January NAC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, January 5, 2020 at 8:00 AM

Charlotte, NC - Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BRAVO Kenji U. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
2 MACHOVEC Andrew C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 62%
3 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
5 DANIEL Ashton 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
6 PAIK Joon K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
7 WRIEDT Nathan O. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
8 YANG Adam 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
9 ZUSIN Zachary W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 28%
10 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
11 ZHENG Andrew R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 36%
12 LEVIN Nestor R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
13 LEVY Jasper 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 43%
14 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 11%
15 HUANG Bin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 54%
16 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
17 DORITY Philip S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
17 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
19 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
20 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
21 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
22 TIERNEY David A. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
23 HOSSFELD Finn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
24 HAN YIMING 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
25 MCGILLION-MOORE Jake 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
26 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
27 PARK Luke J. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 10%
28 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 21%
29 BRATTON Jack S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
30 LI Brian H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
31 REID Clayton J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
32 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9% 1%
33 MCKENNA Joseph (Owen) O. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
34 LIU Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
34 CHUNG Andrew N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
36 LIAO Jun Heng (James) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
37 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
37 AYUPOV Ilya 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 12%
39 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
40 WOODS Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
40 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
42 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
43 LUTAR Lucas N. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
44 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
45 HO Ryan J. 100% 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1%
46 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
47 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 20%
48 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 7%
49 DEBACK Maximus (Max) X. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
50 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7%
51 HODGES Carter F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
52 SLEDESKI Andrew 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 17% 2%
53 PALAZZOLO William J. 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
54 HELTON Noah 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
55 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43% 8%
56 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 16% 2%
57 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
58 HU Oliver W. 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 15% 2%
59 SCARPA Ryan N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 16%
60 GRANT Lachlan K. 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2%
61 CANNON Caiden C. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
62 SHIBU Pranav 100% 98% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
62 MCGOFF Jose I. 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 25% 3%
64 MA Alexander 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
65 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
66 PAZ Ethan 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 3%
67 PAIK Hyun K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
68 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
69 LEE Benjamin H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 8%
70 TAN Lawrence (Lance) E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
70 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
70 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
73 HONG Daniel 100% 99% 90% 67% 33% 9% 1%
74 LEVY Jacob M. 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2%
75 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
76 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
77 MAURER Ned (John) E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
77 PRINCE Nicholas J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
79 GAUDET Paul D. 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
80 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 22%
80 BOROWIAK Arwen 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
82 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
83 PELOSKY Ryan F. 100% 100% 100% 94% 75% 39% 9%
84 FIELD Miles 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 3%
85 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
86 GEE Brandon 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
86 LIN Richard W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 3%
88 HEMPE Jake 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 8% 1%
89 TULYAG Fyze A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 23%
90 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
90 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
92 EUSCHER Alex M. 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
93 PAEK Alex J. 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
94 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
95 WU Michael 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 5% -
96 SCHULTES Evans 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
97 SMITH V Edward (Quin) A. 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
98 JOHNSON Aidan J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
99 CHOUN Samuel Minwook 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1%
100 DING Jonathan 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% -
101 CHEN Allen 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
102 GRUBER Samuel T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
103 LOPEZ Carlos D. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 3%
104 SHAFAIE Kaveh 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
105 LEVY Cameron 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
106 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% 1%
107 LIMA Kevin M. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2%
108 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 4%
109 LAURICELLA Douglas 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 6% -
110 LU Kerry L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 6%
110 LEE Caden 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
110 LIM Ari 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
113 CHENG Thomas C. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
114 BOLTON Lucas R. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
115 WEN George C. 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5% -
116 WAN Jason 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
117 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 95% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
118 MURRAY Maximo 100% 91% 57% 19% 2% -
119 RICCIO Frank J. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
120 BERMENDER Cameron 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
121 ANDREWS Nathan J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2%
122 HUTH Jacob 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% -
123 DING Allan 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
124 BAE Kevin 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
125 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
126 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
127 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
