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THRUST WINTER RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, February 9, 2020 at 12:00 PM

Suffern, NY - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOLBA Abdelrahman - - - 5% 37% 57%
2 LEE Jacob J - 1% 7% 27% 43% 21%
3 GARCIA Sebastian R. - - - - 1% 14% 86%
3 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. - - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
5 ZHAI Jeffrey - - - 2% 15% 48% 36%
6 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
7 WANG Jackson - 1% 14% 39% 36% 10%
8 XIANG Derrick - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 15%
9 JIA Jing Yu 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
10 LI Aaron - - - 3% 17% 48% 32%
11 ZHANG Aaron 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 5%
12 LEWIS Akhil - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
13 LIN James G. - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
14 XU Andy P. - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
14 LI Ayren 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 4%
16 LIU Derek - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
17 KOVACS Wyatt - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
18 ZHEN Ethan - - 5% 27% 44% 24%
19 CHENG Ethan - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
20 SVERDLOV Seth - 2% 11% 32% 38% 17%
21 LIU Ryan 7% 26% 38% 24% 6% -
22 KLOTZ Isaiah - 6% 23% 38% 27% 7%
23 NICOLL William - 3% 19% 39% 31% 7%
24 JIE WanYue 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1% -
25 DALBERG Anders 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
26 LEE Eugene 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
27 ZHOU Leon - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
28 GUO Justin - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
29 SHAO Eric 1% 11% 33% 38% 15% 1%
30 GERRISH William 7% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
31 WANG Auther 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
32 WHELAN Alexander H. - 2% 17% 39% 32% 9%
33 AKYAMAC Bora - 3% 17% 38% 34% 8% -
34 LEE Brendan 1% 7% 28% 39% 22% 4%
35 GAO Payton 6% 28% 38% 22% 5% - -
36 OZBURN Will - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
37 BOBROW Silas - - 1% 7% 33% 54% 5%
38 MILLER Jordan 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
39 SHIM Peter S. 5% 23% 38% 27% 7% 1%
40 YE Gavin 27% 58% 14% 1% - -
41 KIAYIAS Aris 5% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1%
42 UNGERER Roger M. 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
43 KOKES William - 2% 23% 43% 27% 6%
44 SIMON Luke 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
45 LEE Jonah - - 1% 7% 27% 46% 19%
46 BLACK Zachary 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2% -
47 HUANG Julian - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9% 1%
48 BLEIL Tyler 2% 17% 39% 31% 9% 1% -
49 LIM Kevin 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
50 HIGGASON Hugh 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
51 LI Allen 29% 45% 21% 4% - -
52 LIU Jeremiah 37% 42% 17% 3% - -
53 WILL Wrightington 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
54 MALHAM Andrew 50% 39% 10% 1% - -
55 FRUSZTAJER Miklosh 8% 29% 37% 21% 4% -
56 LEWIS Nikhil I. 26% 44% 24% 6% 1% -
57 TANG Terry 5% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
58 CHA James - 6% 24% 38% 26% 5% -
59 HOSANAGAR Ninad 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% - -
60 WEI Qian 41% 41% 15% 2% - - -
61 ARCE Andrew W. 15% 39% 34% 11% 1% -
62 LU Jason 21% 43% 28% 8% 1% -
63 ONIK Ari N. 11% 40% 35% 12% 2% -
64 KRASNOV Georgy 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
65 CROWE Adam D. 5% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
66 WU Andrew Y. 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
67 CHOI Eugene 61% 37% 2% - - -
68 ZENG Rick 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
69 XIA Eric 8% 35% 40% 15% 2% -
70 WANG Ralph 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.