National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, July 10, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GRANT Lachlan K. 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
2 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 16%
3 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
3 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
5 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
6 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 37% 9%
7 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 11% 1%
8 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
9 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 51% 12%
10 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
11 GEE Brandon 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
12 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
13 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
14 BOBROW Logan 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1%
15 WU Alexander 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
16 HERGERT Benito 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
17 SCHLESINGER Nathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
18 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
19 DIVITO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
20 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
21 OTAKE Jared K. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
22 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
23 JOHNSON Aidan J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
24 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
24 WANG Gerald Y. 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
26 RITCHIE Luke W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
27 YI Stephen K. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
28 FU Samuel Y. 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
29 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
29 SHA Yi Peng 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 17% 3%
31 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
32 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
33 YANG Adam 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
34 DIERKS Kian 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
34 CHIN Julian S. 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 8% 1%
36 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
37 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
38 DANKAR Neel 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
39 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
40 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
41 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 22%
42 LIAO Alex J. 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
43 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 7%
44 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
45 BRUK Peter J. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
46 LI Simon A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
47 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
48 NEWELL Ian A. 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
49 OH Samuel H. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
50 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
51 LIU Eric Y. 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
52 DIVENTI Paul W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
53 SHIN Joshua J. 100% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1% -
54 LIN Richard W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
55 LI Owen 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
56 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
57 ANDERSON Colton J. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
58 SIEGEL Elliot 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
59 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
60 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 5% -
61 DESHMUKH Ayush 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
62 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 91% 59% 22% 5% - -
63 LI Eric 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
64 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
65 BLUTT Emerson B. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
66 KIM Isaiah G. 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
67 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
68 SHAFAIE Ali 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
69 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
70 HODESS Ethan 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
71 ZHANG Luke T. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
72 KIM Aaron J. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
73 GARLINGTON David 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
74 LUH Ethan K. 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
75 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
76 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
77 PATINO Yahir 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
78 BRANDT-OGMAN Adlai 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
78 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
80 STRAYER Andrew 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
81 JOSEPH Willem 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 13% 2%
82 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% -
83 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
84 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
85 WESTPHAL David R. 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
86 XIAO Anthony 100% 95% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
87 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
88 XIAO EDWARD 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
89 MOORE Jeremy S. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
90 GATZA Logan 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 7% 1%
91 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
92 LEE Chris 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
93 HAN Andersen Y. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
94 YU Jonathan J. 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
95 WU Conrad J. 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
96 BERK Theodore 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
97 SHAJI Karthik 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
97 CHENG Jonathan 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
99 JEFFERY Jakob 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
100 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
101 CHAN Tyler 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
102 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
103 BAE Kevin 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
104 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
105 ACHILOV Sayid 100% 95% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
106 ZHENG zhe 100% 87% 47% 14% 2% - -
107 EUSCHER Alex M. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
108 CAI Jason Zhicheng 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
108 HSIUNG Richie 100% 79% 41% 12% 2% - -
110 LE Vyn A. 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
111 DAUM Charlie 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
112 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
113 MILLER Trent D. 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 2% -
114 PRASANNA Advaith 100% 76% 37% 10% 2% - -
115 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
116 JAUME Andrei 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
117 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.