128 SIEGEL Elliot 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
129 PITCHER Skylar L. 100% 98% 78% 38% 9% 1% -
130 BLUTT Emerson B. 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
131 KASI Sanjay 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
132 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 11% 1%
133 VITI Mark G. 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
133 SPEVAK Alexander 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
135 SEZER Kaya 100% 100% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
136 SHAFAIE Ali 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
137 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
138 PETER Griffin 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 4%
139 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 1%
140 LI Raphael C. 100% 99% 88% 52% 15% 2% -
140 HUTH Mitchell 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
142 ZELJKOVIC Dusan 100% 96% 73% 34% 9% 1% -
143 WANG Brian S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
144 DIERKS Kian 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
145 KIM Tei D. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
146 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
147 FARQUHARSON Cole 100% 99% 82% 44% 12% 1%
148 OUELLETTE David M. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
149 BALL James T. 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
150 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19% 2%
151 MILLER Trent D. 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% - -
152 DESHMUKH Ayush 100% 96% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
153 LIU Eric P. 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
154 DROUTMAN Ryan 100% 98% 79% 37% 7% 1% -
155 ANDERSON David C. 100% 99% 79% 37% 8% 1% -
156 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
157 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 18% 2%
158 CHIN Julian S. 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
159 JEON Caleb A. 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
159 LE Vyn A. 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
161 MARSHALL Ian 100% 97% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
162 FORTNER Lance R. 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
162 LEE Daniel C. 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
164 ANDERSON Colton J. 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
164 ZHOU TIMMY 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
166 SHIH William 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 1%
167 KIM Isaiah G. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
168 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
169 PARK Noah A. 100% 59% 16% 2% - -
170 LI Edward 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
171 RUFFNER Blake W. 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
172 BAE Junnie 100% 96% 76% 36% 7% -
173 LEE Chris 100% 91% 59% 20% 2% -
174 CHOI Ethan L. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
175 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
176 TUMMINGS C.J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
177 CHENG Jonathan 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
178 XIAO Anthony 100% 99% 84% 43% 11% 1% -
179 GU Jeffrey 100% 90% 50% 14% 2% - -
180 BARLETTA Joseph 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
181 SINGH Dayaal 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
181 LEMAY Teo 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
183 O'BRIEN Jack K. 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
183 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
183 DEGREMONT Henri S. 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
186 REGE Advaith 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
186 LOMBARDI Leo 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
188 HEWES Thomas G. 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% -
189 LEUNG Wai Chi Ethan 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
190 JACOBS Matthew A. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
191 OH Samuel H. 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
191 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 3% -
193 NEWHARD Noah A. 100% 96% 64% 23% 4% - -
194 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 2%
195 CHEN Andrew 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 7% 1%
196 BATRAK Alexander 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
196 XU Timothy (Tingwei) 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
198 GÉLINAS Jonathan 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
199 ROMANOV Michael 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
200 HERGERT Benito 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
201 FRITZ Ayden R. 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% - -
202 YIM Alex 100% 61% 18% 2% - - -
203 TORO Alejandro 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
204 WU Albert 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
205 COZINE Owen N. 100% 99% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
206 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
207 MAO Connor 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
208 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 12% 1%
208 LI Simon A. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
210 JUDD Mehta J. 100% 78% 27% 4% - - -
211 SONG Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
212 RITCHIE Luke W. 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
213 DENYSE Jameson 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
214 URODOVSKIKH Evan 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
215 DARIANO Noah G. 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
216 CAI Jason Zhicheng 100% 73% 30% 6% - -
217 ZHANG Luke T. 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
218 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 100% 98% 72% 32% 8% 1% -
219 BOUIE Jacob 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
220 LOUIE Timothy J. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
221 ARNOLD Oscar A. 100% 93% 57% 20% 4% - -
221 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 96% 78% 45% 17% 3% -
223 OLSON Pel R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
223 ROBINSON Keegan B. 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
225 CATLIN Adam 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
225 XIAO EDWARD 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
227 MILLER Andrew 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
228 REZNICK Nicholas J. 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
229 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
229 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
231 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
231 HAN Andersen Y. 100% 98% 78% 40% 12% 2% -
231 HSIUNG Richie 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% - -
234 TRAUGOT Braden (Brady) C. 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
235 AVRON Case B. 100% 88% 45% 11% 1% - -
236 KEE Andrew L. 100% 99% 78% 37% 8% 1% -
237 MCCORD Clark 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
237 BERNABE Rafael 100% 29% 3% - - - -
239 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 97% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
240 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
240 EMENHEISER Conrad 100% 35% 5% - - - -
242 KIM Ian M. 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
243 LI Ryan Z. 100% 58% 12% 1% - - -
244 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 69% 18% 2% - - -
244 SCHUR Skyler 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
246 MCCOSH Evin M. 100% 40% 6% - - - -
247 JOHNSON Zachary R. 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
248 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 99% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
249 WITTENBERG Jackson H. 100% 89% 47% 13% 2% - -
250 WU Conrad J. 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
251 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
252 JIN Honggu 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
253 VIVEROS Antonio 100% 8% - - - - -
254 BEALE Asa G. 100% 53% 11% 1% - - -
255 YI Stephen K. 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
255 WANDEL Lee E. 100% 26% 3% - - - -
255 WERWA Griffith 100% 29% 4% - - - -
258 CHENG Nathan 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -
258 WANDEL Esquire Ethan S. 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
258 UPTON Craig 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
261 KEANNA Peter 100% 20% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.