National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Saturday, July 10, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
2 CHENG Ava 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 5% -
3 LIN Katie Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
3 ISERT Sarah 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
5 DOUGLAS Julia F. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 7%
6 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 17%
7 DAVIS Jessica L. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
8 DONDISCH Sophia 100% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
9 BEI Karen 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
10 ZHANG Tina Tianyi 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 22% 2%
11 MCLANE Lauren 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27%
12 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
13 COBERT Helen G. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
14 GABERKORN Nadia 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
15 ROSS Naomi O. 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
16 NI Emma 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
17 REID Anousheh 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
18 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
19 KUZNETSOV Victoria 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
20 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
21 LEUNG Natalie 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
22 CHU Audrey 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
23 LIN Elaine 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% -
24 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
25 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 99% 88% 60% 23% 3%
26 SZEWC Alexandra 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
27 LEE Yedda 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% 1%
28 PAN Michelle 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
29 PRIMES Amanda M. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
30 SCHMIDT Lori M. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
31 GLASSNER Sophia Rose S. 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
32 LEANG Andrea K. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
33 LIU Christina A. 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
34 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
35 BOK Michelle 100% 97% 83% 53% 23% 5% 1%
36 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
37 SHEVCHENKO Viktoriia 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2%
38 LAN Alice S. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
39 DESAI Meera P. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
40 CHAN Elizabeth 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
41 IGOE Nirali B. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
42 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
43 BAJAJ Nikita K. 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
44 MAO Amy 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
45 LU Samantha R. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
46 GAO Judy 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1%
47 ZAFFT Sharrie A. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
48 SWEET Ryleigh E. 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% -
49 ASHER Valerie 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
50 MARCHANT Sandra M. 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 20% 3%
51 FELAND Alexandra 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 3%
52 KALE Anika A. 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 4% -
53 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
54 SIBLEY Elisabeth J. 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
55 SAAL Anna 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
56 MUELLER Emma M. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
57 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 5%
58 GANSER Yuliya 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
59 EBRAHIM Ameera H. 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 6% 1%
60 SMUK Daria A. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
61 ABRAMSON Mariela R. 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
62 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
63 KIM Zoe L. 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 4%
64 DARANOUVONG Logan 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
65 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
66 MING Cynthia 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% -
67 WEBER Nora 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 2%
68 ZENG Katrina 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
69 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
70 PEARSON Heila 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
71 KIM Jayna 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% -
72 YAO KATHARINE 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
73 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
74 KENT Elizabeth J. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
75 POLANICHKA Nicole P. 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
76 AHUJA Arianna 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
77 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
78 LI Alisha 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
79 RAINEY Zoe-Andrea 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
80 MESCHIA Maggie 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
81 SCHAFF Marlene M. 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
82 CAREY Michele S. 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
83 GLOVER Cynthia E. 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
84 MORGAN Elizabeth (Ella) R. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
85 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% -
86 POPOVICI Alina B. 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
87 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
88 HU Chelsea 100% 78% 34% 8% 1% - -
89 PROVANCE Amanda R. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.