National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Friday, July 9, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
2 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
3 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
3 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
5 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 11%
6 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
7 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 23% 4%
8 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 19%
9 IDRISSI Idris 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
10 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 51% 16%
11 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 9% 1%
12 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
13 YAN William 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 17% 2%
14 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
15 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
16 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
17 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 26% 5%
18 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
19 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
20 TANG Shu Hon 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% 1%
21 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
22 KANG Evan 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
23 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
24 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
25 CHOW William T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
26 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
27 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
28 GUAN Dennis 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
29 HRISTOV Kris 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 16% 3%
30 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
31 WONG Caleb W. 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
32 BONETTI Brayden 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
33 YERRAMILLI Tejas 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% < 1%
34 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
35 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
36 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
37 PI Alexander 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
38 LI Yiwei 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 3%
39 NORTON Benjamin 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 6% -
40 KERCHER Alexander 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 9%
41 SAGE Sebastian 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
42 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
43 SO Preston 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
44 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
45 HUNG Samuel 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
45 OH Aster 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
47 VAID Luke 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
48 TUNG Ryan 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
49 GONG Jerry 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
50 LIU Vince 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
51 CRAIG Andrew 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
52 HOLZ Lucas 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
53 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
54 CHANG Leo 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
55 KUMAR Arjun 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
56 JORGESON Charlie 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
57 JAIN Samyak 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
58 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
59 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 99% 93% 75% 44% 16% 2%
60 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
61 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 96% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
62 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 7%
63 KIETLINSKI Samuel 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 26% 5%
64 LIU Kevin 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
65 ANAND Rishab 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
66 MISHRA Aadi 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% -
67 HO Nathaniel 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
68 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
69 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
70 RAMANAN Govind 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
70 RAMTEKKAR Soham 100% 92% 65% 30% 9% 1% -
72 LIN Philip T. 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 13% 2%
73 WANG Zhuoyi 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
74 TIAGI George 100% 92% 58% 18% 3% - -
75 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 91% 64% 31% 9% 2% -
76 FANG Eason 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
77 LIU Victor 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
78 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
79 KIM Samuel 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
80 HALL Noah 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
81 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
82 GONG Gavin 100% 68% 28% 7% 1% - -
83 LEE Matthew 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
84 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
84 SANGSTER Arden 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -
86 CAO Oliver 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
87 MENDOZA Diwa 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2% -
88 HO Anson 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
89 RAJMOHAN Arya 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% -
90 YANG Phillip 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
91 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
92 ALAVE Kyle 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 9% 1%
93 GAY Jono 100% 93% 59% 18% 3% - -
94 TSAO Oliver 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1%
94 LIU Ryan 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
94 WANG Justin 100% 95% 75% 43% 16% 3% -
97 HAPP Braeden 100% 83% 44% 14% 2% - -
98 DOMINIQUE Remson 100% 99% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
98 CHUNG Connor 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
100 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
101 MCDONALD Finn 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
102 BRIMMER Trey 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
103 WANG Max 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
103 SARWAHI Viraat 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
105 VILEMAITIS Tadas 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
105 DEELY Hartigan 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
107 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
108 SAMMI Mukul 100% 81% 44% 14% 2% - -
109 BREUER Daniel 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
110 LOU Kaden 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.