2021 Bay State Games

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, August 21, 2021 at 10:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 JIN Alexander - 2% 15% 42% 41%
2 RICHARD Owen - 2% 16% 45% 37%
3 SIMPSON Patrick - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
3 JIN Owen - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
5 PAHLAVI Kamran 1% 12% 39% 38% 10%
6 LANGTON Sawyer - 4% 18% 39% 31% 8%
7 WU Jonathan 33% 44% 20% 3% -
8 HERMANSON David B. 1% 8% 35% 42% 14%
9 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 7% 29% 40% 20% 3%
10 MCDERMOTT Brian 2% 13% 37% 38% 11%
11 XIE Brandon 30% 48% 19% 3% -
12 JOSLIN Tyler 9% 36% 37% 15% 3% -
13 LUO Peter 35% 43% 18% 3% - -
14 QI Terry 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
15 MATEI Daniel 11% 37% 37% 14% 2%
16 WANG Justin 37% 48% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.