The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

BladeRunner 2018 Div 1A ROC & RJC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, November 4, 2018 at 12:30 PM

La Jolla, CA - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YEU Irene 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
2 DANIEL Chloe L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
3 VIE Natalie J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
3 GAO Aretha R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
5 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
6 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
7 BRILL Sophie 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
8 DRAKE-THOMAS Christine E. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
9 BEITTEL Chloe F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
10 WU Amelia 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
11 SMIK Leonie A. 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
12 BROOKS Tean R. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 24% 4%
13 GERARDIN Marie 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
14 KIMURA Kimberley H. 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
15 CAPLIN Michelle 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
17 HARRISON Amelia H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
18 BEI Karen 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
19 LEANG Andrea K. 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 11%
20 SHAMSIAN Shaya 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
21 WILEY Erica 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
22 SEAL Julie T. 100% 96% 77% 39% 10% 1%
23 HARKNESS Anya C. 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
24 QURESHI Aafreen 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
25 CHAN Paree A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
26 LAVERY Chloe K. 100% 99% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
27 CHAN Cheri K. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
28 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
29 CHIMIENTI Michele 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
30 YOUNG Ashley 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
31 PARKER Jacquie D. 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% -
32 MONTOYA Amy C. 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
33 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 11%
34 GRIFFEN Emily P. 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
35 PRIMES Amanda M. 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
36 COBLE Avery L. 100% 95% 69% 31% 6% -
37 HAWKINS Laura A. 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
38 BEIHOLD Emily M. 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
39 NGUYEN Kaylin A. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
40 LAMBERT Jasmine M. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
41 ZHOU Emily 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
42 WANG Nora 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
43 ERTAS Eileen 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% - -
44 STOJANOVIC Mina 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
45 THORESON Brynn E. 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
45 SOIN Aditi A. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
47 LYNN Heather D. 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5% -
48 RICH Caroline B. 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
49 JIANG Corina 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% -
50 SOIN Anika A. 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
51 JIANG Claire 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
52 FERNANDEZ Lucero 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
53 LI Charlotte 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
54 DARANOUVONG Logan 100% 97% 72% 33% 9% 1% -
55 ZHANG mickey 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
56 CHANG Amanda Yen-Shih (Amanda) 100% 84% 35% 7% 1% - -
57 MOHEBI Sue 100% 85% 46% 12% 1% -
58 ZHANG Ivyla 100% 44% 7% - - - -
59 TONG Irene 100% 82% 37% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.