
11 BOYCE Samuel H. 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
12 MILLER Finn S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
13 HAN Matthew 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
14 LUNDBORG Jr. Tad C. 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
15 GORDON Reis J. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
16 MAISEL Simon F. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
17 MANCINI Christopher M. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
18 MAZUR Mykhaylo Y. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
19 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
20 YI Kyle 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
21 SJOSTEDT Jacob H. 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
22 LICHTEN Keith H. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
23 DAVIES Morgan 100% 98% 78% 32% 5%
24 GRUPP Tristan E. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
25 KIM Ethan J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
26 DINKINS Ramadan 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
27 KANG Michael H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
28 LEIGH David A. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
29 BEDOR William J. 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
30 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
31 STADNIKOV Tom 100% 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 1%
32 KOZLOWSKI Matthew K. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
33 BASOK Daniel 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
34 MALIASSOV Nikita S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
35 LI Jesse 100% 100% 99% 89% 64% 29% 6%
36 MARTIN Liam N. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
37 KIM Derek D. 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% -
38 WOLF Myles J. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
39 KAMBESELES Peter G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
40 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
41 ROGAK Benjamin A. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
42 KLASSEN Andrew P. 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
43 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
44 CHIEN Brandon 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
45 PLUMER Jack E. 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2%
46 FULLER George K. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
47 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
48 BAILEY Nathan W. 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
49 BLYTH Jourdain L. 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
50 SHIREY Daniel L. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
51 MCKINLEY Liam K. 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
52 SEABURY Maxwell G. 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
53 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 13%
54 SHORT Salim (Sal) A. 100% 73% 24% 3% -
55 ARMSTRONG James G. 100% 99% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
56 RA Jr. Daniel M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
57 EDWARDS Ethan S. 100% 100% 98% 80% 29%
58 LAURON Sean M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
59 HAREL Jason 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
60 BAKER Kevin G. 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
61 COHEN Jared E. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
62 VISURAKAPALLI Sathvik 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 6% 1%
63 MCCORMICK John B. 100% 91% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
64 BURKE Matthew C. 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
65 KAMBESELES Jack M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
66 AJNSZTAJN Alec J. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
67 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
68 RUSSANOV Boris J. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
69 MA Ark 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
70 LENDER David 100% 100% 98% 82% 36%
71 LU Chung 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 41% 11%
72 WALTHER Bryan M. 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
73 STEELE DeMario A. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
74 MOGILEVICH Michael 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
75 HIRSCHMAN Burton E. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
76 VARNEY John R. 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 1%
77 LEE Timothy S. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
78 CHILANA Savitoz (Savi) 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
79 BOYLAN Jack (I Spy) 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
80 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
81 CRASWELL Andrew J. 100% 92% 65% 30% 9% 1% -
82 COULL Abraham (Abe) 100% 95% 75% 43% 16% 3% -
83 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
84 KIM Ethan S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
85 ATANAS Matthew M. 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
86 ASHER Andrew D. 100% 53% 15% 2% - - -
87 GILBRETH Geoffrey (Chance) 100% 55% 9% - -
88 STOTT Donovan R. 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
89 SAYLOR Harrison G. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
90 SMITH Justin C. 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
91 COTTER Alexander J. 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
92 BETHEL Dylan A. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
93 KLINE R. Jay 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
94 TOPAZ Nicholas 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% -
95 SMITH Calvin R. 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
96 CLINGSHOFF Christopher 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
97 OH Kevin Y. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
97 AL-TAYEB Ahmed M. 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
99 DRAKE Owen G. 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
100 HU Andre B. 100% 28% 3% - - - -
101 DAZEY Jason T. 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
102 ALI Adam 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
102 MARCHANT Albert J. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
104 ECKEL Anson J. 100% 98% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
105 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
106 KRIEGISCH Jacob A. 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
107 VERNACHIO Anthony 100% 90% 61% 28% 7% 1% -
108 RITCHIE Patrick Q. 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
109 CHAUDHRY Rafay 100% 93% 48% 12% 1% - -
110 BAKER Julian L. 100% 91% 42% 10% 1% - -
111 FLINT James E. 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.