THRUST WINTER RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, February 9, 2020 at 12:00 PM

Suffern, NY - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 57%
2 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
3 GARCIA Sebastian R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
3 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
5 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 36%
6 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
7 WANG Jackson 100% 100% 99% 86% 47% 10%
8 XIANG Derrick 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
9 JIA Jing Yu 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
10 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 32%
11 ZHANG Aaron 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
12 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
13 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
14 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
14 LI Ayren 100% 99% 92% 63% 25% 4%
16 LIU Derek 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 18%
17 KOVACS Wyatt 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
18 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 24%
19 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
20 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
21 LIU Ryan 100% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
22 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7%
23 NICOLL William 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 7%
24 JIE WanYue 100% 98% 82% 48% 14% 1% -
25 DALBERG Anders 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
26 LEE Eugene 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
27 ZHOU Leon 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 6%
28 GUO Justin 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
29 SHAO Eric 100% 99% 87% 54% 16% 1%
30 GERRISH William 100% 93% 67% 28% 5% -
31 WANG Auther 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
32 WHELAN Alexander H. 100% 100% 98% 80% 42% 9%
33 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8% -
34 LEE Brendan 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4%
35 GAO Payton 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% - -
36 OZBURN Will 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
37 BOBROW Silas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 5%
38 MILLER Jordan 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2% -
39 SHIM Peter S. 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% 1%
40 YE Gavin 100% 73% 15% 1% - -
41 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1%
42 UNGERER Roger M. 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
43 KOKES William 100% 100% 98% 75% 33% 6%
44 SIMON Luke 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
45 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 19%
46 BLACK Zachary 100% 98% 86% 52% 17% 2% -
47 HUANG Julian 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10% 1%
48 BLEIL Tyler 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1% -
49 LIM Kevin 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
50 HIGGASON Hugh 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
51 LI Allen 100% 71% 25% 4% - -
52 LIU Jeremiah 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
53 WILL Wrightington 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1%
54 MALHAM Andrew 100% 50% 11% 1% - -
55 FRUSZTAJER Miklosh 100% 92% 63% 26% 4% -
56 LEWIS Nikhil I. 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% -
57 TANG Terry 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
58 CHA James 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 5% -
59 HOSANAGAR Ninad 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% - -
60 WEI Qian 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
61 ARCE Andrew W. 100% 85% 46% 12% 1% -
62 LU Jason 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% -
63 ONIK Ari N. 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% -
64 KRASNOV Georgy 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
65 CROWE Adam D. 100% 95% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
66 WU Andrew Y. 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
67 CHOI Eugene 100% 39% 2% - - -
68 ZENG Rick 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% -
69 XIA Eric 100% 92% 57% 17% 2% -
70 WANG Ralph 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.