DCFC Youth Challenge #3

Y-14 Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 9, 2020 at 1:30 PM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
2 JORDAN Anton 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
3 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
3 KARL David 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
5 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
6 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2%
7 ZHAO Ivy 100% 97% 78% 43% 12% 1%
8 NICELY William B. 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1%
9 CAO Albert 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
10 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
11 MIMIKAKIS Elia 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
12 ERDMAN Giselle 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
13 NAGY Akos R. 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 1%
14 CILOGLU Dorukhan 100% 97% 63% 21% 3% -
15 STICHMAN Chase 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
15 LE BORGNE Clea 100% 74% 28% 5% - -
17 DUAN Eric 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
18 BURROWS Marco 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
19 METZLER Calder 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
20 DAN Rex 100% 95% 72% 32% 7% 1%
21 BRUNDAGE Nevan 100% 99% 87% 52% 15% 1%
22 ZHANG Andy 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
23 LIU Nicole 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
24 BHATTACHARYYA Rohan 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
25 WAGNER Ian 100% 94% 65% 26% 6% -
26 SHIN Jihyo 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
27 ZHANG Caden 100% 95% 71% 30% 6% -
28 MAGALSKI Mary 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
29 CHOPRA-KHAN Jonah 100% 71% 28% 5% 1% -
30 HILMOE Elizabeth 100% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.