2021 Bay State Games

Senior Men's Foil

Sunday, August 22, 2021 at 8:30 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YANG Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
2 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
3 BING Charles 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
3 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 100% 92% 61% 20% 1%
5 GONG Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 13%
6 AHN Jun 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
7 SHIN Joshua J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 55% 14%
8 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
9 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
9 LI Arvin 100% 100% 92% 59% 18% 2%
11 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 5%
12 LI Eric 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
13 MCKINNEY Christopher J. 100% 99% 91% 60% 20% 3%
14 ACHILOV Sayid 100% 100% 97% 76% 35% 7%
15 CHU Tristan L. 100% 100% 93% 65% 23% 2%
16 BUCKLEY-JONES Henry C. 100% 67% 15% 2% - -
17 WANG Mason 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% < 1%
18 ZHAO Jesse 100% 99% 87% 50% 13% 1%
19 DU Samuel R. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
20 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 82% 41% 5%
21 TIAN Yuzhe (Charlie) 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
22 FU Yifan 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 14%
23 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 100% 86% 49% 14% 2%
24 MCLEAN Miles K. 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
25 TSAI Max W. 100% 100% 89% 54% 15% 1%
26 PAN Eric 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
27 LIGH Thomas 100% 100% 87% 49% 13% 1%
28 MOO Gareth G. 100% 99% 79% 39% 10% 1%
29 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 99% 74% 31% 6% -
30 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 98% 63% 21% 3% -
31 WU Albert 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
31 LIGH Jack 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
33 KONG Luculentus X. 100% 58% 15% 1% - -
34 BAO Chris W. 100% 96% 57% 17% 2% -
35 LI Ayren 100% 87% 44% 9% 1% -
36 REN Bingye 100% 50% 7% - - -
37 XU Ethan 100% 91% 52% 11% 1% -
38 WEN Edward 100% 90% 55% 16% 2% -
39 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 64% 18% 2% - -
40 VO Jonathan 100% 14% 1% - - -
41 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 22% 2% - - -
42 LIU Jeremiah 100% 11% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.