Nick Toth Fencing Tournament

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, March 8, 2020 at 9:00 AM

USAFA Center Gymnasium - Colorado Springs, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SHUGART Henry 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
2 HAN Matthew 100% 100% 98% 78% 31%
3 REES Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
3 CELECKI Barrett 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
5 KIMATIAN Stephen 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
7 CHERIS Zachariah 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 55%
8 SMITH Calvin 100% 100% 90% 45% 8%
9 HOLDERNESS Landon 100% 99% 87% 55% 16% 2%
10 MAURER Chip 100% 100% 95% 69% 21%
11 KAJI Ty 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
12 GASPAROVICH George 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
13 LUNA MARTINEZ Luis 100% 99% 79% 35% 6% -
14 BURCH Tristan 100% 37% 4% - -
15 SPIER Julian 100% 100% 99% 85% 41%
16 SOLTER Kai 100% 92% 62% 22% 4% -
17 BRANDRETH Garret 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 18%
18 MILLETT Seamus 100% 100% 97% 78% 36% 6%
19 ZHOU Jiasheng 100% 97% 71% 23% 3% -
20 TRIFILETTI Lawrence 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 1%
21 EVANS Tyler 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
22 STRAUSS Luke 100% 81% 25% 3% -
23 KENT David "Chip" 100% 67% 21% 2% -
24 KRUGER Mark 100% 82% 37% 6% -
24 COFFEY Jacob 100% 97% 68% 24% 3% -
26 PALLESEN Hugo 100% 94% 67% 28% 5%
27 WANG Alex 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
28 RINGELHEIM Alexander 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
29 LI Patrick 100% 99% 84% 44% 10% 1%
30 EYMAN Hans 100% 86% 44% 11% 1% -
31 EBELL Ivan 100% 90% 57% 18% 3% -
33 KRAMER Jerome 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
34 DAVIS Greg 100% 23% 2% - - -
35 MOORE Hunter 100% 55% 9% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.