2021 Bay State Games

Senior Men's Foil

Sunday, August 22, 2021 at 8:30 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YANG Adam - - - 2% 22% 76%
2 ZELTSER Lawrence M. - - 2% 17% 45% 36%
3 BING Charles - - 6% 26% 43% 24%
3 SIMA Congyu Josh - 8% 31% 41% 19% 1%
5 GONG Benjamin - 1% 9% 37% 41% 13%
6 AHN Jun - - 2% 14% 43% 42%
7 SHIN Joshua J. - 1% 8% 35% 42% 14%
8 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - - 6% 25% 43% 25%
9 KAO Castor T. - - - 2% 24% 74%
9 LI Arvin - 8% 33% 41% 16% 2%
11 JIANG Owen - 4% 24% 41% 26% 5%
12 LI Eric - 1% 10% 34% 40% 15%
13 MCKINNEY Christopher J. 1% 8% 31% 40% 18% 3%
14 ACHILOV Sayid - 3% 21% 40% 28% 7%
15 CHU Tristan L. - 7% 28% 41% 22% 2%
16 BUCKLEY-JONES Henry C. 33% 52% 14% 1% - -
17 WANG Mason 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% < 1%
18 ZHAO Jesse 1% 12% 38% 37% 12% 1%
19 DU Samuel R. - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
20 ZHEN Ethan - 2% 16% 41% 36% 5%
21 TIAN Yuzhe (Charlie) - 1% 11% 32% 40% 16%
22 FU Yifan - 1% 10% 33% 41% 14%
23 MENG Zhaoyi - 13% 38% 35% 12% 2%
24 MCLEAN Miles K. 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
25 TSAI Max W. - 10% 36% 39% 14% 1%
26 PAN Eric 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4%
27 LIGH Thomas - 13% 38% 36% 12% 1%
28 MOO Gareth G. 1% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1%
29 DAVIDSON Elliot 1% 25% 42% 26% 6% -
30 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 2% 35% 42% 18% 3% -
31 WU Albert - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
31 LIGH Jack 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
33 KONG Luculentus X. 42% 43% 14% 1% - -
34 BAO Chris W. 4% 38% 41% 15% 2% -
35 LI Ayren 13% 43% 35% 8% 1% -
36 REN Bingye 50% 43% 7% - - -
37 XU Ethan 9% 39% 40% 10% 1% -
38 WEN Edward 10% 35% 39% 14% 2% -
39 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 36% 46% 16% 2% - -
40 VO Jonathan 86% 14% 1% - - -
41 DJONOUMA Toyohm 78% 20% 2% - - -
42 LIU Jeremiah 89% 11% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.