2021 Bay State Games

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, August 21, 2021 at 10:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 JIN Alexander 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
2 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
3 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
3 JIN Owen 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
5 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 99% 87% 48% 10%
6 LANGTON Sawyer 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
7 WU Jonathan 100% 67% 24% 4% -
8 HERMANSON David B. 100% 99% 91% 56% 14%
9 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 93% 64% 24% 3%
10 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 98% 85% 49% 11%
11 XIE Brandon 100% 70% 23% 3% -
12 JOSLIN Tyler 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% -
13 LUO Peter 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
14 QI Terry 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1%
15 MATEI Daniel 100% 89% 52% 15% 2%
16 WANG Justin 100% 63% 16% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.