National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Friday, July 9, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOLZ Daniel - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
2 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - - - 2% 22% 76%
3 HUANG Alex F. - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
3 SU Landon - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
5 YANG Dylan - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
6 ANDRES Michael - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
7 SUGIURA Samuel - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
8 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 19%
9 IDRISSI Idris - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
10 JOO Jeein - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
11 GERSTMANN Max T. - 3% 18% 40% 29% 9% 1%
12 KUSHKOV Daniel - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
13 YAN William - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
14 MEHAN Nicholas - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 27%
15 ZHAO Lucas - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
16 PATEL Rayn - 2% 11% 33% 39% 15%
17 KALPATHY Rohit - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
18 SHANKWILER Christopher - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
19 RAMANAN Jaisimh 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 4%
20 TANG Shu Hon - 4% 18% 35% 30% 10% 1%
21 CARRINGTON IV William T. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
22 KANG Evan 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
23 GUREVICH Benjamin 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
24 BERA Enzo - - 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
25 CHOW William T. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
26 ANAND Rohan - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
27 SHIPITSIN Alexander - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 6%
28 GUAN Dennis - 3% 18% 40% 32% 8%
29 HRISTOV Kris 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
30 KOVALEV Daniil N. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
31 WONG Caleb W. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
32 BONETTI Brayden - - 4% 15% 33% 35% 13%
33 YERRAMILLI Tejas 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% < 1%
34 EYBELMAN Ariel 1% 5% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
35 PRIMUS Nazir - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
36 KWALWASSER Eric - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
37 PI Alexander - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
38 LI Yiwei - - 5% 21% 41% 30% 3%
39 NORTON Benjamin 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
40 KERCHER Alexander - 1% 4% 18% 35% 33% 9%
41 SAGE Sebastian - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 13%
42 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
43 SO Preston 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
44 URSU Marcel T. - - 3% 18% 40% 32% 8%
45 HUNG Samuel 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
45 OH Aster 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
47 VAID Luke - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
48 TUNG Ryan 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
49 GONG Jerry 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
50 LIU Vince 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
51 CRAIG Andrew 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
52 HOLZ Lucas - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
53 GUFFEY Christopher 5% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
54 CHANG Leo 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
55 KUMAR Arjun - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
56 JORGESON Charlie 5% 25% 40% 24% 6% -
57 JAIN Samyak 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
58 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
59 NARDINI Nathanael P. 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
60 SHINCHUK Daniel - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
61 WITCZAK Mateus 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
62 ERMAKOV Semeon - 2% 10% 24% 33% 24% 7%
63 KIETLINSKI Samuel - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
64 LIU Kevin 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
65 ANAND Rishab 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
66 MISHRA Aadi 20% 43% 29% 8% 1% -
67 HO Nathaniel 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
68 MEDVINSKY Daniel - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
69 NGUYEN Anthony 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
70 RAMANAN Govind 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
70 RAMTEKKAR Soham 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
72 LIN Philip T. 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
73 WANG Zhuoyi 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
74 TIAGI George 8% 34% 39% 16% 3% - -
75 PRIEUR Christian F. 9% 27% 33% 22% 8% 1% -
76 FANG Eason 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
77 LIU Victor 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2%
78 KIM Ethan - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
79 KIM Samuel 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
80 HALL Noah 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
81 KOGAN Yelisey L. - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
82 GONG Gavin 32% 40% 21% 6% 1% - -
83 LEE Matthew 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
84 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
84 SANGSTER Arden 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
86 CAO Oliver 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
87 MENDOZA Diwa 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
88 HO Anson 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
89 RAJMOHAN Arya 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
90 YANG Phillip 28% 45% 23% 4% - -
91 CLARK Aram - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
92 ALAVE Kyle 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
93 GAY Jono 7% 34% 41% 15% 2% - -
94 TSAO Oliver 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 5% 1%
94 LIU Ryan 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
94 WANG Justin 5% 20% 32% 27% 12% 3% -
97 HAPP Braeden 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
98 DOMINIQUE Remson 1% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
98 CHUNG Connor 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
100 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
101 MCDONALD Finn 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
102 BRIMMER Trey 34% 42% 20% 4% 1% - -
103 WANG Max 9% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
103 SARWAHI Viraat 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
105 VILEMAITIS Tadas 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
105 DEELY Hartigan 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
107 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 51% 39% 9% 1% - - -
108 SAMMI Mukul 19% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
109 BREUER Daniel 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
110 LOU Kaden 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.