Virginia Division 2021 DIV II/III SN Qualifiers

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, May 22, 2021 at 9:00 AM

NOVA Fencing Club - Falls Church, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Clayton 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
2 BLUM Oliver 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
3 PENNER Kyle D. 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
3 ABBOUD Michael 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
5 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 23% 3%
6 LIN Harrison 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
7 KIM Ryan 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
8 LU Sebastian X. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
9 PARK Vincent 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
10 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1%
11 JURGENSON Artemie A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
12 ZHANG Andy 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
13 SEID Zachary W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
14 CRIPS-SORGER Logan 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
15 LANGLEY William 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 3%
16 DOWLING Narain 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1%
17 PARISH David H. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 7% 1%
18 LU Qi 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
19 CHENH Justin 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
20 SIMS Martin L. 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.